The big dance is about to get underway, but before the world turns its attention to March Madness, we’ve still got some enticing NBA slates to handicap. Bettors looking to find the best NBA or college basketball player props can easily get overwhelmed by the onslaught of on-court action this time of year. Even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Jayson Tatum player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.
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Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Monday.
Today’s Top NBA Player Props | March 13
Jayson Tatum Prop O/U 9.5 Rebounds
The Boston Celtics will face the Houston Rockets tonight in a game that they should win in a blowout. The Celtics are a 12.5-point favorite after drubbing the Rockets by 24 back in December. Jayson Tatum is averaging 8.9 rebounds per game but recorded only eight in that game.
NBA Bet Pro projects Tatum for only 8.9 rebounds tonight, well below this number. The under has a projected win rate of 58%, slightly better than the implied odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook (55.6%). This play is one of the most exploitable numbers on the board, but bettors can find several more by subscribing to NBA Bet Pro!
Best NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum Under 9.5 Rebounds (-125) at DraftKings
Marcus Smart Prop O/U 3.5 Rebounds
We’ll stick with another member of the Boston Celtics for this play. Point guard Marcus Smart has a sizeable role in Boston’s offense, but, like Tatum, may struggle to clean the glass on Monday — especially if the Celtics pull their starters early because of a blowout win.
Smart is averaging only 3.3 rebounds per game this year and recorded a single board in Boston’s earlier win against them. He played only 29 minutes in the blowout. This play has an expected win rate of 53%, better than the implied odds (51.2%) available at BetMGM. Readers who are new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book.
Best NBA Player Prop: Marcus Smart Under 3.5 Rebounds (-105) at BetMGM
Trey Lyles Prop O/U 10.5 Points
The Sacramento Kings have exceeded all expectations this year. Although not a starter, Trey Lyles has played a meaningful role in getting that done. Lyles is averaging 8 points and 16.6 minutes per game on the year and 12.2 points and 20.2 minutes per game since the All-Star Break.
Despite his recent uptick in production, Lyles should fall back to Earth on Monday, per NBA Bet Pro. Lyles is projected for only 9.2 points against the Milwaukee Bucks, giving the under an expected win rate of 57%. That’s better than the implied odds available at Caesars Sportsbook (53.9%). Readers yet to register at Caesars can get their first bet on the house up to $1,250!
Best NBA Player Prop: Trey Lyles Under 10.5 Points (-117) at Caesars
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