DraftKings NBA DFS Top 5 Plays: Jonas Valanciunas vs. Ragtag Group of Spurs Bigs (March 21)

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Top 5 DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today

5. Devonte’ Graham, San Antonio Spurs

Graham is projected for 29.31 DraftKings points at a price of $5,000, making him an excellent value pick for NBA DFS. He is projected to be in the optimal lineup 19% of the time, and with injuries to Zach Collins and Devin Vassell, there will be lots of minutes and opportunities available for him. Graham is expected to start at point guard, and with a usage rate of 19% in his projected 29 minutes of playtime, he is a consistent fantasy producer. Although the San Antonio Spurs are underdogs, they are running low on players, so Graham should see plenty of opportunities to score.


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4. Dejounte Murray, Atlanta Hawks

As a point guard and shooting guard, Murray is projected to score 43.5 fantasy points, which is just below his goal of 45.5. He is in the optimal lineup 20% of the time and is facing the lowly Detroit Pistons. With a 25% usage rate, he is expected to play 36 minutes and produce 1.2 fantasy points per minute. His stats are impressive, projecting for 21 points, 6.5 rebounds, six assists and 1.5 steals per game. Overall, Murray’s price tag and matchup make him a strong choice for any DFS lineup.

3. Sandro Mamukelashvili, San Antonio Spurs

Priced at only $4,200 and projected to score 28.5 fantasy points, Mamukelashvili appears in the optimal lineup 25% of the time. With injuries to other Spurs players, he is expected to start and play around 29 minutes. He has been productive, with 0.98 fantasy points per minute, and he projects for 10 points, almost 10 rebounds, 2.5 assists and a stock. Although the Spurs are likely to be underdogs against the Pelicans, this could work in Mamu’s favor,as he could get even more opportunities to score.

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2. Keita Bates-Diop, San Antonio Spurs

Bates-Diop is projected for 24 fantasy points, with an optimal lineup rate of 28%. With a significant number of Spurs players out due to injury, Bates-Diop is expected to start at the power forward position, with a projected 27 minutes of playing time. At only $3,700, he is an excellent value pick with 0.88 fantasy points per minute. Bates-Diop is predicted to score 11.5 points, grab nearly six rebounds, dish out two assists and record a stock. He’s going to get plenty of playing time, with few other players to take over his role. Bates-Diop is an easy choice as a fantastic value option on the slate.

1. Jonas Valanciunas, New Orleans Pelicans

Valanciunas is projected for 40 fantasy points points at a price tag of $6,600 and is in the optimal lineup 31% of the time. Although there is some uncertainty around his minutes, he has played massive minutes in the past two games, and the matchup against the Spurs is a pace-up game. The opposing team is missing most of their real centers, which makes Valanciunas a great play if he gets the minutes. He averages 1.3 fantasy points per minute, and if he plays around 28 to 30 minutes or more, he could be one of the best plays on the slate. If he gets the 30 minutes that the expert projects, he is the No. 1 center play.

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Author
Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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