Devonte’ Graham vs. Phoenix Suns
Graham continues to have the ball in his hands a whole lot, as the breakout guard ranks fifth in the NBA in touches per game (90.0). Meanwhile, his 8.2 minutes of possession per game are also the fifth-most in basketball. That volume gives him a solid floor and I love his potential in this spot, facing a Phoenix defense that is allowing the eighth-most points per game to opposing point guards. The Suns are also surrendering the most points per possession (0.95) and highest field goal percentage (47.0%) to opposing ball handlers out of the pick-and-roll. Graham, meanwhile, is 10th in the league in pick-and-roll points per game (8.8).
Dillon Brooks vs. Golden State Warriors
Brooks could be an overlooked, sneakier, as he has quietly been very good as of late. He’s scored double-digit points in eight of his last 10 games and over his last five, Brooks is averaging 21.2 points per game on nearly 46 percent shooting from three. This is a very good spot for Brooks, who faces a Golden State defense that is coughing up the second-most real points (25.4) and the most three-pointers per game (4.08) to opposing two-guards this season. The Warriors are also allowing the most points per possession off hand-offs this year (1.11), as well as the fifth-highest field goal percentage (45.5%). Brooks, meanwhile, is fourth in points per game off the play type this season, as well as fourth in such possessions per game (2.8).
Kawhi Leonard @ Denver Nuggets
It is going to be hard to ignore Leonard on such a small slate. Paul George has once again been ruled out for the Clippers, which makes Leonard an elite fantasy option. With George off the court this season, Leonard is sporting a 36.7 percent usage rate while averaging an impressive 1.58 fantasy points per minute. He is also posting a solid 26 percent rebounding rate and 16 percent assist rate. The Nuggets are a solid defensive team but they are allowing a 42 percent field goal percentage on short-mid-range shots this season, tied for the fifth-worst rate in basketball. Meanwhile, 31 percent of Leonard’s shot attempts this year have come from the short-mid-range.
John Collins @ Brooklyn Nets
Collins has been very solid as of late and gets a solid matchup tonight against the Nets. He’s been starting at the five lately, which makes this an even better spot, facing a Brooklyn team that is allowing the third-most rebounds per game to opposing centers this season (17.2). Collins would see more usage if Trae Young can’t suit up for this game, as Collins sees a near three percent usage bump when Young is off the floor this season, while averaging 1.14 fantasy points per minute. I also like his potential for blocked shots, facing a Nets team that is averaging 53.4 drives per game on the year, the third most in basketball.
Deandre Ayton vs. Charlotte Hornets
Ayton has been starting at the four alongside Aron Baynes but it hasn’t taken away from his rebounding potential, as he’s averaging over 11 rebounds per game over his last five. And in the games Ayton has played in this season, he is averaging a strong 17.3 rebounding opportunities per game. He has a fantastic matchup tonight, facing a Hornets team that is allowing the second-most rebounds (17.7) and second-most fantasy points per game to opposing big men. Charlotte is also allowing the league’s highest field goal percentage on post-ups (55.1%), as well as the second-most points per possession off the play type (1.00).
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