Monday, November 14, rolls out a new week with a strong seven-game main slate tipping off at 7:00 p.m. ET on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Let’s look at the player pool to discuss the top NBA DFS picks today for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups. As always, you can head over to the Stokastic NBA DFS & Fantasy Basketball home page for all the fantasy basketball content you need for any given slate. Now we shall dive into our NBA DFS Building Blocks.
NBA DFS Building Blocks Today: Monday, November 14
Core Play of the Day — Giannis Antetokounmpo: Milwaukee Bucks-Atlanta Hawks
- Stokastic’s Preliminary Point Projections: DraftKings: 65.17 | FanDuel: 63.19
- Stokastic’s Preliminary Rostered Projections: DraftKings: 12.9% | FanDuel: 36.1%
- DFS Salary: DraftKings: $12,400 | FanDuel: $11,300
Giannis Antetokounmpo should be back in the starting lineup tonight after missing three of the last four games with a sore knee/load management regimen. Milwaukee dropped a game in San Antonio 111-93 on Friday when both Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday (ankle) were out. They also lost in Atlanta 117-98 in the last game Antetokounmpo played, though they still lead the league with a 10-2 record.
Antetokounmpo has been a mainstay of this article this season, though with Khris Middleton (wrist) on the cusp of returning and Holiday healing as well, he may not appear with as much frequency. The absence of his key teammates has led to the two-time NBA MVP posting a career-best 31.8 points per game, along with 12.2 rebounds, 5.3 assists and 2.5 combined blocks and steals.
Atlanta plays at the fourth-fastest pace in the league with 104.5 possessions per 48 minutes, though they do have a league-average 108.4 defensive efficiency rating. There will be plenty of value plays available tonight, so making Antetokounmpo a core building block on his home court tonight will not be a challenge.
Stephen Curry: Golden State Warriors-San Antonio Spurs
- Stokastic’s Preliminary Point Projections: DraftKings: 53.58 | FanDuel: 50.11
- Stokastic’s Preliminary Rostered Projections: DraftKings: 24.6% | FanDuel: 17.0%
- DFS Salary: DraftKings: $10,200 | FanDuel: $10,600
Last night the Golden State dropped a very winnable game to Sacramento as the Kings pulled ahead at the end of the first half and managed to hold off the Warriors down the stretch. Stephen Curry continued his phenomenal season with 27 points, seven rebounds, seven assists and a steal. We are seeing the 34-year-old averaging 35.2 minutes per game, which is his most since the 2013-2014 season. This has led to a career-best 32.8 points and well over 50 fantasy points per game.
These two teams are playing at a top-three pace with bottom-five defenses while ranking first and second in points allowed through 13 games. There is a strong possibility that Klay Thompson gets the night off and a reasonable chance Draymond Green does as well. Jordan Poole and Andrew Wiggins should be on the short list of point-per-dollar values if Thompson is out, and Kevon Looney would see a boost if Green rests.
On the other side of the court, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Tre Jones and Jakob Poeltl are excellent options playing against a team that is a mirror image of their own.
Additional NBA DFS Picks Today – Sports Wagering Opportunities
Curry has a 4.5 over/under line on made 3-pointers for his matchup against the Spurs. The Stokastic NBA player projections have him for 5.4 made 3-pointers, which works out to a 65% win rate. This is actually a tick above Curry’s average of 5.3 this season, and while this is only available at one sportsbook, with news pending on Thompson, expect the others to post it shortly as well. The key will be how heavy the juice gets on the over.
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Paul George: Los Angeles Clippers-Houston Rockets
- Stokastic’s Preliminary Point Projections: DraftKings: 46.62 | FanDuel: 44.69
- Stokastic’s Preliminary Rostered Projections: DraftKings: 3.2% | FanDuel: 11.4%
- DFS Salary: DraftKings: $10,100 | FanDuel: $9,300
Over the last 10 games, Paul George has led the Clippers to a 5-5 record, and they are now one game above .500 with a chance to climb out of the Play-In Tournament category. Kawhi Leonard has played in only two games this season, and he last took the court on October 23, with a tenuous return date of this weekend. This is the front end of a back-to-back, so John Wall is sitting as well given that the Clippers are taking on the Mavericks in Dallas tomorrow.
George dominates the offense when he is on the floor, posting a 31.0% usage rate while averaging 35.7 minutes, which is his highest on-court presence since he was a member of Oklahoma City. Though he has been in the league for a dozen seasons, George is still just 32 years old and he dominates the box score across all categories. Houston is allowing an unfathomable 114.7 points per 100 possessions while also playing at a top-10 pace. On average, they are ceding 117.8 points per game, which is the fourth most in the league.
Ivica Zubac, Norman Powell and Terance Mann are intriguing options for the shorthanded Clippers. Reggie Jackson has been in a season-long slump, so he is hard to trust, and with a game tomorrow, veterans Marcus Morris Sr. and Nicolas Batum are likely to be anchored to the bench if Los Angeles is able to get out to a comfortable lead by the final frame.
Toronto Raptors-Detroit Pistons
The Raptors are very thin in the frontcourt with Pascal Siakam (groin) and Precious Achiuwa (ankle) on the shelf. They will also be without Fred VanVleet, who is dealing with a non-COVID illness. There is a chance Khem Birch (knee) is available after missing the last 10 games, but he is unlikely to see a huge helping of minutes.
Detroit has recorded all three of their victories at home this season, but they are still allowing 118.4 points per game, which is the third most in the league. Even without their two best players, Toronto is a 5.0-point road favorite. Load up on Scottie Barnes, OG Anunoby, Chris Boucher and even Gary Trent Jr., as they will be responsible for filing most of the void left by Siakam and VanVleet. The rest of the Raptors are shaky options, as there is no shortage of understudies for head coach Nick Nurse to mix and match after the remaining core options.
Detroit will be without Cade Cunningham (shin) for the next three games, and they are, of course, looking to tank at every chance they get. Cory Joseph is a game-time decision with a sore hip, but he is hard to trust under any circumstances.
Jaden Ivey has had a few duds this season, but all in all, he has been showing flashes of upside. And when Cunningham is off the court, the rookie gets a 20% boost in his production to a solid 1.08 fantasy points per minute. Isaiah Stewart is a strong option on any site that has bestowed him with power forward eligibility, and veteran Bojan Bogdanovic is in the mix as well with his scoring upside.
Saddiq Bey is a neutral tournament option, but he does have an outside chance at the 40-fantasy-point plateau if everything goes his way. Killian Hayes is intriguing if Joseph is out, but he is not a strong target in any circumstance. He can, however, be classified as a decent mix-and-match tournament option if his projected popularity is below double digits.
Final Thoughts on NBA DFS Picks Today
Six of the seven games on the schedule will be underway in the first 60 minutes, then there is a two-hour gap until the San Antonio Spurs at Goldens State Warriors matchup at 10:00 p.m. ET.
Do not get distracted by Monday Night Football, with the Warriors on a back-to-back and Klay Thompson and potentially Draymond Green likely to get a night off.
One way to handle this without extra stress is to turn on notifications for the Stokastic NBA Twitter handle and let them do the heavy lifting. Plus, if you are a premium member, be sure to check out the Stokastic Discord for all up-to-the-minute analyses.
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