Connect with us

DraftKings

MLB Picks: Chris Randone’s MLB DFS Roses of the Day: Minnesota Twins? Mike Montgomery?

Avatar

Published

on

Welcome to the Roses of the Day, a column highlighting my MLB picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, & Yahoo.

One Month of Stokastic+ Platinum FREE when you make your first deposit on PrizePicks. Claim this offer now by clicking here!

My name is Chris Randone and if you ever watched The Bachelor or The Bachelorette, then you know getting a rose means everything. It symbolized the guy or girl giving them out has an interest in you. When you get a rose, it means you survive to keep fighting for love.

Well in daily fantasy sports it’s no different. We go through a list of MLB picks deciding who will survive and make the cut into our lineups. These players fight to help us win. A true definition of love. I’ve learned being on the show that you never give out roses just for fun – there has to be a meaning behind it. We’ll take that same approach here. For tonight’s rose ceremony I’ll give my Top Stack, Top Pitcher, Surprise Pitcher, & Surprise Stack MLB Picks of this main slate.

For more free MLB picks and analysis, go to the Awesemo.com YouTube Channel to catch our livestreams. And make sure to check out Awesemo’s MLB rankings and projections for more free MLB picks. Not a member? Sign up HERE.


Top Stack

Minnesota Twins, will you accept this rose?

The Minnesota Twins have been surprising this year with the number one offense against right-handed pitching on the road and it’s not even close. The Twins have pounded 108 home runs against righties on the road and own the best ISO (.241), wRC+ (122), wOBA (.355), and wRC (323). The Twins will face Boston right-handed Rick Porcello, who has changed over the years from having 55 percent of batted balls were hit on the ground to now giving up 43 percent of batted balls fly balls which has resulted in more home runs the last few years.

Rick Porcello owns 5.05 SIERA on the season ranking eighth worst in baseball. Porcello also owns the worst ERA in baseball of qualifying pitchers with a 5.42 earned run average. The Boston righty has given up 26 home runs this season and the Twins have ridiculous power across the lineup. Mitch Garver’s .351 ISO and Miguel Sano’s .342 ISO on the season against right-handed pitching on the road should poise trouble for Porcello. 

Tail Awesemo's Sports Betting Picks Today!

Pitcher to Fade, Stack to Consider 

Los Angeles Angels, will you accept this rose?

Mike Fiers owns the fourth worst SIERA of 5.22 in all of baseball. Fiers has struggled with striking batters out as he’s only struck out 16.6 percent of batters on the season. Fiers will face an Angels team that strikeout third lowest in baseball at 19.5 percent against right-handed pitching on the road. Mike Trout has hit 12 home runs and owns a .526 ISO against right-handed pitching on the road since July 1st which ranks tops in all of baseball. Brian Goodwin’s .414 ISO and Kole Calhoun’s .354 ISO since July 1st won’t help Fiers in this game. Angels present power and discipline at the plate which doesn’t work well for Fiers’s matchup.

Value Pitcher (Draftkings)

Mike Montgomery, will you accept this rose?

The Detroit Tigers are one of the worst teams in baseball when it comes to facing left-handed pitchers. On the year, the Tigers have struck out 25.7 percent against southpaws. The Tigers .148 ISO ranks fourth worst in MLB. Mike Montgomery will have the opportunity to take the mound against the Tigers putrid offense. Montgomery isn’t your ideal strikeout pitcher owning only an 18.4 percent strikeout rate on the season but he is better against right-handers (21.4 percent strikeout rate) and he’ll get plenty of opportunities against right-handed batters with the Tigers rolling out a projected seven or eight right-handed batters in the lineup. 

Montgomery’s matchup is great but it’s his price point that’s driving ownership. The southpaws $4300 price tag on Draftkings and his recent dominance of 7 shutout innings as he struck out 12 Detroit batters helps his case.  Montgomery’s 5.32 FIP and 25 percent home run to fly ball right is a concern but the Tigers don’t possess much power. The Tigers have hit a league low 26 home runs against left-handed pitching all season and rank last in run scored (109). Montgomery’s price point and strikeout matchup upside makes him a lock on Draftkings. 

 

 

 

Sign up to Receive Expert DFS Advice & Exclusive Offers From Stokastic

Subscriber Counter

We respect your email privacy

More MLB