NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: It’s Talen Horton-Tucker Day (February 23)

NBA DFS makes its triumphant return from the All-Star break with a beautiful nine-game slate. There are already some nice value options, but things can change in a hurry, so be sure to pay attention to the news and check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to hear great analysis of how the news affects the slate. And as always, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are great resources to help make DraftKings lineups that project well and offer some leverage points on the field.

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NBA DFS Picks Leverage & Optimizer Plays | Feb. 23

High-End Tier

Luka Doncic ($11,900) has the highest projection on the slate in a great matchup with a Spurs team ranked last in defensive rating and seventh in pace this season. He is projected for 21% ownership, a 34% chance of booming and a 19% chance of being optimal, according to Stokastic’s Boom/Bust Tool.

Nikola Jokic ($11,800) looks like a solid pivot despite a tough matchup with the Cavaliers, as he projects only slightly behind Doncic but gets a significant ownership discount. Jokic is projected for 5.9% ownership, a 26% chance of booming and 9% chance of being optimal.


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Mid-Tier

Talen Horton-Tucker ($4,800) is the best point-per-dollar play on the entire slate tonight, with Collin Sexton out for the Jazz. Horton-Tucker has a solid matchup with the high-paced Thunder. He is projected for 54% ownership, a 64% chance of booming and 61% chance of being optimal.

Walker Kessler ($5,700) joins his teammate as one of the top point-per-dollar plays. Kessler is projected for 31% ownership, a 42% chance of booming and a 23% chance of being optimal.

Jakob Poeltl ($5,900) has one of the best leverage scores on the slate and could see a significant increase in playing time now that he’s on the Raptors. Poeltl is projected for just 4% ownership, a 19% chance of booming and 9% chance of being optimal.

Value Tier

Matisse Thybulle ($3,500) is currently one of the top value plays on the slate, but pay attention to the Trail Blazers starting lineup. If Shaedon Sharpe ($3,800) and/or Cam Reddish ($3,600) are starting rather than Thybulle, it will probably be worth pivoting to the starter(s).

James Wiseman ($3,500) played 24 minutes in his first game with the Pistons. Even with a projection of 21 minutes tonight, he grades out as a solid value option. Wiseman is projected for 12% ownership, a 15% chance of booming and 8% chance of being optimal.

These are just some of the top plays of the slate in terms of projection, value and leverage. However, things can change in a hurry on an NBA slate, remember to track the news throughout the day and take advantage of potential late-swap opportunities. Also, do not forget to tune into Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock.

Author
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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