MLB DFS Top Stacks & Top Pitchers: July 4, 2026

Eric MacPherson is back with his daily card, breaking down the hitting stacks and starting pitchers he's targeting on this slate. Take his picks into the Stokastic MLB Sims and build by win probability across thousands of simulated contests.

Top Stacks 7/4 ⚾️🌭

ATH, MIA, SFG and LAD all have the green light as priority stacks on the robust slate. Other differentiation spots include:

MIL at RHP Merrill Kelly 5.3 runs: Like many of his AZ rotation-mates over the last half decade, Kelly is a "better real life" pitcher, usually employed by DFS gamers in cherry matchups. The 37yo has struggled with power from both sides of the plate, with a combined .240 ISO, as righties are no longer "easy outs" for the baseball nomad. The top-6 Brewers are all viable stacking components tonight.

BAL at RHP Hunter Greene 4.8 runs: This will be the season debut for Greene, who was rehabilitating after having elbow surgery for loose bodies. He did post 10.1 scoreless innings in his two Triple-A appearances with 64 and 82 pitches, so something in the 75-80 pitch range this afternoon is reasonable. This is a "show me" spot, with the weather and ballpark working in favor of the Orioles. Greene likes to challenge opposing batsmen, with home runs being the cost of doing business. If they are solo shots, no problem, if there are ducks on the pond, it could be the precursor to a mound meltdown. All of the O's are in play, giving us ample options across various positions and salary levels. The savvy strategy will be to look to duos and trios, with the Batters of Birdland forming a secondary stack.

CHC vs RHP Kyle Leahy 4.6 runs: Lefty power is an issue for the youngster and while the mild weather is helpful, the Cubbies have alls sorts of LHBs to choose from.

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Pitchers 7/4 ⚾️💪

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs SDP 3.4 runs: It is relatively cool with game-time temperatures in the low-70s at Dodger Stadium. Since an early-May mound meltdown with 5 ERs against SFG, Yamamoto has allowed just 9 ERs in 7 starts, spanning 47.1 IP, with just 9 BBs and a solid 42 Ks. The Padres have scored the second-fewest runs in the league and they are in the bottom-10 over the last 30 days. There are three high-strikeout candidates (HKCs) in the projected lineup, plus when Gavin Sheets and Ty France are two of the three most worrisome bats, it is easy to select Yamamoto.

Chris Sale vs Mets 3.6 runs: Sale is at a similar salary to Yamamoto and he has more strikeout potential, though hitting friendly weather. The #LOLMets have scored the third-fewest runs this season, ranking 26th over the last month. The team is taking it easy with Francisco Lindor, so there is a chance he sits in this tough matchup, further enhancing the appeal for Sale.

Sonny Gray at LAA 3.9 runs: While he does not have the same K-upside as his counterparts above, Gray has matched them with just one outing of more than 3 ERs this season. There are 6 HKCs in the projected LA lineup and a palatable salary making Gray a fine DK SP2 and a QS bonus is on the table for FD backers.

Sean Burke at CLE 4.2 runs: Best employed as a DK SP2, the Guardians have 5 HKCs in the expected lineup and if he is sans opener, the QS bonus is within reach on the blue site.

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