Week 14 of the College Football season is upon us. Each week, I’ll take a deep dive into the matchups and break down the games from a CFB DFS perspective. From the data, we can pinpoint the games that we see as being the top fantasy-point producers on the slate and who should be in line for the majority of the offensive output. That leads us to finding the best CFB DFS picks for both DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy lineups.
Week 14 CFB DFS Picks & Matchup Breakdowns | DraftKings + FanDuel
CFB DFS Picks: Louisiana Tech vs North Texas
Louisiana Tech
Plays per Game: 71.2
Pass Rate: 54.6%
Aaron Allen ($5,200) and Luke Anthony ($6,000) – A team undergoing seismic shifts, Louisiana Tech hasn’t played since Halloween night amid COVID-19 concerns. When the team last took the field, they continued with their quarterback platoon, featuring Allen and Anthony. Anthony remains more of a pure pocket passer, completing 62.5% of his passes for 1,208 yards in seven partial games this season. Conversely, Allen provides slightly more dual threat upside. Allen also posted 191 yards and a pair of scores in Louisiana Tech’s most recent game. The platoon makes this a tough situation to trust despite a strong pass rate from the team overall.
Israel Tucker ($5,800) – With Justin Henderson opting out to enter the NFL Draft, Tucker should function as Louisiana Tech’s lead back moving forward. Tucker already averages 13.3 opportunities per game, but those opportunities rose to 19 and 17 in their two most recent games. Tucker also received five targets in that span showing solid pass game involvement. Greg Garner ($3,300) has created some buzz as a potential change-of-pace back, but he only has 16 total carries for 69 yards on the season. Tucker stands 5-foot-8, 200 pounds.
Smoke Harris ($5,700) – With Adrian Hardy also opting out, Harris looks like Louisiana Tech’s potential alpha receiver. Harris leads all current receivers with 36 targets (15.5% share) despite missing a few games this season. He has yet to eclipse a 60% route share in any game this season, but he led Louisiana Tech in receptions in 2019 with 47. More of a possession receiver, Harris should play a larger role down the stretch. For what it is worth, he is listed as a co-starter with Cee Jay Powell, potentially indicating a timeshare at the slot position.
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Cee Jay Powell ($3,600) – Another receiver who could play an elevated role, Powell has a 46% route share for Louisiana Tech on the year. Mentioned above, the depth chart lists Powell as a co-starter with Harris. Powell ranks second on the team with 36 targets this season.
Isaiah Graham ($4,200) – Graham missed Louisiana Tech’s most recent game, but he ran a route on over 90% of the team’s dropbacks in two straight games before the absence. Louisiana Tech’s depth chart also lists Graham as the clear starter in Hardy’s former role as the X-receiver. Graham has just 22 targets this season.
Griffin Herbert ($4,500) – Herbert’s routes jumped to 67% in Louisiana Tech’s most recent game. The depth chart also lists Herbert as the clear starter as the team’s A-receiver. Herbert has just 20 targets this season, but he currently leads all active receivers on the team with 223 yards receiving.
Wayne Toussant ($3,100) – Interestingly, Louisiana Tech listed Toussant as the lone starter as the Z-receiver spot ahead of this week’s game. Toussant’s season-long route share sits at 29%, and he only ran a route on 35% of dropbacks in his most recent game. Toussant only has 11 targets this year and 157 yards receiving.
Jawaun Johnson ($3,800) – Johnson’s routes jumped to 41% in Louisiana Tech’s most recent game. He still finds himself listed behind Toussant on the depth chart, but he should rotate in for his usual amount of snaps.
Kyle Maxwell ($3,000) – Maxwell’s routes jumped to 65% in Louisiana Tech’s most recent game. This looks like the function of Graham’s most recent absence. As it stands, Maxwell is listed behind Graham on the team’s depth chart.
North Texas
Plays per Game: 77.6
Pass Rate: 46.1%
Jason Bean ($7,700) – Battling injury and splitting time with Austin Aune ($7,000), Bean should start again against Louisiana Tech tonight. On the year Bean has completed 52.6% of his passes for 8.3 yards per attempt. He is an excellent dual threat, with 335 yards rushing so far. This includes a 169-yard performance against Middle Tennessee State. However, Bean’s struggles as a passer have allowed Aune to routinely rotate into games. Unless Aune starts, his playing time renders both signal-callers dicey options tonight.
Oscar Adaway III ($6,500) – With three healthy, capable backs, North Texas looks likely to rotate rushers tonight as well. Redshirt freshman Adaway should get the first crack here after rushing for 101 yards on 15 carries in North Texas’ most recent contest. Positively, he played the most snaps among this capable rushing group as well. Adaway stands 6-foot-0, 215 pounds
DeAndre Torrey ($5,100) – Another capable back in the North Texas offense, Torrey provides a direct compliment to Adaway as a 5-foot-7, 195-pound scatback. Torrey rushed for 977 yards as a sophomore in 2018, but has battled injury through most of his career. He played on 36% of running plays, compared to 48% for Adaway in their most recent game. Tre Siggers ($4,000) also figures to play a role in some form or another. He also played on 12% of run plays. At this point Siggers is a seldom-used change-of-pace back.
