Friday and Saturday night’s are usually League of Legends DFS primetime. However, we’ll go from the exciting five game LCK-LPL weekend action to an overnight LPL 2-gamer. It’s always tough to build uniquely on two game slates. Constructing the right lineup for the contest size, entry limit and player pricing requires creativity. Tonight’s slate features RNG as heavy -700 favorites taking on a struggling LGD squad. The first match is a closer series between Ninjas in Pajamas and Thunder Talk Gaming. Those odds and the DraftKings League of Legends DFS pricing will force some tough decisions.
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League of Legends DFS: DraftKings LPL Slate Breakdown
It’s no surprise that RNG is the priciest team on the slate given their 82% implied win odds. As an LPL team with a nearly identical kill upside to the first game, RNG will be tough to fade in any DFS format.
Unless one of the first two teams sweeps, you’ll likely need four RNG players or their Team slot in order to win. The issue is differentiating, especially in mid- to large-field GPPs.
Given the pricing on this slate it’s nearly impossible to fit in both favorites. You can get a full RNG stack if you go down to their Jungler, Wei, at CPT. You will also get some flexibility by using TT’s Ucal or Beichuan. There is nothing wrong with taking either of those approaches in cash games, double-ups or small winner-take-all contests.
If you are building for the larger GPPs in the DraftKings lobby, you have to consider strategies like game stacking, using TOP-laners at CPT or unique one-off builds. Those lineups are never that likely to hit, but the duplication that comes with playing a traditional RNG-TT or RNG-NIP stack soaks up a lot of EV, especially in the main LoL GPP.
If you do go with NIP or use them, take not that Dream will be starting at MID in place of Pout. The team has switched the position around over the split. And with Dream in, there is still a chance of substitution after Games 1 or 2.
Another viable option for larger tournaments is to play LGD. We’ve recently seen several underdogs lose this split while still outscoring their opponent. That occurred last night, vaulting Gen.G into the winning lineup of the main GPP even though they lost to T1. As an LCK underdog with lower kill upside, that construction led to a solo-GPP takedown.
Stacking LGD still won’t be completely unique on just a 2-game slate. The lack of options means that they’ll still get owned. However, with a nearly a 15% implied win percentage, there it’s probably still +EV to take some shots if your bankroll can withstand the variance. You’ll lose most of the time, but when you win you should be bunched with far fewer similar or duplicated lineups.
Stokastic’s LoL DFS projections can help you breakdown the relative value of each player on this League of Legends DFS slate, in addition to ownership. Stay tuned to Stokastic for updates as lock approaches.