Spotlight Hitters KBO DFS Picks on DraftKings + FanDuel | Tuesday July 14

What a sloppy weekend of KBO DFS! With the entire slate raining out on Saturday night and all but two of the scheduled makeup games washing out last night, there’s not much to discuss on the recap front. Teams are juggling some starting rotations, some of tonight’s pitchers have been scheduled to go for three straight days now, which could make for an interesting start to the week.

The two games that did play last night featured three boring unimportant performances and a monster 13-run game from the Kia Tigers. The Tigers rode home runs from sluggers Preston Tucker and Ji-wan Na as well as Chan-ho “Usually I Can Barely Make Contact” Park’s second homer of the week to an easy win.

KBO doesn’t (usually) play on Mondays, which makes this a prime opportunity to run down some of our early individual league leaders (note: 165 PA cutoff):

Hits/AB – Avg: Mel Rojas Jr. (90/235 .383), Jose Miguel Fernandez (89/239 .372), Jung-hoo Lee (82/231 .355), Ah-seop Son (76/215 .353), Jin-sung Kang (60/175 .343)

On-Base %: Jose Miguel Fernandez, Sang-su Kim (..440), Mel Rojas Jr. (.436), Hee-dong Kwon (.435), Ah-seop Son (.433), Jung-hoo Lee (.422)

Slugging %: Mel Rojas Jr. (.728), Roberto Ramos (.617), Aaron Altherr (.617), Baek-ho Kang (.610), Preston Tucker (.606)

HR: Mel Rojas Jr. (21), Aaron Altherr, Roberto Ramos, Byung-ho Park (16), Sung-bum Na, Preston Tucker (15), Ha-seong Kim (13)

RBI: Aaron Altherr (55), Mel Rojas Jr. (54), Jae-hwan Kim, Preston Tucker (51), Sung-bum Na (48), Hyun-soo Kim (47)

SB: Keon-chang Seo (14), Woo-jun Sim (12), Aaron Altherr, Yong-kyu Lee (11), Ji-hwan Oh (10), Ha-seong Kim (9)

KBO DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Hitters

After a washed-out weekend I’d love to be able to tell you that tonight will play free and clear, but the clouds seem to be hanging over South Korea for at least one more day. We’ve got two games that look very threatened, (Kia at Samsung and LG at Lotte) and four of the five games have spotty radar. The NC at Kiwoom game will play clean inside the dome. Totals are relatively flat, except for that game, so between the dryness and the big total I expect we’ll see those bats be incredibly popular on tonight’s slate. Hopefully we’ll uncover a few other angles to attack this one, then we get to keep our fingers crossed that the games play as we crash into lock.


The bulk of this analysis comes directly from reviewing Awesemo’s KBO DFS projections and the top stacks tool. Check out the rest of our KBO content, Awesemo’s projections, rankings, and ownership on the site for all your KBO DFS needs.

As usual, I’m going to look game by game, calling out a hitter or two from each team, and giving some top stacking options as we go. Pricing and popularity will be considered, more so as KBO DFS trends begin to emerge over the coming weeks. The numbers included with Suggested Stack are the projected lineup positions I would target for stacking that team, but do not restrict yourself exclusively to those spots. For example, if it says Wyverns 3-6 it means 3,4,5,6 in the projected lineup. If it says 1-2-3-5 it means those guys. If it means a two-man it will say so.

With lock still hours away (5:30 A.M. EST), official lineups have not been released, so be sure to double-check status before you plug players into your lineup.

Hanwha Eagles @ KT Wiz – 9.0 run total (3.79/5.43) – Suggested Stack(s): Wiz 2-5

On paper, this one looks like a bloodbath. The lowly Eagles come into town to face the surging Wiz, winners of eight of their last 10 games. The Wiz’ run has them at .500 on the season and they’ll look to swipe three-straight from the KBO’s doormat before moving on to tougher opponents.

The Eagles draw Odrisamer Despaigne who was schedule to face the Giants before the rainout last night, and now gets a much easier matchup. Taking on Despaigne has the Eagles implied run total pushed well below four tonight, and this is an ugly spot for bats. The Eagles rank dead last on both sites in the stack tool and it’s not a spot you want to get to with any significant degree of exposure. The bats atop the lineup all look roughly the same in projections, though Tae-kyun Kim ($7/$3,400) and Ju-suk Ha ($9/$4,100) would be my primary building blocks from this team given their rating in my home run model and team-high projections. Adding Yong-kyu Lee ($8/$3,500) and calling it a three-man seems like the best approach to me.

