NASCAR

Lilly Diabetes 250 Cheat Sheet and Projections

Published

4 years ago

September 8, 2018

Phillip Bennetzen

NASCAR DFS picks for DraftKings Xfinity Beef 300 at Daytona

Monday, yes the race got moved to Monday, looks pretty straightforward.

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lock and load Blaney as your single Hog (with just 100 laps you’ll only need one)
add Austin Dillon and Austin Cindric who both start in the 30’s for place differential
stay fairly balanced with the remainder of your roster or…
- grab a punt play and add a few more expensive drivers to your lineup

That above is for sure going to be the chalk lineup construction and if you’re still playing NASCAR DFS at this point then you know which ways you should pivot and what chalk is worth eating. Below are my projections for where driver’s “should” finish but remember this a NASCAR event and it’s running with the aero package so who knows if we see a race like Pocono earlier this year or another lap turner like Indy was last season.

Name	$	st	Fn	Analysis
Ryan Blaney	11500	1	1	In the opening weekend of the NFL season I look at these Xfinity salaries and ponder just where did DK get some of these numbers from like for example Blaney in the best car for less than $12K. Finished 2nd in his last Indy race in the Xfinity series. He starts on the pole thanks to qualifying getting rained out, lock and load Blaney as your single Hog.
Chase Elliott	11900	10	2	Chase will probably end up going under owned because dyed in the wool NASCAR degenerates (the only people playing now) won't want to pay nearly $12K for Chase, as the most expensive driver, in a Gallagher vehicle but he did finish 2nd for this outfit earlier in the Summer at Pocono. We know Chase is probably the most talented driver in the field but can he make talent surmount what may be the 12th or 13th best vehicle in the field like he nearly did at the Tricky Triangle.
Ty Dillon	8300	14	3	The only former Indy winner in the entire field and DK makes Ty the 12th highest priced driver? Exploit the siilly algorithym and just play Ty.
Cole Custer	9700	5	4
Daniel Hemric	8700	8	5
Justin Allgaier	10700	2	6
Elliott Sadler	10000	4	7
Christopher Bell	11100	7	8
Austin Cindric	7800	31	9	This pick doesn't need much explanation beyond you're getting a Penske powered vehicle, with a fairly good to alright driver, starting in the 30's.
Ryan Truex	8900	13	10
Matt Tifft	8000	12	11
Ryan Reed	7600	15	12	Speaking of discounts, we can either play Ross Chastain as if he were stll in the Penske #42 or we can go up just $100 to Reed because whatever you think of Roush-Fenway, it's still infinitely better than JD Motorsports. Regardless, in Reed's last two races at Indy he has finishes of 6th and 13th.
Austin Dillon	9000	32	13	Once again, thanks to the rain out we get Austin starting way back in the 30's. Let it be fully noted that a Kaulig race horse should not win this event but you're playing Austin because of his place differential anyways.
Ross Chastain	7500	16	14
John H Nemechek	8500	6	15
Ryan Preece	8100	3	16
Alex Labbe	6200	20	17	If we don't see much movement among drivers, despite what NASCAR wants to see with the aero-package, then Labbe makes a great option as a cheaper driver who can hit value just by finishing where he started.
Brandon Jones	9400	11	18
Ryan Sieg	6900	19	19
Michael Annett	7000	17	20
Jeremy Clements	6700	18	21
Tyler Reddick	9200	9	22
Joey Gase	6000	21	23
David Starr	5800	29	24
Garrett Smithley	7200	23	25
BJ Mcleod	6300	28	26
Tommy Jo Martins	5100	24	27	In the past six races, Martins has finishes of 21st, 40th, 19th, and 22nd. If you like current form as an indicator of a driver's expectations then Martins is perhaps the best punt play on the board.
Josh Williams	5600	25	28
Spencer Boyd	5400	34	29
Chase Briscoe	7300	22	30
Bayley Currey	4900	39	31	Every time we play Bayley he starts near dead last and manages to work his way forward, he offers the most place differential upside of any punt play.
JJ Yeley	6500	27	32
Josh Bilicki	5500	35	33
Chad Finchum	5200	36	34
Vinnie Miller	5900	30	35
Mike Harmon	4700	38	36
Caesar Bacarella	5000	26	38	More of a fade candidate play than anything, every time Caesar gets in one of McLeod's vehicles, he ends up with a DNF. Just go down to Bayley and cheer for the kid.
Jeff Green	4500	33	39
Morgan Shepherd	4400	40	40

Phillip Bennetzen

Phill Bennetzen is a father, husband, and Catholic as well as a self-professed annoying fitness guy. Phill heads up NASCAR content at Awesemo.com. You can contact Phill by emailing [email protected].