NASCAR DFS Xfinity Picks for the Skrewball Peanut Butter Whiskey 200

The field is set for Saturday’s race at Watkins Glen with Justin Allgaier and Austin Cindric on the front row. Therefore, let’s jump into the top NASCAR DFS Xfinity Picks for the Skrewball Peanut Butter Whiskey 200 at Watkins Glen.

Skrewball Peanut Butter Whiskey 200 NASCAR DFS Picks on DraftKings

Austin Cindric, 2nd ($10,300) GPP (Dominator), Cash

Cindric has just about every metric or trend on his side this week that a driver could want. First, his team owner Roger Penske has won four of the past five Xfinity races at Watkins Glen. That most recent win in 2019 includes Cindric himself. Second, of those past five winners, none have started worse than second. Whoever among the front row who has established position early has gone on to lead the most laps and eventually win.

Finally, and most important, is Cindric’s talent at road courses. Although he doesn’t own the most wins in the past ten road races (2), he has been in a position to win several more but was wrecked out or spun out, including Mid-Ohio of late. In terms of laps led, Cindric outranks everyone (137) since Road America in 2019 and average finish despite no wins since the 2020 Daytona Road Course. At BET MGM, Cindric is the outright favorite at +180.

AJ Allmendinger, 6th ($10,300) GPP (Dominator), Cash

If anyone is going to break the streak of five straight wins coming from the front row, as well as Penske’s hold over this track, it will be the driver who was two laps from doing so in 2019. In a spot start for Kaulig Motorsports, Allmendinger started seventh and led 24 laps. However, he failed to lead the final two laps of that race before getting overtaken by Austin Cindric late. Allmendinger’s effort would be all for not later on as the vehicle was disqualified during tear down. Regardless, Allmendinger was a threat that day, and he should be on DFS players’ radars today as a potential dominator and winner.

Allmendinger will have a leg up on this field with no practice or qualifying, thanks to his start in the Trucks race earlier today. While racing in the Trucks Series can’t be directly compared to the Xfinity Series, the seat time will give Allmendinger more than enough knowledge of how this track has changed, if at all, since the last time he or anyone else from this race was here. As far as the betting markets are concerned, Allmendinger follows Cindric closely, coming in at +210 to win.

Ty Gibbs, 15th ($10,800) GPP (Dominator), Cash

Anytime Gibbs is behind the wheel of the 54, he’s always on the DFS radar because of talent, equipment, and motivation. His talent goes without saying. Gibbs has been able to march into the Xfinity Series and win at multiple venues as a true 18-year-old with just ARCA experience, including the Daytona Road Course. Equipment-wise, the 54 has graced the winner’s circle multiple times this year (7), and that includes three road course victories. Finally, with the playoff picture having no impact on Gibbs, he is free to go out and just run to win. This final point could really be exacerbated today as the playoffs are just four races away, and several drivers with no wins will be racing for points today.

After starting on the pole in Saturday’s ARCA race and finishing third after leading 14 laps, Gibbs sits third in odds at +500.

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Kris Wright, 23rd ($4,500) GPP | Jesse Little, 26th ($4,600) GPP

Unlike today’s Trucks race, there are viable punt options provided the right story can be told. Wright makes his fifth start of the year for Sam Hunt in the 26. Thus far, Wright has 2 DNFs as well as two top-25 finishes. Wright’s most likely outcome, provided he finishes, is that he finishes around his starting position like he did at both the Daytona Road Course and Road America. With a 22nd place finish, Wright would score 21 fantasy points.

As per Little, since the Indianapolis GP in 2020, he has had three top 20 finishes at road courses in six starts. For the most part, Little’s results mirror Wright’s finishing, where he started with two of those top-20 efforts coming from top-20 starting positions. Thus, the floor/ ceiling projections for Little are lower than Wright’s. However, with some attrition, Little could see a higher score thanks to his hair more place differential potential.

This is all to say, both of these drivers provide a path to stars and scrub lineup that DFS players didn’t have access to in the Trucks race. On the other hand, just because the path exists doesn’t mean the road should be taken. Just know it’s there.

Josh Bilicki, 29th ($7,500) GPP, Cash

This price tag may scare off people, especially when they look at Bilicki’s numbers of late. Those who just know him from this Cup time at Rick Ware Racing will be more than happy to fade Bilicki. Those who have been playing Xfinity NASCAR DFS should be aware of Bilicki’s road racing background. However, an average finish of 20th in seven road races isn’t necessarily a driver most are chasing. Yet, these starts have been for the combination of Rod Sieg, BJ McLeod, and lastly Bobby Dotter. Somehow, this will be Bilicki’s first start for Rick Ware in the Xfinity Series at a road course. Say what some will about Rick Ware, but this 17 car has been competitive for the most part in the Xfinity Series. Now, the car will have someone whose racing background is actually at road courses.

Since the return to racing last season, Billicki has had five starts at road courses, three of which resulted in top-20 finishes. At the very least, with his place differential, Bilicki is a floor play for cash. With his skill and a little attrition that is accustomed to happening in these Xfinity road races, Billicki could easily be a top-ten driver and pay off in tournaments.

Sam Mayer, 32nd ($9,700) GPP | Austin Dillon, 33rd ($9,900) GPP, Cash | Erik Jones, 36th ($10,600) GPP, Cash

Mayer, Dillon, and Jones – a gaggle of questionable place differential.

Mayer has the best equipment out of this trio. The crazy part of Mayer’s run for JR Motorsports has been his inability to take this car and really be competitive. In Mayer’s only road course start this season in the 8, he finished 35th back at Road America after wrecking out. In four races, Mayer has crashed out in two while his best effort was ninth at Atlanta. Hopefully, for Mayer, added track time will boost his finish on Saturday afternoon after racing in the ARCA race on Friday and spending time in the Holmes’ 32 in the Trucks Series event.

Dillon will be racing for Our Motorsports in the 23 car. Results for this vehicle have been all over the place, mostly dependent on who’s been behind the wheel. When Tyler Reddick or Ty Dillon drove this car, it hasn’t been a contender, but it has been more competitive than three-quarters of the field. Frankly, that’s all that’s needed out of this vehicle, as Dillon is nothing more than a place differential play. Dillon has steadily improved as a road course driver and is considering where he’s at talent-wise at road courses. He should be a real threat to finish in the top ten. On a damp track at Austin, Dillon finished 13th in the Bassett Brothers 77.

Finally, Erik Jones gets some extra seat time this weekend for Jordan Anderson in the 31. Looking at just results, this vehicle looks oddly similar to the 23 of Our Motorsports – it’s all a matter of who’s behind the wheel. Erik Jones is talented in his own right, despite whatever tarnish his short time in the RPM 43 has done to his brand. Despite his downgrade in equipment from Joe Gibbs to Richard Petty in the Cup Series, Jones has still finished top-20 in all four Cup road races. Thus, the talent has obviously gone nowhere. It’s just a question of how high can Jones finish in this vehicle? Considering Josh Berry was able to finish 8th at Mid-Ohio, a top-ten for Jones is well within the range of outcomes for Jones.

Ranked in order of upside; Jones, Dillon, and with the widest range of outcomes – Mayer.

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Author

Phillip Bennetzen

Phill Bennetzen is the creator of the RaceSheets; all-inclusive stats and data NASCAR DFS spreadsheets for the Trucks, Xfinity, and Cup Series. Phill and the RaceSheets can be found at racesheetsdfs.substack.com