The NBA is back in action with a loaded card tonight. A whopping 10 games are on the schedule, including two nationally televised contests: one between the Brooklyn Nets and Philadelphia 76ers at 7:30 p.m. ET, and another between the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors at 10 p.m. With eight other games on the NBA betting card to dive into, even the best bettors may let the sharpest NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Stephen Curry prop.
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Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 25
Stephen Curry Prop O/U 6.5 Assists
The Golden State Warriors will face a team they beat in last year’s playoffs, the Memphis Grizzlies, again tonight. Golden State handed Memphis a 14-point drubbing on Christmas without Stephen Curry. With Curry back in the lineup and the Warriors playing at home, Golden State is a 3.5-point favorite. However, that doesn’t mean the NBA Bet Pro model wants to back the over for Curry’s assists.
Curry has averaged 6.3 assists per game this year. He recorded seven in Golden State’s last two contests but is averaging only 4.3 per game in January. NBA Bet Pro projects Curry for 5.5 assists tonight, well below this total, which gives this play an expected win rate of 55% — far better than the 48.5% chance implied by Unibet’s odds. Nine other plays own double-digit EV on tonight’s card. To find them, just sign up for a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro.
Best NBA Player Prop: Stephen Curry Under 6.5 Assists (+106) at Unibet
Walker Kessler Prop O/U 11.5 Points
The Utah Jazz will take on the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. The Jazz won’t have starting center Kelly Olynyk, which leaves rookie Walker Kessler to play at the five spot. Kessler has averaged 7.6 points per game this year and has eclipsed this prop total in just nine of his 47 appearances. Unsurprisingly, NBA Bet Pro recommends backing the under tonight.
Kessler will face the Portland Trail Blazers. Although the Blazers have struggled to defend the interior lately, Kessler scored only eight points against them back in early December. He notched just six in an earlier matchup as well. NBA Bet Pro projects Kessler for only 9.6 points in this spot, which gives this wager an expected win rate of 56% — slightly better than the 50.7% implied odds available at Caesars Sportsbook. Head there for the best price. Readers yet to register at Caesars can secure first-bet insurance up to $1,250!
Best NBA Player Prop: Walker Kessler Under 11.5 Points (-103) at Caesars
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Kyle Anderson Prop O/U 3.5 Assists
The Minnesota Timberwolves will take on the New Orleans Pelicans this evening. Minnesota’s star, center Rudy Gobert, is questionable but should play. His availability would give the team’s starting power forward, Kyle Anderson, another outlet for passes. Anderson is averaging exactly four assists per game this year and has gone over this number nine times in January.
Anderson should nose over this relatively low number. Although he is yet to face the Pelicans as a member of the Timberwolves, he racked up exactly four assists in his final start against them with the Grizzlies. Anderson should dish out 4.8 assists tonight, per NBA Bet Pro, giving this play an expected win rate of 63%, slightly better than the implied odds of 60% available at DraftKings Sportsbook. Users yet to register at DraftKings can become eligible for $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager!
Best NBA Player Prop: Kyle Anderson Over 3.5 Assists (-150) at DraftKings
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