The Wiz have been rolling for the last 10 days or more. The team has been one of the KBO’s more productive offenses of late, bolstered by Mel Rojas Jr. ($17/$6,100) who is among league leaders in most of the stats we care about for KBO DFS. It’s foolish to leave Rojas out of Wiz stacks regardless of his price, he’s having an MVP year and is showing no signs of slowing down. The two hitters on either side of him make for a fantastic core, Jae-gyun Hwang ($11/$5,900) has been on a tear since the end of June and is now at .306/.355/.464 and climbing for the season. Baek-ho Kang ($16/$5,300) has been a rock hitting cleanup for this team. He’s been able to continue his 2019 trend of limiting strikeouts and has been barreling the ball all over the yard. The .294 ISO and a WRC+ 61% above league average give us plenty to love about a somewhat popular hitter. The Wiz rank in the top half of stacks and look like a good target despite the matchup against Warwick Saupold. I would look at that three-man stack but it will be a popular approach. Adding hitters later in the lineup like Jeong-dae Bae ($10/$3,200) or possibly Kyung-soo Park ($8/$3,200) as a very cheap unpopular pivot at second base. He’s not a guy I love getting to though, it would be better if catcher Sung-woo Jang ($8/$3,200) moves up in the lineup. Up top Yong-ho Jo ($8/$2,700) isn’t unpopular, but he is very cheap and in a great spot setting up for the big bats behind him.

Kia Tigers @ Samsung Lions – 9.5 run total (4.50/5.21) – Suggested Stack(s): Tigers 2-6

These two teams are lingering in a big group of teams with nearly .500 records in the middle of KBO standings. This should be an interesting three game series if they all play, but this is one of the games threatened by rain tonight.

The Tigers visit Daegu to take on the Lions and starter David Buchanan tonight, and odds-makers are favoring the import starter who has been electric his last two times out and very good in seven of his last eight. The one clunker start was an oddball against the Eagles that we can chalk up to baseball variance. This is a good pitcher and the total for the Tigers is down to 4.5. They rank near the bottom of stacks on FanDuel but climb slightly on DraftKings where their team ownership provides some appeal. With Awesemo calculating the Tigers for an 8.2% probability of being the top stack it’s not a great spot, but it’s a night where the top team in the model is only at 15% and third place is just 12.3%. This puts the Tigers in play for me at 2.5% projected team ownership. The issue is fitting together enough of them with their redundant positioning on that site. Preston Tucker ($16/$6,000) gets mentioned almost every time we touch on this team, but he deserves it. The outfielder has had a scorching hot season so far and is among league leaders in home runs, RBIs, and slugging percentage. The Tigers leadoff hitter Chang-jin Lee ($5/$3,300) doesn’t strike fear into the hearts of opposing pitchers, but he’s cheap and in the right spot for KBO DFS players. Hyung-woo Choi ($13/$5,100) had this team’s biggest mark in my home run model, where Ji-wan Na ($9/$3,900) shines on an almost nightly basis as well. Don’t get sucked in by Chan-ho Park ($9/$3,800) and his two-homer week. The speedster is still pulling under a .300 on-base percentage for the year, which is in-line with his career .280 mark. The two home runs he hit in the last week served to nearly double his career total, which now sits at 5. This is not someone to target when they slide away from the top or bottom of the lineup, and when you play him there you’re doing so hoping to catch the game where he happens to get on and makes things happen with his legs. This is not a bat to attack.

