Today’s No House Advantage NBA slate has a small handful of high-value picks, and NBA Bet Pro has a couple of NBA player props pushing 70% win expectancies. Of course, if you want to get in on the action, you can subscribe to NBA Bet Pro today and get a seven-day free trial to guarantee the best ROI for your No House Advantage bets.
Let’s break down the best NBA player props for Wednesday, Feb. 1, including a play on Nic Claxton.
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NBA No House Advantage – Best NBA Player Props
Nic Claxton O/U 11.5 Rebounds
This is an awfully high line, but to be honest, it is somewhat deserved given the rebounding numbers Claxton has been putting up. He has grabbed at least 12 in three straight and in four of the last five, and he only has one single-digit game since Jan. 15 (nine games). Plus, Brooklyn continues to be without Kevin Durant and Ben Simmons, who are averaging 6.7 and 6.5 rebounds per game, respectively.
That being said, NBA Bet Pro is favoring the under here, projecting Claxton for 10 rebounds. This is a tough matchup against a Celtics team that for once has a fully healthy frontcourt, with Robert Williams III and Al Horford both confirmed in. Williams is averaging 8.1 rebounds a game this season and projects for 9.1 tonight. Plus, the Celtics have slowed down considerably over the last few weeks, ranking 24th in pace in their last 10.
So while Claxton is putting up strong numbers, his opponent tonight is projecting to bring him back to earth. Claxton has played Boston twice this season and hit this over in one of the two games. Williams only played in one of those two — the game in which Claxton stayed under 11.5. NBA Bet Pro expects the same in this one and gives the under a 69% expected win rate.
Best NBA Player Prop: Nicolas Claxton UNDER 11.5 Rebounds
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Alperen Sengun O/U 6.5 Assists
It is getting harder and harder to fade Sengun’s assist lines, yet NBA Bet Pro Pro is still going for it. That is a risky play on the surface since Sengun has recorded at least seven assists in four straight games and has not had fewer than six in over three weeks. But Sengun and the Rockets are in a tough spot against the Thunder, and Oklahoma City’s eighth-ranked defense is only part of the issue.
Houston is down its two biggest scorers in Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green. Now, one could argue that their absences will place the ball in Sengun’s hands far more since that vacates over 30 field goal attempts per game; however, it also takes away targets for Sengun passes. Porter has missed many of the games in which Sengun recorded a lot of assists, but Green has not. Sengun has actually only played one game without Green this year and finished with only six assists, just shy of this number. Missing both of Houston’s top scorers leaves Jabari Smith and Eric Gordon as Sengun’s lead passing recipients, two players shooting under 43% from the field on modest volume.
And again, Oklahoma City has a strong defense that ranks top 10 in efficiency for the season and No. 5 over the last 10 games. Even without Luguentz Dort, the Thunder project to hold Houston to 114 points, which is the third-lowest total on the slate. As such, despite Sengun’s brilliance, NBA Bet Pro has him pegged for 5.7 assists and a 65% win rate on the under.
Best NBA Player Prop: Alperen Sengun UNDER 6.5 Assists
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