NBA SuperDraft Lineup Picks: Today's Epxert DFS Tips

The NBA trade deadline has come and gone, but with multiple trades still pending, traded players are unlikely to take the court for their new teams this evening. That will leave multiple squads shorthanded this evening. There is a 10-game main NBA slate on tap tonight at SuperDraft, and here are the recommended studs to pick for your lineups tonight.

If you haven’t heard of SuperDraft, it’s an innovative new way to play DFS. Instead of using a salary cap, players receive multipliers that inversely correspond to their value. For example, James Harden will come with a lower multiplier because he should play most of the game. In comparison, a rotational player like Jae Crowder will receive a higher multiplier to compensate for his limited minutes. Plus, Awesemo has expert projections from No. 1 DFS player in the world Alex “Awesemo” Baker to help you get to the winner’s circle.

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SuperDraft NBA Fantasy Picks Advice | March 26

Top Five Low-Multiplier Plays

Using Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals, here are the top five high-value players for your NBA SuperDraft lineup. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or below 1.40x.

Bam Adebayo (1.25x)

Adebayo just had a monster showing against Portland last night, as he went for 29 points on 81.3% from the field. He also secured nine rebounds and totaled seven assists. With no more Kelly Olynyk, Adebayo should see increased run until the Heat add someone like LaMarcus Aldridge.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (1.05x)

The Celtics and Bucks are projected to combine for the slate’s highest total (234.5), per OddsShopper. Giannis underwhelmed when Milwaukee hosted Boston on Wednesday, but he should bounce back tonight. He dropped 35 points and 13 rebounds when these teams first met in December.

Nikola Jokic (1.05x)

Jokic is in the slate’s second highest-scoring matchup (232.5), per OddsShopper. He recorded a triple-double when these teams played last Sunday, and he should be a fantastic contributor to your NBA SuperDraft lineup. These teams have two of the highest over percentages in the NBA too, so they may combine to sail far over the posted total.

Montrezl Harrell (1.4x)

Harrell, though not a starter for the Lakers, has become even more of a key contributor with LeBron James out. He led the team in scoring over three of its last four games, with a double-double in two of them, and he recorded at least 18 points in those meetings. He will have to keep up the pace if the Lakers want to stay in the playoff hunt.

Luka Doncic (1x)

Doncic struggled on Wednesday — he recorded just 15 points and shot just under 38% from the field — but expect him to recover tonight. He will take on the Pacers in what should be one of the slate’s higher-scoring matchups (228.5). While he may not have a multiplier, he is the second-highest-projected guard in Awesemo’s rankings.

NOTE: Gordon Hayward (1.5x) doesn’t qualify as a high-multiplier play, but our projections rank him fifth overall on this slate.

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Top Five High-Multiplier Plays

These picks will also be based off of Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals to identify the top five low-value players for tonight’s slate. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or above 1.60.

Michael Carter-Williams (1.8x)

The Magic just traded three starters: Nikola Vucevic, Aaron Gordon and Evan Fournier. It will take some time for them to adjust, and with Cole Anthony still on the shelf, Carter-Williams should see his playing time increase. The Magic will play the NBA’s second-worst defense tonight, making Carter-Williams a must-have asset at a multiplier this high.

P.J. Washington (1.6x)

Washington has double-doubled in back-to-back games, so it’s easy to see why the Awesemo rankings love him. The Hornets will take on the Heat tonight, and since they are without multiple players due to yesterday’s trade deadline (and they are on the wrong end of a back-to-back), Washington should be a fantastic value option with a multiplier this high.

James Wiseman (1.7x)

Wiseman did not look good last night. He recorded only 6 points and eight rebounds through 30 minutes played in a game that the Kings dominated. The Warriors will play again tonight, this time against the Hawks, and Wiseman makes a decent play at center due to his high multiplier. Our projections slot him behind only Jokic.

Kendrick Nunn (1.65x)

The Heat won’t have Goran Dragic back tonight, and that leaves Nunn to pick up the slack. He has recorded 20-plus points in his last two outings, and he should continue to produce at that rate with the current state of Miami’s roster.

Danuel House (1.85x)

Well, the Rockets finally parted ways with Victor Oladipo. Since Eric Gordon will remain sidelined for the foreseeable future, expect to see plenty of House whenever the Rockets take the court. He should be in line for 30-plus minutes again tonight, and with Houston facing the Timberwolves in what’ll likely be a high-scoring battle (228.5), he could be worth your while at a multiplier this high.

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Five SuperDraft NBA Fade Picks

Here are some players that our projections say you should avoid when building your NBA SuperDraft lineup.

Jeremy Lamb (1.85x)

Lamb had a big game against the Bucks on March 22, but that came on the back end of a back-to-back and with Myles Turner and Malcolm Brogdon both out. Aside from that game, Lamb hasn’t played more than 20 minutes since Feb. 17. Don’t expect lightning to strike twice tonight.

De’Andre Hunter (1.6x)

Hunter has been back in the rotation for two games, but he hasn’t seen more than a half-hour of work since his return. He also has scored 10 points — total — across the two outings. Let Hunter reacquaint himself with the game before investing in him on SuperDraft.

Enes Kanter (1.4x) and Jusuf Nurkic (1.55x)

The Trail Blazers will get Nurkic back tonight, so it would be wise to avoid both Portland centers on this slate. Kanter’s multiplier is far too low for a rotational center, and Nurkic probably won’t get the minutes necessary to pay off his multiplier either. The matchup is attractive since the Magic just traded Vucevic, but neither center is worth the risk when there are better options elsewhere.

Chris Boucher (1.35x)

Boucher has looked awful recently. He hasn’t played more than 25 minutes in four games, and he averaged 4.3 points per game over his last three (shooting 25% from the field). Boucher may bounce back eventually, but you can’t trust him at a multiplier this low.

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Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.