Best NBA Player Props: Fade Derrick White’s Scoring (May 29)

After Game 3, did any of us see a Game 7 coming in this series? The Boston Celtics have drawn this one out by winning three-straight games, and they’ll get a chance at an NBA Finals bid tonight. But with elimination on the line, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Derrick White player prop.

Enter Stokastic’s Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA and MLB Bet Pro pull lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a reduced-price first month for only $24.95!

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Monday’s playoff action.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | Heat-Celtics Game 7

Derrick White Prop O/U 14.5 Points

Can Derrick White build on his game-winner in Game 7? The sportsbooks seem to think so, as they have set his points prop to 14.5, which is more than he has averaged this series (13.7). While the injury to Malcolm Brogdon certainly helps White’s case, Bet Pro isn’t so certain.

White should tally only 12.1 points tonight, per Bet Pro. That is in line with what White produced in Games 1 through 3 and Game 6. He scored exactly 11 points in three of those games and scored 9 in the lone exception.

Although White won Game 6, don’t expect him to make a splash in Game 7. He just isn’t a high-usage player. Bettors can find the best deal on the under at BetRivers, where it is priced at only -130 (56.5%). The under has an expected win rate of 61%, so we’re getting some solid edge. If you haven’t signed up for BetRivers, you can get a second-chance bet worth up to $500!

Best NBA Player Prop: Derrick White Under 14.5 Points -130 at BetRivers


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Al Horford Prop O/U 6.5 Rebounds

The Boston Celtics haven’t gotten much value out of Al Horford this series. Although the team’s veteran anchor certainly contributes much off the floor, he is averaging only 6.5 points and 6 rebounds per game this series. Don’t expect him to suddenly turn things around in Game 7.

Let’s fade Horford here, especially head coach Joe Mazzulla may tinker with the rotations. Horford is projected for only 5.7 rebounds, which gives the under an expected win rate of 53%, better than the +100 (50%) we can buy at DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s take advantage of this bet at the best price on the market.

If you want to exploit more mispriced NBA and MLB player props, plenty of other lines are popping on Bet Pro tonight. To view them, simply sign up for a subscription — new users can even get the first month for the reduced price of $24.95!

Best NBA Player Prop: Al Horford Under 6.5 Rebounds +100 at DraftKings

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Author
Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.

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