NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: LaMelo Ball Reigns Supreme (February 24)

There is some nice value on tonight’s eight-game slate, but things can change in a hurry, so be sure to pay attention to the news and check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to hear great analysis of how the news affects the slate. And as always, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are great resources to help make DraftKings lineups that project well and offer some leverage points on the field.

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NBA DFS Picks Leverage & Optimizer Plays | Feb. 24

High-End Tier

LaMelo Ball ($11,000) has the highest projection on a slate that does not have any huge projections. Ball has a solid matchup with a Timberwolves team ranked fifth in pace of play. He is projected for 9% ownership, a 16% chance of booming and a 9% chance of being optimal according to Stokastic’s Boom/Bust Tool.

Jrue Holiday ($8,900) has the top leverage score among high-end players. Holiday’s tough matchup with the Heat is offset by the likely absence of Giannis Antetokounmpo, as Holiday sees a 6% increase in his usage with Antetokounmpo off the floor. Holiday is projected for just 7% ownership, a 13% chance of booming and 10% chance of being optimal.


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Mid-Tier

Rudy Gobert ($7,200) is a solid point-per-dollar option against the Hornets, who rank fourth in the league in pace of play and 24th in defensive rating. Gobert is projected for 36% ownership, a 40% chance of booming and 26% chance of being optimal.

Alperen Sengun ($7,500) continues to benefit from the absence of Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green. He is projected for 32% ownership, a 38% chance of booming and 27% chance of being optimal.

Kyle Anderson ($5,100) is too cheap for his involvement in the Timberwolves offense and could benefit from the departure of ball-dominant D’Angelo Russell. Anderson is projected for 26% ownership, a 24% chance of booming and 20% chance of being optimal.

Value Tier

Josh Christopher ($3,300) is the top point-per-dollar play on the slate with Porter and Green out. He is projected for 46% ownership, a 37% chance of booming and 38% chance of being optimal.

Kevin Love ($3,000) will make his Heat debut tonight against the Bucks. It is hard to know exactly what his role will be, but even with a projection of under 20 minutes he is currently the second-best point-per-dollar play on the slate. Love is projected for 18% ownership, a 23% chance of booming and 21% chance of being optimal.

Tari Eason ($3,900) projects well even in limited minutes in a nice matchup with the high-paced Warriors. Eason is projected for 24% ownership, a 21% chance of booming and 21% chance of being optimal.

These are just some of the top plays of the slate in terms of projection, value and leverage. However, things can change in a hurry on an NBA slate, remember to track the news throughout the day and take advantage of potential late-swap opportunities. Also, do not forget to tune into Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock.

Author
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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