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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel College Basketball Fantasy Lineup Projections 2/9/22

Matt Gajewski

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Free expert college basketball betting picks, CBB odds, NCAAB parlays and predictions Monday 2/28/22

The college basketball slate for Wednesday, Feb. 9 features Baylor vs. Kansas State and Alabama vs. Ole Miss. If you are looking to take your game to the next level, be sure to check out our daily CBB projections over at the Awesemo College Basketball page.

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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Fantasy Basketball

Studs

Alondes Williams ($9,800) — Unlike yesterday’s slate, tonight’s contests feature multiple viable value pieces. With various studs also available, a stars/scrubs approach looks worthwhile. At the top of pricing, E.J. Liddell and Alondes Williams stand out as the top two alphas. However, Williams has a significantly better game environment with Wake Forest favored by three points over NC State in a game with a 150.5-point total. Potentially ACC Player of the Year, Williams has a 20.9% usage rate consisting of a 24% shot rate, 18.8% rebound rate and 34.5% assist rate in the offense. Also playing almost every minute, Williams is the safest player on the entire slate.

Dereon Seabron ($8,300) — On the other side of the Wake Forest game, NC State still has a 73.75-point implied team total. Ranking among the highest implied team totals on the slate, picking off a stud here also makes sense. NC State funnels most of their usage between Dereon Seabron and Terquavion Smith. Both play almost every minute, but Seabron has slightly superior season-long statistics. Seabron accounts for a 20.8% shot rate, 25.2% rebound rate and 29.5% assist rate. In comparison, Smith accounts for a 21.2% shot rate, 10.8% rebound rate and 15% assist rate. Ultimately, both are solid options here and Smith offers a bit of salary relief to those unable to reach Seabron.

David Jones ($8,200) — One of the best game environments for DePaul all season, the Blue Demons are eight-point favorites over Georgetown in a game with a 145.5-point total. DePaul continues to deal with injuries to Javon Freeman-Liberty and Javan Johnson. Both players are questionable tonight, but David Jones has worked his way into a sizeable role nonetheless. Jones has played 30, 27 and 26 minutes in DePaul’s last three games, accounting for a 21.7% shot rate, 21.2% rebound rate and 15% assist rate in the offense. While he benefits from the potential absences here, Jones should be a solid play even if Freeman-Liberty and Johnson are eased back into action. Georgetown ranks 202nd in defensive efficiency, creating an elite scoring environment for all DePaul players. Another potential cheaper option is Jalen Terry, who has seen a massive spike in usage due to injuries. Unlike Jones, Terry is entirely dependent on injuries to the players in front of him.

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Mid-Range

James Akinjo ($6,900) — Losing two of their last three games, Baylor enters a bounce-back spot as six-point favorites over Kansas State in a game with a 135.5-point total. Because of their recent struggles, most of Baylor’s premier players find themselves priced down. This is especially true of usage leader James Akinjo. Akinjo already has a 20.3% usage rate, while playing nearly every minute. Improving Akinjo’s usage further, L.J. Cryer looks unlikely to suit up again here as he battles a multi-game injury. Without Cryer in the lineup for Baylor’s last three games, Akinjo has accounted for 21.9% of the team’s shots and 36.8% of the team’s rebounds. Easily above his season-long averages, Akinjo remains a strong buy-low candidate here despite a tough matchup against Kansas State’s 20th-ranked defense.

Josiah-Jordan James ($5,700) — A relatively uninspiring game environment, Tennessee sits as a 1.5-point favorite over Mississippi State in a game with a 136-point total. Typically running a wide rotation of players, Tennessee lost Olivier Nkamhoua for this game, reducing the available players in their frontcourt. Josiah-Jordan James should play an elevated role here. James has already played 36, 22 and 32 minutes in Tennessee’s last three games, limited only due to foul trouble. He has also seen a spike in usage, including a 17.9% shot rate and 17% rebounding rate over Tennessee’s last three games. Mississippi State ranks 209th in interior defense, providing a solid matchup for James here as well.

Jarkel Joiner ($5,400) — A strong overall game environment, Ole Miss enters this contest as a 5.5-point underdog to Alabama in a game with a 143.5-point total. On the Ole Miss side, the Rebels received some much-needed help with Jarkel Joiner returning to the lineup. Considered to be the team’s alpha at the beginning of the year, Joiner immediately played 40 minutes in an overtime game in his return. Prior to injury, Joiner boasted a 17.9% usage rate, which leads all of the major Ole Miss contributors. Alabama plays extremely fast, providing a pace-up spot for Joiner as well. He does not have any minute concerns in his return with Daeshun Ruffin exiting the lineup due to injury.

D.J. Jeffries ($5,200) — On the other side of the Tennessee game, Mississippi State continues to shuffle their rotation. This has created a potential buy-low spot on D.J. Jeffries. Jeffries has now played 35, 28 and 30 minutes in three straight games for Mississippi State. Primarily a peripheral player, he has seen his rates rise drastically since his increased minutes. In Mississippi State’s last three games, Jeffries has a 12.1% shot rate, 17.8% rebound rate and 29.4% assist rate. While he may not have the same upside as some other players, his consistent usage across statistical categories gives him a solid floor here.

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Value Plays

Emmanuel Bandoumel ($4,800) — A strong value slate overall, SMU players remain underpriced in a game against Houston. SMU is a 7.5-point underdog to Houston in a game with a 136.5-point total. It should be noted that Houston does have the top defense in terms of efficiency, but SMU has enough offensive firepower to potentially overcome the matchup disadvantage. In particular, Emmanuel Bandoumel looks like a strong cost-adjusted play after logging 34, 37 and 30 minutes over SMU’s last three games. More importantly, these extra minutes help maximize a solid 15.2% usage rate. Bandoumel has accounted for an 18.8% shot rate, 11.6% rebound rate and 13.5% assist rate in SMU’s last three games. Again, the matchup is tough, but Bandoumel provides a potential contrarian pivot in the value tier.

Cormac Ryan ($4,100) — A somewhat strong game environment, Notre Dame currently sits as a seven-point favorite over Louisville in a game with a 135.5-point total overall. Typically running a narrow rotation, Notre Dame may be forced into an even tighter minute distribution with the injury to Nate Laszewski. Laszewski only played five minutes before going down in Notre Dame’s most recent game, allowing Cormac Ryan to play 32 minutes. Already playing 20-25 minutes per game, Ryan’s extra minutes at his price make him a solid value. Ryan already accounts for an 8% shot rate, 19.1% rebound rate and 20% assist rate in Notre Dame’s last three games. With Laszewski vacating roughly 30 minutes per game, Ryan should work his way into an increased role at a cheaper price here.

Mike McGuirl ($3,800) — On the other side of the Baylor game, Kansas State also provides some potential value with Selton Miguel expected out. Without Miguel, Mike McGuirl has played 34, 34 and 29 minutes for Kansas State. In that span, he has accounted for a consistent 15.6% shot rate, 18.2% rebound rate and 22% assist rate. While Baylor presents a tough matchup, McGuirl is simply too cheap for his minutes and usage here.

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Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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