NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: Randle Takes Flight without Brunson (March 14)

Some decent value already on tonight’s eight-game slate, as the Pistons remain depleted and the Spida-less Cavaliers offer nice value at every price range. As always, it is important to stay on top of the news, so be sure to check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to gain insight into how breaking news can impact the slate. Additionally, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are valuable tools that can aid in building strong DFS lineups that have potential to outperform the competition.

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NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Plays Today

High-End Tier

Nikola Jokic ($11,600) is the highest projected player on the slate tonight despite a matchup with the slow-paced Raptors. Jokic is projected for just 11% ownership with a 31% chance of booming and 13% chance of being optimal, according to the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.

Julius Randle ($9,900) is projected for 10% ownership in a matchup with a Trailblazers team that ranks 23rd in pace of play but 27th in defensive rating, with a 23% chance of booming and 14% chance of being optimal. Randle should see increased usage with Jalen Brunson out for the game.


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Mid-Tier

Caris LeVert ($5,000) is a great point-per-dollar option with Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen sidelined, especially against a Hornets team ranked in the top ten in pace and bottom ten in defensive rating. LeVert is projected for 37% ownership with a 43% chance of booming and 29% chance of being optimal.

Darius Garland ($7,900) is projected for 41% ownership with a 53% chance of booming and 37% chance of being optimal.

Evan Mobley ($8,100) is projected for 35% ownership with a 38% chance of booming and 27% chance of being optimal.

Nick Richards ($5,000) has played at least 30 minutes in each of the past two games with Mark Williams sidelined. Richards is projected for 14% ownership with a 24% chance of booming and 12% chance of being optimal.

Nicolas Claxton ($6,600) projects well against the fast-paced Thunder. Claxton is projected for 14% ownership with a 32% chance of booming and 16% chance of being optimal.

Value Tier

R.J. Hampton ($3,300) should play big minutes for the Pistons, who are even more depleted than yesterday with Isaiah Livers now out and Cory Joseph questionable. Hampton is projected for 31% ownership with a 59% chance of booming and 48% chance of being optimal, giving him the best leverage score on the slate by a wide margin currently.

Eugene Omoruyi ($3,800) is projected for 37% ownership with a 46% chance of booming and 39% chance of being optimal.

Deni Avdija ($4,000) should see big minutes with Kyle Kuzma sidelined against the backup Pistons. Avdija is projected for 36% ownership with a 39% chance of booming and 34% chance of being optimal.

Lamar Stevens ($3,500) is projected for 30% ownership with a 31% chance of booming and 24% chance of being optimal.

Ricky Rubio ($3,300) is projected for 22% ownership with a 28% chance of booming and 18% chance of being optimal.

Author
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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