MLB DFS Picks: Spotlight Pitchers for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, July 4 (FREE)

Thursday, July 4th is providing several options for our MLB DFS enjoyment on Yahoo, DraftKings and FanDuel, along with games in Coors Field, Cincinnati, Atlanta, and Texas which should make things very interesting in tournaments. Before you lock in your fantasy baseball lineups, make sure to check out Awesemo’s MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.

For Thursday’s free Spotlight Hitters and Stacks article click here 


I wanted to put a different spin on Spotlight DFS Pitchers, so I’m giving everyone a peek behind the curtain on how I look at them. Below you’ll find two tables, one for DraftKings and one for FanDuel, with the pitcher pool for today’s slate. In the table, you’ll find the pitcher’s name, salary, my projection and my percentage likelihood that they hit a particular target score.

This is the information that helps me make my decisions for which pitchers to roster. Using my projected stat line for a pitcher, I can estimate their chances of scoring 45+ FD points or 30+ DK points. These targets ignore the points acquired for getting the win, as I use the Vegas odds to set those scores for my pitchers.

Since I am a strict MME player in baseball, these are the thresholds I’ve determined I want on a day-to-day basis to try and win a tournament. Because of the difference in roster construction between the sites, I end up with a concentrated pool on FanDuel and a more spread out pool on DraftKings.

FanDuel

[table id=1177 /]

DraftKings

[table id=1178 /]

Yahoo

[table id=1201 /]

We only have a four game main slate for the Fourth of July, but that doesn’t mean there’s a lack of pitching options.

FanDuel MLB DFS Picks

Hyun-Jin Ryu is the clear top pitching option of the slate, but the salary might be a tough fit because of the hitter salaries. He would still be my priority in cash games, but it’s possible you can put together a stronger lineup top to bottom by paying down a bit. Mike Soroka looks interesting at $8800. The Phillies lean a bit to the right, which should help Soroka work through this lineup. He’s my second favorite guy on FanDuel, but it’s really close between him and Griffin Canning. Canning clearly has the best strikeout matchup, but pitching in Texas in the summer isn’t easy. The ownership between Soroka and Ganning will determine my focus.

DraftKings MLB DFS Picks

Ryu is an even tougher sell on DraftKings, with a monster price and no real pay-down options to pair him with. I prefer going to a Soroka/Canning pairing since Hector Velasquez is the only cheap arm on the slate and he doesn’t really have the ability to go deep into this game. I would be more interested in Dinelson Lamet if his price was a bit lower, but there’s no way I can target him in his debut against the Dodgers. The Soroka/Canning pairing would also be my preferred cash combination.

Yahoo MLB DFS Picks

I feel like a broken record, but Soroka/Canning is my favorite pairing on Yahoo. Ryu’s price relative to the rest of the pitcher pool is better here than it is on DraftKings/FanDuel, so he should be a bit easier to fit in with another starter. This is a spot where Zach Eflin is a bit more in play at just $36. It’s a rough matchup, but the pickings are slim and he’s the best “cheap” starter available on Yahoo today.


Of course, please do stop by our Awesemo YouTube channel for loads of FREE MLB DFS content, including fantasy MLB lineup advice on The Strategy Show with Josh Engleman and Loughy, as well as MLB picks on Four Corners with Chris Spags, and the MLB Deep Dive with Awesemo, Loughy and ShipMyMoney, where they’ll discuss Awesemo’s MLB rankings.

Author
Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

Premium Data

Yahoo! NBA Ownership

FanDuel NBA DFS Ownership

NBA DFS Ownership – Main Slate

NBA DFS Boom/Bust Probability

NBA DFS Projections

NBA Data Central

MLB Data Central

1 thought on “MLB DFS Picks: Spotlight Pitchers for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, July 4 (FREE)”

  1. can you do a similar format to the stacks article in where you have the pitchers ownership% in 1 column and % of being top scorer in the next

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