NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: Anthony Davis Surprisingly Contrarian (April 5)

With so many injury question marks on tonight’s NBA DFS slate, you must do your homework and stay on top of the news. Be sure to check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to gain insight into how breaking news can impact the slate. Additionally, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are valuable tools that can aid you in making NBA DFS picks and building strong lineups that have the potential to outperform your competition.

NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Picks Today | April 5

High-End Tier

Luka Doncic ($12,000) has the highest projection on the slate against a Kings team ranked 24th in defensive rating and 11th in pace. Doncic is projected for 18% ownership, a 38% chance of booming and 16% chance of optimality, per the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.

Anthony Davis ($10,900) has a strong leverage score against the Clippers. Davis is projected for just 5% ownership, a 23% chance of booming and 7% chance of optimality.

Mid-Tier

Washington’s Jordan Goodwin ($4,700) has the best value score on the slate, as the Wizards will be without Kristaps Porzingis, Bradley Beal, Kyle Kuzma, Delon Wright, Deni Avdija and Monte Morris once again. Goodwin is projected for 76% ownership, a 68% chance of booming and 61% chance of optimality.

Jalen Duren ($5,100) started alongside James Wiseman and played 36 minutes last night for the depleted Pistons. Duren should continue to see big minutes and has a great value score. Duren is projected for 62% ownership, a 60% chance of booming and 43% chance of optimality.


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Washington’s Johnny Davis ($4,800) played 37 minutes last night for a Wizards team that has nothing to play for other than seeing what they have in their young players. Davis is projected for 20% ownership, a 28% chance of booming and 20% chance of optimality.

Bogdan Bogdanovic ($5,000) has a great leverage score for after starting and playing 33 minutes last night for the Hawks. Trae Young could return tonight, which would likely send Bogdanovic back to the bench, but the ceiling would still be there. Bogdanovic is projected for 2% ownership, an 11% chance of booming and 10% chance of optimality.

Value Tier

Washington’s Kendrick Nunn ($3,800) managed to put up 50 fantasy points in just 24 minutes last night. Nunn is projected for 45% ownership, a 52% chance of booming and 44% chance of optimality. Jay Huff ($3,200) and Anthony Gill ($3,100) are also strong point-per-dollar plays for the Wizards.

John Konchar ($3,300) is expected to pick up extra playing time with Dillon Brooks out for the Grizzlies. Konchar is projected for 2% ownership, a 7% chance of booming and 8% chance of optimality.

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Author
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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