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Top 5 DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today
5. Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks
At $11,400, Giannis is eligible for both power forward and center and is projected to score 59 points, which is the highest score for the slate. He is also in the optimal lineup 34% of the time and has a usage rate of 39%. Giannis projects for 34 real points, 12 rebounds, five assists, a steal and a block. He is expected to have a tight matchup against the Boston Celtics, but with a projected high score, he is a great option for paying up. The flexibility of being able to get him at the power forward position is incredibly interesting, and he may even get more minutes than usual in this game.
4. Michael Porter Jr., Denver Nuggets
Porter is projected to score 30 points, which is just shy of the goal of 31.5 points. He is in the optimal lineup 35% of the time and plays around 30 minutes a night, so he should average a fantasy point per minute. Porter is in a great spot against the Pelicans, who have a bad defense and fine pace. It is important to note that Porter needs to have an outlier shooting day where he makes a couple of extra 3’s. Although he is not expected to get many assists or stocks, his position as a small forward is going to be tough to fill on a two-game slate. Overall, Porter is a solid starter with some upside at a reasonable price.
3. Marcus Smart, Boston Celtics
Smart is projected for 27 points, with a goal of 28.5, and is in the optimal lineup 40% of the time. Even with a pessimistic projection of 31 minutes, he is still a good pick. His usage rate is 18%, with a projection of 11 points, 5.5 assists, three rebounds and two stocks. He is playing in a favorable pace-up spot against Milwaukee. While there is a chance he may not perform well given his recent struggles, his low salary makes him a risk worth taking.
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2. Aaron Gordon, Denver Nuggets
Gordon is projected for around 30 points and is in the optimal lineup 40% of the time. With a projection of 14.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists and a little over a stock, he should get a fantasy point per minute. Although he is only projected for 29 minutes, he has a great matchup against the Pelicans, making him a strong play. Even with a sub-30 minute projection, Gordon stands out due to his positionality and price. If he hits his projection, he is right on the goal number, but if he has a 60th-percentile outcome, he becomes a must-have.
1. Bruce Brown, Denver Nuggets
Brown is a point guard and small forward with a price of $4,500. He is projected for 24.5 fantasy points, which is also his goal for the game. Brown is in the optimal lineup 40% of the time and plays around 28 minutes a night, with a 17% usage rate. He produces just under 0.9 fantasy points per minute and contributes across all statistical categories, projecting for 11 points, 4.5 rebounds, three assists and 1.5 stocks. Brown is a strong value play, as there aren’t many pay down options on the two-game slate, and it doesn’t take much for him to meet his value threshold.
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