The field is set for Saturday’s Xfinity race at Texas with AJ Allmendinger and Austin Cindric on the front row. Therefore, let’s jump into the top NASCAR DFS picks on DraftKings for this Saturday’s Andy’s Frozen Custard 335 at Texas Motor Speedway. Below you’ll find some of my NASCAR DFS tips for building optimal lineups
Andy’s Frozen Custard 335 Xfinity NASCAR DFS Picks for DraftKings
Austin Cindric, 2nd ($9,800 DraftKings) Cash, GPP (Dominator)
Whether the stats are sorted in terms of form at intermediate tracks, or just Texas isolated, Cindric is the most consistently top-end finishing driver of everyone in Saturday’s field. As per this season, Cindric has finished in the top-five in five of seven intermediate races with laps led in six of those events. As per Texas, Cindric comes back to Fort Worth with four straight top-four finishes with laps led in each of those races. If there is cause for concern, it’s the fact that Cindric has yet to lead the most laps in any Texas start and he’s only done it once so far at 1.5-mile tracks this year (Homestead). Thus, for tournaments, it may be wiser to pivot from Cindric who tends to carry high ownership from week to week. However, for cash games, Cindric provides such a solid floor that it’s hard to look past him at just the sixth-highest-priced driver this Saturday.
Noah Gragson, 4th ($9,600 DraftKings) Cash, GPP (Dominator) | Justin Allgaier, 6th ($10,200 DraftKings) Cash, GPP (Dominator)
The last time Chevrolet won at Texas, in the Xfinity Series, was way back in 2016 — the last race before the track was repaved. Considering how the Xfinity Series is basically 75% Chevrolet, it’s a mystery how one manufacturer could go winless so long here. However, if one Chevy driver is going to break this streak, it should be Justin Allgaier, who has been relatively close in the past two Texas races. Last Fall, Allgaier led 35 laps before wrecking out on Lap 175 and finishing 26th. Fast forward to the spring race of this season, and Allgaier ends his day in second after leading 23 laps.
In this same conversation, Noah Gragson deserves consideration based on his strong second-place finish last year in this event when he was one lap away from winning. Even in what was considered a pitiful start to his season, Gragson still had fair results in the spring race with a seventh-place finish. The last time Gragson finished outside of the top 10 at an intermediate track was way back in May at Charlotte.
As far as betting odds go, both Gragson and Allgaier sit at +600 at BetMGM, tied for the third-highest odds of the week.
John Hunter Nemechek, 10th ($10,700 DraftKings) Cash, GPP (Dominator)
Back-to-back Texas winners have come from drivers not worried about the playoff picture. In the spring, Kyle Busch drove this same No. 54 car to Victory Circle after leading 94 of the 171 laps. Last fall saw another Toyota, Harrison Burton, who was out of the playoffs by that time, lead 24 laps en route to his own victory. Speaking of Toyota, they’ve won four of the last five Xfinity races in Texas. These two trends can both be fulfilled by Nemechek as he drives the No. 54 this week. Much of the attention put on this vehicle has been its four road course victories. However, this same car was driven to Victory Lane in Charlotte, Texas, Nashville and Atlanta.
In Nemechek’s prior Xfinity starts for Chip Ganassi and Maury Gallagher, Nemechek failed to finish outside of the top 10. Now, in better equipment, Nemechek should be a threat to win, if not just be a potential dominator at a venue he won at in the Trucks Series this season. Furthermore, don’t forget he was able to take Sam Hunt’s No. 26 Toyota and finish third at Richmond. Nemechek currently sits second in outright odds at BetMGM (+400).
Ryan Sieg, 22nd ($7,300 DraftKings) Cash, GPP
Simply put, Sieg is the mid-tier salaried driver DFS players need, in order, to make lineups come together this week. Starting 22nd, he’s a source of potential double-digit place differential based on his history at Texas with four top-12 finishes in his last six starts. For what it’s worth, the two times he failed to finish in the top-12 were due to mechanical failures. As per this season, Sieg likewise finds the top-12 on a regular basis doing so in four of this season’s seven intermediate track races. In this range, people may opt for the cheaper Tanner Berryhill ($6,900) or Dylan Lupton ($6,700) but neither driver offers the upside of Sieg.
Kaz Grala, 32nd ($11,200 DraftKings) GPP
With pricing soft, on DraftKings, across both the Xfinity and Cup slates, paying north of $11,000 for a driver like Kaz Grala in Jordan Anderson’s mid-tier equipment isn’t quite as egregious as it seems at first glance. Grala is perfectly capable of driving this car from the 30s into the teens, perhaps even push for a top-10 finish. For the 2021 season, a myriad of drivers including Grala himself, plus Tyler Reddick, Josh Berry, Austin Dillon and Sage Karam have finished 20th or better in ten starts this season. However, the true measure of Grala’s viability comes down to him pushing for a top 10. In non-drafting oval events, the No. 31 has done that exactly twice; Reddick’s eighth-place finish at Charlotte and Ty Dillon’s eighth-place finish at Las Vegas.
In double-ups or head-to-head games, Grala seems like an easy choice but at this salary, DFS players can get access to somewhat similar place differential upside at much lower salaries (i.e. JJ Yeley starting 33rd, priced at $7,400 in the Rick Ware No. 17). Yet, in tournaments, Grala’s salary may turn off enough people that he becomes worth rostering for those who want to use him in lieu of a second dominator or paired with two dominators in a stars and scrubs build.
Bayley Currey, 39th ($5,200 DraftKings) Cash, GPP
After yielding this seat to Kris Wright last week at the Charlotte Roval, Currey is back behind the No. 15 driving for Johnny Davis. The past two weeks have been concerning for this car with mechanical failures ending the afternoons both at Talladega and the Roval. However, these issues are blips in a season that has seen the No. 15 finish races in the majority of its starts. In fact, the last time something mechanical ended this car’s day was back at Martinsville — a grueling 250 lap race that will test any lower to mid-tier equipment.
For the season, Currey’s numbers don’t look too fantastic but DFS players have to account for Currey driving for Mike Harmon, who could randomly decide this is the week that money is tight and Currey gets to start and park. Since moving over from MHR, Currey has had three starts for Johnny Davis, which includes finishing 13th at Las Vegas. It’s hard to project a similar finish for Currey, who would need attrition once more to have another top-15 finish. Yet, at this salary, if Currey can simply finish 25th or better, Currey will blow past 5x value and be fundamental to both cash and tournament lineups.Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media! Looking for more NASCAR DFS picks content? We have loads of articles, data, DraftKings and FanDuel cheat sheets and more on the Stokastic NASCAR DFS home page.
FanDuel NASCAR Cheat Sheet: Kwik Trip 250 Expert DFS Picks & Fantasy Driver Rankings
DraftKings NASCAR Cheat Sheet: Kwik Trip 250 Expert DFS Picks & Fantasy Driver Rankings
NASCAR DFS Ownership Projections for DraftKings and FanDuel
NASCAR Top Drivers Tool – DFS Dominators on FanDuel and DraftKings NASCAR DFS
NASCAR DFS Projections for DraftKings and FanDuel
NASCAR DFS Rankings for DraftKings and FanDuel
Kwik Trip 250 NASCAR DFS Tournament & GPP Picks | DraftKings & FanDuel
NASCAR DFS: Top NASCAR Kwik Trip 250 Road America Value Picks | DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR Fantasy