MLB DFS Top Stacks & Top Pitchers: July 11, 2026

Eric MacPherson is back with his daily card, breaking down the hitting stacks and starting pitchers he's targeting on this slate. Take his picks into the Stokastic MLB Sims and build by win probability across thousands of simulated contests.

EARLY Top Stacks 7/11 ⚾️🎇

NYM vs RHP Bryan Bello 4.8 runs: Bello is back after four middling Triple-A outings. He was banished to Worcester after giving up 15 ERs in his last two starts, with 6 BBs and just 5 Ks in 10 IP. The crazy thing is in four other appearances, with an opener, he had just 2 ERs, 3 BBs and 22 Ks in 25.1 IP. It is of course a small sample size, but why fix what isn't broken, when it is just pride of not starting. This is a solid spot for the top-six in the #LOLMets lineup, regardless of Bello starting or getting an opener.

SFG vs LHP Kyle Freeland 4.7 runs: Freeland has not found relief away from Coors Field over the last few seasons and his lack of strikeouts make it hard to slow down rallies. Focus on the Giants RHBs with Casey Schmitt, Helio Ramos and Willy Adames the trio to target.

NYY at RHP Miles Mikolas 5.4 runs: Fire up the Yankees against Mikolas who has allowed 20 runs in his last 22.1 innings, striking out only nine.

MIA vs RHP Tanner Bibee 4.5 runs: We will occasionally ride with Bibee in the right matchup, but the default position is to target him with lefty power. The plucky Marlins have Liam Hicks, Kyle Stowers, Griffin Conine and catcher Joe Mack who fit that bill, along with switch-hitting stalwart Kyle Stowers.

Check out Stokastic's EARLY MLB Live Before Lock at 3:30pm ET this afternoon.

EARLY Pitchers 7/11 ⚾️ 🏖️

Logan Gilbert at TBR 3.7 runs: While Gilbert missed out on his second All-Star nomination, he has steadily gotten better over the season. In his last eight appearances he has 10.1 K/9, accompanied by a 1.78 ERA, 2.84 xERA and 3.29 xFIP, ceding only a trio of taters in the 50.2 innings. He will have his work cut out for him at the top of the Tampa order with Rays All-Stars Junior Caminero and Yandy Diaz, along with slugger Jonathan Aranda, but he grades out as a strong selection.

Griffin Jax vs SEA 3.8 runs: In each of his last six starts, Jax has closed out the fifth inning, though he has only gone beyond that once. He also has been a little lucky with three unearned runs in this stretch, though the 10.5 K/9 appears sticky. The 31-year-old should see three hitters with a 32+ K% against RHPs this season, which along with the ballpark, should help cushion the wave of lefty power.

Eury Perez vs CLE 3.7 runs: In his last eight starts, Perez has zero walks in four games, but a whopping 16 in the other four. He continues to post well above a strikeout per inning and there should be five abysmal strikeout bats from the Guardians this afternoon.

Freddy Peralta vs BOS 4.1 runs: This is a get right spot for Peralta, who is pitching for his next contract. The BoSox are thinned out by injuries and the suspension of Willson Contreras. There are not many easy Ks, but also not many power threats for Fastball Freddy to overcome.

Pitchers 7/11 ⚾️ 🚀

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs ARZ 3.6 runs: The current D'Backs have not had much success against Yamamoto, with just 4 XBHs in 87 ABs. Ketel Marte, Corbin Carroll and Geraldo Perdomo will do their best to get after Yamamoto, though the rest of the lineup should be overwhelmed by the 2-time All-Star.

Trey Yesavage at SDP 4.1 runs: After a rough start to June (11 ERs, 10.2 IP), the budding frontline starter has settled down with a 2.45 ERA across 25.2 IP in his last four appearances. It should be noted he has lucked out with a .119 BABIP, though his 21 Ks in this stretch are solid.

Peter Lambert at TEX 4.4 runs: Now the guessing games begin. Lambert has had the kavorka on his side after washing out with COL and spending last year in Japan. This is not a feel good click, especially with Wyatt Langford rejoining the Rangers, but the hope is for the journeyman to avoid a mound meltdown.

Kyle Bradish vs KCR 4..3 runs: Vinnie Pasquantino (hamate fracture) is expected to be in the lineup, getting in three rehab outings. Bradish is a former top prospect, who missed the end of the 2024 season and the first half of 2025 with Tommy John surgery. Walks are problematic with 48 in his 100.2 IP, though the 100 Ks are nice.

Tune in to Stokastic's MLB Live Before Lock at 6:30pm

Top Stacks 7/11 ⚾️🎇

CHC at LHP Nick Lodolo 5.3 runs: Shoutout to Lodolo who has allowed just one run in his last trio of tilts, spanning 15 IP. He still has a career-low 17.8 K% and his 3.8 BB/9 are a career-high. Keep tabs on the precipitation risk for this matchup, though otherwise there is merit for pretty much everyone in the Cubbies lineup.

ATL at LHP Matthew Liberatore 4.5 runs: Though he avoided home runs in his last two starts, the 6 BBs in 10 IP as well as 7 HRs in the preceding 15.2 IP indicate the makings of a mound meltdown have all been accounted for. Even without Ronald Acuna Jr., the top-7 Braves in the projected lineup profile well against the enigmatic southpaw.

TOR at RHP Walker Buehler 4.0 runs: While the team total is pedestrian, it is important to note that the Regression Monster finally paid a visit to Buehler, who served up 5 HRs and 16 ERs in his last two starts spanning 9 IP. There is a decent chance that a third course is served tonight, which puts a variety of Blue Jays in play across various positions and salary levels, making them a malleable complementary stack.

BAL vs LHP Noah Cameron 5.0 runs: Somehow Cameron survived 5 BBs in his last start, giving up only one "Ernie" with 7 Ks. If we expand the sample size to his last four games, we can see that while he has ceded only two round-trippers, with a solid 18 Ks in 18.2 IP. The 16 runs in this stretch are directly correlated to the 13 walk, which portend for more crooked numbers. The top-six O's are all in play tonight.

Finally, anyone in Dodger blue is worthy of consideration against RHP Brandon Pfaadt, who is a gas can just waiting for a match.

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