The Lions are the favored team in this one behind Buchanan, and their healthy implied total of 5.21 has some appeal on the surface. They rank in the middle of the stacks tool but are drawing more attention than they have probability of being your best option. There are good bats here, but you’ll have to get creative about how to deploy them if you decide to go this route. Hae-min Park ($7/$2,900) is an inexpensive quality option if he’s hitting second. In that instance Tyler Saladino ($13/$4,600) slides back to the third spot and looks solid in both Awesemo’s projections and my home run model. Those two will also be the most popular bats on both sites. If you want to get different with this team look to Hak-ju Lee ($7/$4,600) who moves down in the lineup but loses all of the ownership that would otherwise be on him. I still like the look of Lee in my home run model, though his projection is diminished by the likelihood of losing a plate appearance. The power in Dong-yeop Kim’s ($8/$3,200) bat makes him a great target to connect those pieces of the lineup and Sung-gon Lee ($5/$2,800) is another good target for construction differentiation here.

LG Twins @ Lotte Giants – 8.5 run total (3.91/4.78) – Suggested Stack(s): Giants 9-1-2-3-4

The Twins certainly didn’t expect to be closer to the Giants and the bottom-half of KBO standings than they were to first place at this point in the season, but with a 2-7-1 slide over their last 10 they’re drawing ever closer to that ugly territory. With the lowest total on the slate, this game is projecting to be mostly bereft of offense, so there are likely better spots to look for KBO DFS picks tonight.

The Twins take on KBO ace Dan Straily here and draw a rare implied total below 4-runs. They drop to the bottom of the stack tool on both sites and, while there is a slight ownership edge, the five percent probability of being the best option is slipping out of logical range. The Twins bats will all be under 10% ownership on both sites tonight, so if this is the kind of play, you’re looking for feel free to play everyone you’d like. I’m not going to lean into it in any significant way, despite this being a lineup I look to frequently. The power for Roberto Ramos ($17/$4,800) is always a threat and he’s in a good spot hitting between Hyung-jong Lee ($6/$3,400) and Eun-sung Chae ($13/$3,000) most nights. That makes for a quality three-man approach to a bad angle. If you want to connect Hyun-soo Kim ($15/$4,500) I couldn’t blame you, but Kang-nam Yoo ($10/$4,500) doesn’t project well at all for Awesemo today, so I would think about other catching options before dropping in the lineup for his bat tonight.

The Giants don’t look great in the top stack tool either, but they get the better end of this matchup with Casey Kelly going for the Twins. Kelly hasn’t been great, although his 4.42 FIP is now on the better side of his 4.86 earned run average, suggesting there’s something to be had here. Kelly ranks in the mid-teens in most pitching categories in the KBO, he’s “fine” but doesn’t standout at anything specific. The Giants offer some quality bats from the top of this lineup, Hoon Jung ($9/$3,500) has done a great job holding down the leadoff spot and will look to score some runs for the big bats behind him. Jun-woo Jeon ($12/$3,800) and Dae-ho Lee ($10/$3,600) are threats to go deep every night, and Ah-seop Son ($13/$3,700) is among KBO leaders in average and on-base percentage at a ridiculous .353/.433/.479 slash. The latter trio is going to be popular on both sites, but you can differentiate builds with Jung and other correlated bats like Dong-hee Han ($10/$2,400) and Dixon Machado ($10/$4,200). Byung-hun Min ($9/$2,800) is another option to shake things up as a wrap-around play from the bottom of the order here.


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NC Dinos @ Kiwoom Heroes – 11.0 run total (5.52/5.73) – Suggested Stack(s): Dinos 1-3-4-5-6

The Dinos scorching 7-2-1 week created a bit of separation between them and the Heroes, who had begun to nip at their gigantic dinosaur heels atop the standings in recent weeks. This should still be a great game to watch and one we’re sure will play since it is being held in the league’s only domed stadium. The park is offense-friendly, so we should see some fireworks between these two powerhouse clubs. Vegas agrees with this one getting the night’s highest total, though not by a massive margin.

