UFC Fight Night DFS Picks and Value Plays: Petr Yan Takes-Merab Dvalishvili in Main Event

The promotion is staying in Las Vegas live from The Theater at Virgin Hotels for UFC Fight Night. The main event will feature a bantamweight bout Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili. The co-main event will be a heavyweight bout with Alexander Volkov facing off against Alexander Romanov. Below are some UFC Fight Night DFS picks, including key Petr Yan-Merab Dvalishvili DFS plays, with the help of Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections,

Let’s see what is on tap and find some of the best UFC Fight Night DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

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UFC Fight Night DFS Picks: Petr Yan-Merab Dvalishvili

Top-End Pick: Mario Bautista | DraftKings: $9,700, FanDuel: $22

Mario Bautista is currently riding a three-fight winning streak with two coming via submission and one via decision. He has 5 wins in his last 6 bouts and will be looking to keep his streak alive tonight against Guido Cannetti. Bautista lands a big amount of strikes at 5.6 per minute and walks his opponent down using his jab and power hooks. Expect Bautista to stay patient and wait for the fast staring Cannetti to slow and pour on the power striking. According to The Top Fighters Tool  Bautista is the second highest projected fighter with 88.8% win odds and a 48.6% chance of being a top-6 fighter.

Mid-Priced Pick: Sedriques Dumas  | DraftKings: $8,800, FanDuel: $18

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Sedriques Dumas will be making his UFC debut and he is coming in on fire. He finished DeWitt Dixon in the first round with a nasty head kick. He followed that up with a unanimous decision over Aaron Highbaugh and submitted Matej Penaz in the first round to secure his UFC contract. Dumas is a technical striker with solid power that can put his opponents lights out as he has showed with four wins coming via knockout. He also has a nice grappling game with two wins coming via submission. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections, give him 66.6% win odds with a 53,7% chance for a knockout.

Mid-Priced Pick: Victor Henry  | DraftKings: $8,400, FanDuel: $17

Victor Henry had years of experience and success on the Japanese circuit which finally led to a UFC debut in January of 2022, where he upset Raoni Barcelos via decision. Henry is extremely durable and for that reason he has a slight edge over Tony Gravel who faded in his most recent fight against Javid Basharat losing via decision. Both fighters are coming in on losses. Expect Henry’s durability to outlast Gravel and possibly find a late submission. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections, give him 57.3% win odds.

Value Pick: Ryan Spann | DraftKings: $7,500, FanDuel: $15

Ryan Spann is coming off a first-round knockout win against Dominick Reyes in November. He has bounced between the middleweight and light heavyweight divisions early in his MMA career. But seems to have found his home at the light heavyweight division where he has thrived in recent bouts. Spann has dangerous striking with huge power that keep put anyone’s lights out. He also possesses a dangerous submission game and made Ion Cutelaba tap in November which is no easy feat considering his grappling skills. Expect Spann to try and keep this fight on the feet where his power, jab and straight right hand could easily finish the durable Nikita Krylov. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections  give him 39.3% win odds with a 33.5% chance for a knockout.

Quick Pick : Merab Dvalishvili  | DraftKings: $7,000, FanDuel: $16

Merab Dvalishvili has the durability and skill set to pull off the upset over Petr Yan.


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