The college football season is here, and it is time to start playing DFS again. College football DFS shares many similarities to NFL DFS, with a few key differences. Scoring mirrors its NFL counterpart on both DraftKings and FanDuel. However, the rosters slots look much different. DraftKings does not use a defense or a tight end spot. Instead, rosters consist of a quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one flex and one superflex. Tight ends are included among the wide receiver pool. Quarterbacks can be used in the superflex. FanDuel looks the same without the flex. With all of that in mind, this CFB DFS primer is intended to give you an outlook and overall strategy on how to choose the right contests and make the best college football DFS picks in order to be a profitable CFB player.
With the rosters laid out, let’s dive into a profitable college football strategy ahead of the 2021 season.
How to Beat DraftKings & FanDuel College Football DFS
How to Select the Right Contests
Game selection for college football is crucial. While stacking high-total games makes sense at all levels of football, the college game sees certain totals rise well into the 70s. This creates an opportunity to capitalize on certain games with high implied team totals. Ideally, games to target will feature a high total and a close spread. Teams like Clemson may have implied team totals but spreads north of 30 points. In those situations, Clemson may not be the best target, with their starters potentially only playing one half of football.
The quarterback position also comes with differing levels of talent. Unlike the NFL, the prevalence of dual-threat quarterbacks changes the college landscape. Players like Kyler Murray and Jalen Hurts became near must-plays in certain weeks ,with the threat to hit the 100-yard bonus on the ground and 300-yard bonus through the air. After targeting dual-threat options, hitting pass-heavy offenses also makes sense. Teams like Hawaii, Mississippi State and USC give quarterbacks a strong floor/ceiling combination for CFB DFS.FREE CFB DFS Projections This Week For THIS WEEK ONLY, the College Football DFS projections are FREE. Be sure to check them out over at the CFB DFS page, and make sure to subscribe to see Matt Gajewski's expert projections after this week!
Like quarterback, the elite running backs will cost upwards of $9,000 to $10,000 on certain slates. While targeting these players has merits, roster construction varies on a week-to-week basis. On occasion, finding rotational backs in high-powered offenses can provide elite upside at a discounted price. For example, North Carolina’s running back Javonte Williams and Michael Carter often saw depressed ownership because of the timeshare. However, elite team totals and scoring opportunities often drove one, if not both, into optimal DFS lineups. Outside of elite team totals, finding rushers with pass-catching upside can provide immense value as CFB DFS picks.
Wide Receiver/Tight End
Like the positions listed above, receiver is dependent on scoring environments. Receivers should be stacked with quarterbacks whenever possible. Because of the high-scoring nature, rostering two or three pass-catchers from a single team can make sense in certain situations. With the ability to play two quarterbacks, stacking multiple teams is also in play. Tight ends are also included in the receiver pool. Generally, tight ends come with capped upside, outside of Kyle Pitts situations. Occasionally a pure red zone threat will emerge with multiple touchdowns at a cheap price, but predicting those weeks remains a challenge. Lastly, certain receivers have enormous target shares. Elijah Moore pushed for a 40% target share at certain points in 2020. Jamming that player can provide competitive advantages on certain slates with cheaper running backs in solid scoring environments.
The Best Superflex Options
Quarterbacks should be played superflex 99% of the time. The only exceptions are short slates, where teams use multiple quarterbacks or prices become prohibitive.
How to Profit from Late-Breaking News
Occasionally the NFL has impactful late new, but generally this comes well before kickoff. College football does not have standard injury reporting. Often times a player’s availability is not known until pregame warmups or, even worse, after kickoff. This makes monitoring late news the biggest edge in all of college sports. Being around for late-breaking news will give you the biggest advantage when making college football DFS picks.Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media! Looking for more DFS CFB golf picks and DFS CFB FanDuel picks? Check out our industry-leading CFB DFS projections for FanDuel. Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world, developed and maintains the DraftKings DFS college football ownership projections for today.