For Monday night, DFS players get a nine-game slate to attack. With 18 teams competing, NBA fantasy lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel will be flush with high-level talent and value plays. The Awesemo NBA Starting Lineups page will provide breaking news when starters are announced as well as a full injury report on players who might be missing in action. Below are some NBA daily fantasy options that stand out for tonight’s slate using Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool and NBA DFS projections.
NBA Fantasy Projections & Optimal Lineup Picks Tonight
Boom: Andre Drummond: $4,400 DraftKings/$5,400 FanDuel
91.7% DraftKings Boom/78.1% FanDuel Boom
With Joel Embiid (rest) out tonight, Drummond is a free square. Drummond is averaging 1.45 DraftKings points per minute this season, and Awesemo’s projections have him slated for 29.9 minutes against the Trail Blazers. Despite not having Embiid available, the 76ers have the fifth-highest implied team total on the slate (110.75 points), and the total is third highest of the night (219.5). For his career, Drummond is producing an outstanding 45 DraftKings points per game when playing behind an implied team total of at least 110 points.
He has legitimate chance to provide 10x value, and by a wide margin Drummond is rating as the strongest value. He also has highest boom rating on the slate for both DraftKings and FanDuel. While he is going to be the chalk of the night, eating the chalk and differentiating in different spots is the best route for GPPs.
Boom: Nikola Jokic: $11,000 DraftKings/$11,200 FanDuel
31.2% DraftKings Boom/19.2% FanDuel Boom
After torching the Timberwolves for 67.75 DraftKings points Saturday, Jokic is in a gorgeous spot tonight against the Grizzlies, who rank second-to-last in defensive efficiency. With Jamal Murray (knee) still sidelined, Jokic’s usage has been at an outstanding 31.7% this season, and he is also leading the Nuggets with a 31.6% assist percentage. He is averaging a godly 1.82 DraftKings points per minute, and on BetMGM his lines are over/under 26.5 points, 11.5 rebounds and 6.5 assists. Including the DraftKings bonus for a double-double, this is already 50.25 DraftKings points for Jokic before defensive stats. Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool gives Jokic the highest ceiling on the slate for both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Boom: Jaren Jackson Jr.: $5,400 DraftKings/$6,300 FanDuel
37.3% DraftKings Boom/17.1% FanDuel Boom
Jackson’s salary has plummeted all the way down to $5,400 on DraftKings, making him a value that needs to be taken advantage of. With a 24% usage rate this season, Jackson has generated 0.96 DraftKings points per minute. Tonight the Grizzlies are only 2-point favorites over the Nuggets, which is the smallest spread of this nine-game slate. Jackson has averaged 30 minutes and 30.2 DraftKings points in games decided by single digits.
His points prop is 14.5 points, and Jackson has a 72% chance to go over this number tonight according to the Player Props Tool. At this season-low price tag, Jackson is rating as a top-10 DraftKings value of the night.
Bust: Zach LaVine: $9,000 DraftKings/$8,100 FanDuel
68.2 DraftKings Bust/62.6% FanDuel Bust
LaVine is way overpriced tonight, especially on DraftKings, where his salary has reached its new season high. With DeMar DeRozan in town, LaVine’s usage has dropped 2.5 percentage points from last season, and his numbers have been underwhelming as of late, averaging only 29.6 DraftKings points per game across his last four. Furthermore, facing the Celtics tonight, the Bulls’ implied team total is the fourth lowest on the slate (106.75 points), and this game’s total is also the third lowest (216 points).
Marcus Smart, who is one of the best on-ball defenders in the NBA, should primarily guard LaVine tonight, and in this poor matchup his bust score is the highest among all players priced above $7,000 on DraftKings.
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