Welcome UFC fans, the UFC is live T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas with an exciting catchweight title fight headlining UFC 272: Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal. Below are MMA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy UFC lineups with the help of Awesemo’s expert UFC DFS projections. Let’s dig into some UFC picks for UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal.
Make sure to check out the best UFC 272 predictions, picks and best bets from Josh Harris over at the Awesemo MMA betting hub.
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal | DraftKings & FanDuel MMA DFS Picks Today
Top-End UFC PicksÂ
Umar Nurmagomedov | DraftKings: $9,600 , FanDuel: $22
Nurmagomedov is a grappling monster, who has dominated his opponents on the ground with six wins via submission. That said, in his fight with Sergey Morozov, Nurmagomedov showed his lack of experience by rushing in and forcing his back takes. If he rushes Brian Kelleher, it could very easily cost him his first loss. However, I expect his coaches have corrected the issues and should see a more composed Nurmagomedov in this fight. For UFC DFS today, Nurmagomedov is a solid paly in all formats. Awesemo’s MMA projections give Nurmagomedov 85% win odds with a 36% chance for a knockout.
Nurmagomedov was one of the top fighters popping in the Awesemo MMA DFS optimizer projections today. He’s a top UFC Pick for this slate. Check out all of our free fantasy MMA DFS Picks and projections in our DraftKings UFC DFS Cheat Sheet and FanDuel UFC DFS Cheat Sheet.
Kevin Holland | DraftKings: $9,100, FanDuel: $21
Holland is dropping back down to welterweight after tying the record for most UFC wins in a calendar year in 2020 (five). He had a disappointing 2021, suffering back-to-back defeats against Derek Brunson and Marvin Vettori. In those fights, his lack of grappling was exposed and could carry over if the issues have not been addressed. Holland is an athletic fighter, with solid striking and explosive power in his hands. Moving down in weight class might be exactly what Holland needs to be competitive again. For UFC DFS picks today, Holland is a good play with a high ceiling, due to his finishing abilities. Awesemo’s UFC projections give Holland 74% win odds with a 48% chance for knockout.
Mid-Range UFC Picks
Devonte Smith |DraftKings: $8,500, FanDuel: $17
Smith will slowly push forward, always looking for the kill shot. He is athletic, quick, explosive and possess devastating power in his hands. Smith uses his jab extremely well and throws nasty leg kicks to slow his opponent’s movement. He is a dangerous, violent and very explosive with his striking. Smith’s lack of defense and suspect chin could open the door for Ludovit Klein to land a big shot and put Smith to sleep. However, I expect Smith will find the kill shot early and end Klein’s night. For UFC DFS lineups, take shots on both sides of this fight, but the lean is with Smith’s explosiveness. Awesemo’s MMA fantasy projections give Smith 60% win odds with a 37% chance for a knockout.
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UFC Value Picks
Rafael Dos Anjos | DraftKings: $7,300, FanDuel: $18
Dos Anjos has not fought since 2020, when he returned to the lightweight division with a decision victory against Paul felder. He is a well-rounded fighter with a dangerous Muay Thai game, elite wrestling and excellent jiu-jitsu. Dos Anjos was initially slated to face Rafael Fiziev, who was forced to withdraw after testing positive for COVID. Now, Dos Anjos will face Renato Moicano, who took this fight on four days’ notice. Dos Anjos is a southpaw, which could cause issues for Moicano style of fighting, meaning Moicano will have to spend more time hand fighting Dos Anjos’ lead hand. For MMA DFS today, Dos Anjos is a solid value play with huge upside at $7,300. Awesemo’s UFC projections give Dos Anjos 60% win odds with a 32% chance for a knockout.
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