NBA Player Props: Will Joel Embiid Clean the Glass? (Feb. 13)

After a hectic NBA trade deadline, bettors can finally start focusing on actual basketball again. But with so many changes to process, even the best bettors may let the sharpest NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Joel Embiid player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Monday.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Feb. 13

Joel Embiid Prop O/U 10.5 Rebounds

The Philadelphia 76ers have listed Joel Embiid as questionable tonight, but if he plays, the star big man should stay under his rebounding prop. He has averaged only 10.2 rebounds per game this year and recorded only seven rebounds in his last game against the Houston Rockets.

NBA Bet Pro projects Embiid for only 9.3 rebounds tonight, well below this total, which gives the under a projected win rate of 55%. With the juice for the under set all the way up at +104 at Unibet, bettors are getting a fantastic deal at that book. This play is one of six with double-digit EV tonight, and bettors can find the others by subscribing to NBA Bet Pro.

Best NBA Player Prop: Joel Embiid Under 10.5 Rebounds (+104) at Unibet

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Jericho Sims Prop O/U 4.5 Points

The New York Knicks have trusted Jericho Sims as their starting center with Mitchell Robinson sidelined, but Sims hasn’t played that big of a role scoring-wise. He is averaging only 4.3 points per game since entering the starting rotation and has stayed under it in seven of those 12 games.

Unsurprisingly, NBA Bet Pro suggests that bettors fade Sims tonight as well — the center should score only 3.7 points. The under owns an expected win rate of 58%, far better than the implied odds of 54% available at Caesars Sportsbook. New users can get their first bet on Caesars for up to $1,250!

Best NBA Player Prop: Jericho Sims Under 4.5 Points (-117) at Caesars

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Malaki Branham Prop O/U 2.5 Assists

The San Antonio Spurs have a lengthy injury report and just shipped off center Jakob Poeltl at the trade deadline. However, their roster chaos is unlikely to help Malaki Branham dish out assists tonight. Despite his newfound high-volume role, Branham is averaging only 2.6 assists per game — but he should see his minutes reduced as the Spurs get healthier.

Branham is projected for only 2.2 assists tonight, according to NBA Bet Pro, giving the under an expected win rate of 54%. With the implied odds for the under set at 50% at BetMGM, bettors can score some solid value by betting this prop over there. Readers who are new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book!

Best NBA Player Prop: Malaki Branham Under 2.5 assists (+100) at BetMGM

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.