LoL DFS Ownership & Exposure Review | League of Legends Lineups | Wednesday 3/25/20

LoL DFS Lineups: This morning, we had a 2 a.m. EST lock time and it was a six-game slate. For this article, I’m using the LOL $150K TITAN’S FURY [$50K TO 1ST] (LPL-LCK) DraftKings tournament. We’ll review field ownership and take a look at another DFS pro who is dabbling in some LoL DFS on our sports hiatus, petteytheft, and what he did last night in this tournament.

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Awesemo dropped his LoL DFS Projections (free, for now) last week and Fantasy Cruncher launched their LoL optimizer, so now is a great time to jump in!

The top-10-owned players on the board in the DK $10 tournament were from massive favorites – FPX, OMG and GEN. This will likely continue to hold true on larger slates, as ownership is more spread out and it’s easier to find ways to get different. Just one player (Aiming) was used at over 12% in this tournament. Heavy favorites were, of course, building blocks for most people’s four-man stacks (we will be able to see this more clearly when LoL Lineup Study on Fantasy Cruncher is available), but the largest favorite (FPX) was an overall disappointment when you factor in their price and ownership. Team OMG smashed the slate, with their top-four scorers getting over 84 points, making for a great four-man stack, and was essential for getting a tournament-winning score. Quinnislegit solo-binked the $50K, despite running a cookie-cutter 4-3 (four-man OMG stack and three-man TES) stack.

*Note: the “odds” section is pulled from Fantasy Cruncher’s player list*

petteytheft Lol DFS Exposures

A contrarian player by nature, the first thing that sticks out in petteytheft’s exposures is that he almost full-faded one of the chalkiest stacks in team OMG, as it looks like he only had one OMG stack out of his 150 lineups. The OMG fade didn’t work out on this slate, but it will be interesting to see if this was an intuition fade or if he saw something in his own projections/ownership projections that led him to get off OMG almost entirely. His top two stacks actually came from the same game – JDG (-208) and TES (+208). They occupied his top-eight exposures and was healthily overweight on each of those eight. However, from looking through his lineups, there were very few game stacks.

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As far as his strategy on this slate, it isn’t necessarily game stacking, but rather game targeting. If one of the teams in this game has an outlier performance, he puts himself in a great spot to win a tournament because the ownership wasn’t very high on either side. He got the outlier performance he needed with TES performing very well, but since OMG wasn’t in his pool for the most part, it ended up not working out. Still, very interesting strategy here and one that I’ll be looking into as we go on.

*If you want an in-depth look of LoL DFS, check out Jeremy Schritt’s How to Play and Win at League Of Legends DFS!*

petteytheft CPT

petteytheft used no CPT more than 15 times (10%) in his 150 lineups and used 15 different CPTs at least three times. This would be more in the Bric75 school of thought in that he really diversified his CPT usage. One big difference here is that he didn’t discriminate in terms of positions used in his CPT spot — as you can see below, many SUP, TOP, ACD and MID were all represented in the CPT slot for petteytheft. His best lineup finished 802nd, but his strategy had huge potential if OMG was a higher priority for him.

If you want to check out what other pros are doing in their first few weeks playing LoL DFS, head over to our previous Ownership & Exposure Reviews below!

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3/24 – Awesemo & Bric75

LOL DFS Projections

Because Awesemo’s LoL DFS Projections are currently free, it isn’t too difficult to jump into tournaments and build competitive lineups, especially at lower stakes. However, if this is the only DFS game with $100K+ prize pools over the next couple weeks or months it will become sharper. Ownership will become more important. Stacking may change. The approach to different leagues — LCS vs. LPL — may even change. We will update this article as we continue to try to profit at our newest DFS sport!