The Dinos will be without KBO superstar slugger Sung-bum Na who landed on the injured list over the weekend with a hand issue. Na is not expected to miss significant time but should be out for this week and the Dinos lineup will be a bit diminished in their series against the Heroes. Facing import starter Jake Brigham – what, you forgot? – is keeping the Dinos total healthy in this one. Brigham has been out since May 22nd with a lingering elbow issue and I can’t see him making it through too many innings here. We all know how ugly KBO’s bullpens are (we would if I update the KBO bullpen rankings anyway…) so this could become a quality spot for the Dinos quickly. They rank first on DraftKings and second on FanDuel and look like a great play on both sites. Aaron Altherr ($15/$5,300) benefits most from Na’s absence, filling in for the outfielder in the three-spot in this batting order. Altherr looks fantastic in both projections and my home run model once again. The outfielder has been quietly going about his business, amassing a .308/.377/.617 line with 16 home runs and a KBO-leading 55 RBIs to go with his 44 runs scored and 11 stolen bases. This is a guy having a strong season for KBO DFS owners who never left him, but he’s popular again and leads this team along with Eui-ji Yang ($13/$5,400). Suk-min Park ($10/$4,300) and Jin-sung Kang ($15/$4,100) could hit back to back in the five and six spots, or the Dino might split them with Jin-hyuk No ($9/$4,000) again here. In any order that trio provides great options to differentiate your Dinos builds. Don’t leave out Min-woo Park ($12/$5,100) at the top of this lineup either, let the public sleep on him until he really heats back up, I’d rather be there now.

The Heroes take on mid-range starter Jae-hak Lee tonight and they have a strong implied total that is the night’s second highest. The issue here is the popularity. The public looks to be going over the top on this team’s ownership. There are great bats here but too many people will be on them and I’m not sure it’s a spot I want to chase the public. The top four bats in the lineup admittedly look fantastic in Awesemo’s projections, and I’m sure I’ll have some, but you have to consider alternate constructions and big ownership plays to make them work. Those bats include Keon-chang Seo ($11/$4,400), Ha-seong Kim ($16/$5,600), Jung-hoo Lee ($14/$4,600), and Byung-ho Park ($14/$4,500). I might pick my favorite two then look to hitters like Dong-won Park ($9/$5,100) and Hye-sung Kim ($9/3,600) later in the lineup for some help with differentiation.

SK Wyverns @ Doosan Bears – 10.5 run total (4.67/6.02) – Suggested Stack(s): Bears 1-2-3-4-6

While the Dinos and Heroes beat up on one another, the Bears are in a great spot to gain ground with a three-game set against the lowly Wyverns. SK ranks just two games ahead of the laughably bad Eagles at the bottom of KBO standings, and the Bears are pulling the night’s highest implied team total against them here.

With Young-ha Lee scheduled to take the mound for the Bears for the third night in a row it could be a bit of a crapshoot what happens with his production and pitch count. The Wyverns rank in the top half of the stack tool but people aren’t shy about getting to them with their pricing on both sites. The return of Dong-min Han ($9/$4,400) should help solidify this lineup, keep an eye on where he’s hitting, the further he moves up the batting order the better I like him here. Jeong Choi ($14/$5,200) and Jamie Romak ($13/$4,300) are the obvious bats in the heart of this order, both look like reasonably good home run plays today, and Tea-in Chae ($5/$2,300) remains cheap despite a productive stretch.

The Bears are in the opposite position of the Dinos on both sites, ranking second on DraftKings and first on FanDuel. If you can figure out how to put these two teams together without starting me ($0.01/$0.01) as one of your pitchers, congratulations, you might win a GPP tonight. Both squads are going under-owned and that’s going to get a lot of my attention where I can make it work. The high prices and positioning make it a challenge, but there are ways we can click together good Dinos bats along with Kun-woo Park ($14/$4,900), Jae-il Oh ($15/$4,900), and Jae Hwan Kim ($17/$5,700) although getting all that and Jose Miguel Fernandez ($17/$6,400) is going to be impossible, so you’ll have to make some choices. Kyung-min Hur ($10/$4,600) and Joo-hwan Choi ($13/$4,200) provide some quality salary, popularity and positional relief.


Favorite KBO DFS Stack: NC Dinos (DraftKings) / Doosan Bears (FanDuel)

HR Call: Jae-hwan Kim (Doosan)


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Author
Terry used to do other things, now he writes words on the internet. He hopes his more than 20 years’ experience in season-long and daily fantasy sports and his custom models for MLB, NBA, and NFL don't steer you too wrong when he writes columns and makes picks on Awesemo.com. A lifetime of experience keeping odd hours make Terry ideal to cover KBO baseball overnight until the world returns to normal. Most of those late night hours have been spent on the couch watching sports, T.V., and movies; just try to shut him up about any of the above. You can find his pop-culture ramblings and more on Sideaction.

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