In this series, we’ll look at a mock draft conducted from each draft slot and break down the best choice and some alternatives at each selection. We’ll look at the individual player selection and how each player fits into the overall roster construction of the team, and then look at what selection Awesemo’s rankings would have made. The mock is for a three-receiver, two-back, half-PPR league. Here we look at winning your fantasy football draft with the 10th overall pick.
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Fantasy Football Mock Draft from the 10th Overall Pick
Mock Draft 1.10 Selection: Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Alternative: Lamar Jackson
Every draft room is different. Edwards-Helaire usually goes inside the top-10 but this league had nine players who don’t want the Chiefs lead back. Their loss. Kansas City backs have scored 19 touchdowns per season over the past three years. Without Damien Williams in the fold, DeAndre Washington and Darwin Thompson are flimsy barriers to Edwards-Helaire owning a large share of those scores.
Awesemo’s rankings have Jackson as a slightly better pick here, but taking Edwards-Helaire allows this team to get a unique build with another Chiefs weapon likely to be available in the second round. This roster is going to try to show off a punishing Kansas City stack.
Mock Draft 2.03 Selection: Travis Kelce
Alternative: None
Kelce is the best tight end in the league for fantasy purposes. He’s finished as the league’s top tight end in three of the past four seasons and hasn’t missed a game due to injury since 2013. If another tight end falls in this draft, they can still be used in the flex.
Kelce was the highest-ranked player here and gives this roster another Chief. We’re praying that Mahomes is available in the third. Based on hundreds of drafts, he makes it to the 34th pick in under 10% of drafts.
Mock Draft 3.10 Selection: Chris Carson
Alternative: James Conner, Todd Gurley
There are a handful of backs here that Awesemo’s rankings like and Carson isn’t even the highest on the board. However, Carson is the highest-ranked with a low injury risk tag. With Edwards-Helaire yet to take a snap in the NFL, it makes sense to get some stability on this team. Carson led the Seahawks with 278 rushes. The team’s second-leading running back was Rashaad Penny, who suffered a knee injury that will likely force him to miss the first six weeks of 2020 while on the PUP list. That puts Carson on the edge of 300 carries. Floors don’t get much higher than that.
So Mahomes didn’t make it back. That’s fine, though, as Kelce and Edwards-Helaire are still tied to the same offense and should have roughly correlated outcomes. If Mahomes posts a season with 40 or more scores, both will smash.
Mock Draft 4.03 Selection: Robert Woods
Alternative: Leonard Fournette
Woods is a great floor option to get as this team’s first receiver. While Tyler Higbee and Cooper Kupp battled last season for fantasy production, Woods was steadily racking up fantasy points. He topped eight targets in 10 games and finished as the No. 22 receiver while scoring only two times. That’s the low-end outcome. If Woods picks up a few touchdowns, he could be a fringe WR1.
Awsemo’s rankings have Fournette as the choice here, but taking him locks this team into receivers for the next three to four rounds. That constraint is manageable but not one that should be taken lightly. Woods was ranked close enough that roster construction took precedence here.
Mock Draft 5.10 Selection: T.Y. Hilton
Alternative: Kareem Hunt, D’Andre Swift
Hilton does not get enough credit for how explosive he is. Julio Jones is the only active receiver with more 150-yard games than Hilton’s 12, and Hilton has hit that mark in over 10% of his games. The switch from Jacoby Brissett to Philip Rivers should return Hilton to a semblance of his former self, and that means matchup-winning upside on a weekly basis.
More Fantasy Football Mock Drafts
- Drafting With the No. 1 Overall Pick
- Drafting With the No. 2 Overall Pick
- Drafting With the No. 3 Overall Pick
- Drafting With the No. 4 Overall Pick
- Drafting With the No. 5 Overall Pick
- Drafting With the No. 6 Overall Pick
- Drafting With the No. 7 Overall Pick
Mock Draft 6.03 Selection: D’Andre Swift
Alternative: Kareem Hunt
The Lions have struggled to get a rushing attack going over the past…decade. However, they haven’t had a back like D’Andre Swift yet. Swift was used in all facets of the game at Georgia. He racked up 2,267 yards on the ground and 513 through the air in his final two seasons. With multiple running backs on this roster already, it can afford to sit on Swift until he assumed a workhorse role in Detroit.
Running backs went early in this draft, but Awesemo’s rankings still side with ball carriers more often than not in half-PPR and non-PPR leagues. With two receivers on the roster, it made sense to dip back into the value at running back with Swift.
Mock Draft 7.10 Selection: Dak Prescott
Alternative: Brandin Cooks
Prescott quietly looked like Russell Wilson last year. He threw for 4,902 yards and 30 scores while posting an adjusted yards per attempt of 8.4. He also rushed for an additional 277 yards and three extra scores. The addition of CeeDee Lamb in the first round should help him keep up the blistering pace as he attempts to earn a massive contract this year.
Awesemo’s rankings aren’t particularly fond of Prescott’s inflated price this year, but in the late seventh round, he’s much more palatable.
Mock Draft 8.03 Selection: Brandin Cooks
Alternative: CeeDee Lamb
Cooks averaged 1,188 yards and eight scores per season from 2015 to 2018 and he didn’t miss a game. Then, last year, Cooks missed two games and looked hobbled in many others. If he’s healthy, four years of outstanding production say he should crush with Deshaun Watson lobbing him deep targets.
This team still had one more spot for a starting receiver and Awesemo’s projections like Cooks at his current ADP. The rankings also like Will Fuller, so a Watson-Fuller-Cooks stack would have been the play had Watson fallen like Prescott.
Mock Draft 9.10 Selection: CeeDee Lamb
Alternative: None
Lamb left Oklahoma as a junior after dropping 1,327 yards and 14 scores in his final season. Then the Cowboys affirmed his elite talent by drafting him with the 17th pick. However, his selection in this mock was based solely on game theory.
Awesemo’s rankings don’t love Lamb, but if Prescott has a good season, that either means Michael Gallup and Amari Cooper went off or Lamb broke out as a rookie. This team is in trouble if the former is true, so drafting Lamb is betting that passing on those two but not Prescott being the right approach to the Cowboys.
Mock Draft 10.03 Selection: Phillip Lindsay
Alternative: None
Lindsay isn’t projected to have a large role in Denver with Melvin Gordon owning the starting job, but he wasn’t projected to do much in the NFL at all. Lindsay’s 2,048 rushing yards are the second-most ever for an undrafted player through two seasons. If Gordon struggles to acclimate in Denver, Lindsay’s role could expand rapidly.
Blake Jarwin is another way to leverage Prescott having a good season without Gallup or Thomas going nuts on someone else’s roster. With Jason Witten gone, Jarwin is set to take a majority of the team’s snaps at tight end, and he has the athleticism dominate, especially in the red zone. Jarwin is 6-foot-5 and weighs a whopping 245 pounds. He still runs a 4.74, which is above average for all tight ends and makes him a matchup nightmare for linebackers or safeties.
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