Jaelon Darden ($8,500) – The clear alpha receiver in North Texas’ offense, Darden has 88 targets (38.6% share) on the year, while averaging 126 yards per game. Over his last four games, he is averaging 13 targets.
Austin Ogunmakin ($3,100) – With injuries shaking up the depth chart earlier this season, Ogunmakin has stepped up as North Texas’ starting Z-receiver. Ogunmakin ran a route on 80% of drop-backs in back-to-back games. Ogunmakin currently ranks second on North Texas in targets (30) while averaging 4.3 per game over his last four contest.
Deonte Simpson ($5,000) – Emerging as North Texas’ starting X-receiver, Simpson ran a route on 80% of dropbacks in North Texas’ most recent game. Simpson ranks third on North Texas in targets (28) while averaging five per game in his three most recent contests.
Jason Pirtle ($3,200) – North Texas lists co-starters at the tight end position between Pirtle and Asher Alberding ($3,000). However, Pirtle appears to be the primary receiving threat of the pair. He ran a route on 70% of dropbacks compared to 28% of Alberding in North Texas’ most recent game. Pirtle has out-targeted Alberding 16-to-1 this season.
CFB DFS Picks: Air Force vs Utah State
Air Force
Plays per Game: 67.5
Pass Rate: 14.4%
Haaziq Daniels ($5,600) – Returning from injury, Daniels out-snapped Warren Bryan 64-to-7. Daniels also showed off his rushing ability, notching 55 yards and a score on 12 carries. Daniels hasn’t carried more than 13 times in any contest this year, but he brings as much upside as any other signal-caller on this slate.
Brad Roberts ($7,400) – With Timothy Jackson ($4,400) out, Air Forced unleashed converted fullback Roberts for 28 carries in their most recent game against New Mexico. Roberts did not disappoint, notching 177 yards and three scores. Presumed fill-in Matthew Murla only carries seven times but still managed 64 yards. Jackson’s status could render this a timeshare.
Joshua Stoner ($3,000) – Stoner plays one of the slot back roles for Air Force. Kadin Remsberg ($3,500) typically handles these duties, but injuries have kept him out of the lineup for multiple weeks. Stoner carried six times in Air Force’s most recent game, making him worth a potential flier.
Brandon Lewis ($5,300) – Lewis functions as a hybrid receiver/slot back for Air Force. He is the team’s most targeted receiver at 15 this season and also handles a handful of carries on a weekly basis. Prior to his most recent one-carry outing, he had combined for 19 carries in his two previous contests. He remains at an interesting price point and probably will fail to hit value without 9-10 carries.
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Utah State
Plays per Game: 63.8
Pass Rate: 49.8%
Andrew Peasley ($7,900) – With Jason Shelley dismissed from the program, Peasley has functioned as Utah State’s full-time starter. The entire program remains in disarray, following the firing of their head coach and multiple transfers. In his first true start, Peasley completed 14 of 21 passes for 239 yards and three scores. He also rushed for 118 yards of 11 carries. This occurred against a horrific New Mexico defense, but the positive performance distills optimism moving forward.
Deonta’e Henry-Cole ($3,600) – With Jaylen Warren entering the transfer portal, Henry-Cole stands out as Utah State’s primary back. The Utah transfer stands 5-foot-11 and weights 195 pounds. He currently averages 9.8 opportunities per game, while splitting time. It looks like Elelyon Noa ($3,000) will also play a role moving forward after he carried eight times in Utah State’s most recent game. Henry-Cole should function as the team’s primary pass-catching back after seeing seven targets in the team’s last four games.
Justin McGriff ($5,500) – Emerging as Utah State’s top receiver, following the departure of Deven Thompkins, McGriff ran a route on 87% of Utah State’s dropbacks last week. McGriff leads the team in targets (29) and yards receiving (168) with Thompkins out of the picture.
Derek Wright ($3,500) – Playing a larger role in Utah State’s offense, Wright ran a route on 71% of dropbacks last week. Wright also popped up for a team-leading six targets in Utah State’s most recent game. He should continue to play a sizeable role down the stretch.
Savon Scarver ($4,700) – Still playing a rotational role in the offense despite the recent departures and injuries, Scarver only ran a route on 48% of Utah State’s dropbacks. Scarver received four targets in Utah State’s most recent game, but he only averages 2.5 per game in his last four contests.
Jordan Nathan ($3,200) – Nathan did not play in Utah State’s most recent game. No one has mentioned injury, so his status remains unclear. Prior to the injury, he ran a route on 64% of Utah State’s dropbacks in his most recent game.
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Another great write-up. Saved my lineup as I did not know Jaylen Warren entered the transfer portal!
Thanks, Matt!