NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: Dejounte Murray in a Smash Spot (April 4)

With so many injury question marks on tonight’s NBA DFS slate, you must do your homework and stay on top of the news. Be sure to check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to gain insight into how breaking news can impact the slate. Additionally, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are valuable tools that can aid you in making NBA DFS picks and building strong lineups that have the potential to outperform your competition.

NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Picks Today | April 4

High-End Tier

Nikola Jokic ($11,600) has the highest projection on the slate tonight against the Houston Rockets but is questionable. Jokic is projected for 5% ownership with a 43% chance of booming and an 11% chance of optimality, per the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool — as long as he plays.

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,400) has the second-highest projection against a depleted, and likely chalky, Washington Wizards team. Antetokounmpo is projected for 23% ownership with a 44% chance of booming and a 16% chance of optimality.


Delon Wright ($5,500) has a great value score for a Wizards team that will face the Milwaukee Bucks without Bradley Beal, Kyle Kuzma, Kristaps Porzingis and Monte Morris. Wright is projected for 44% ownership with a 57% chance of booming and a 36% chance of optimality.

Charlotte’s James Bouknight ($4,700) should continue to see big minutes for a Hornets team that will be without several key players against the Toronto Raptors. Bouknight is projected for 5% ownership with a 28% chance of booming and a 14% chance of optimality.

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Dejounte Murray ($7,600) will lead the Atlanta Hawks without Trae Young in an important seeding contest against the Chicago Bulls. Murray is projected for 21% ownership with a 49% chance of booming and a 27% chance of optimality.

Bogdan Bogdanovic ($5,200) has one of the top leverage scores on the slate. Bogdanovic is projected for 3% ownership with a 16% chance of booming and a 12% chance of optimality.

Value Tier

Washington’s Jordan Goodwin ($4,000) currently has the best value score on the slate for the depleted Wizards. Goodwin is projected for 61% ownership with a 63% chance of booming and a 47% chance of optimality.

Washington’s Kendrick Nunn ($3,400) ranks just behind Goodwin as a point-per-dollar play. Nunn is projected for 23% ownership with a 49% chance of booming and a 36% chance of optimality.

Charlotte’s Kai Jones ($4,000) should see a minutes bump with Mark Williams out again tonight for the Hornets. Jones is projected for 24% ownership with a 39% chance of booming and a 28% chance of optimality.

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Neil Orfield
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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