PrizePicks NBA Player Projections: Absolute No-Brainer Nikola Jokic FREE SQUARE (June 1)

The NBA Finals are here at last. All the eyes are on basketball action tonight, and as always, PrizePicks has a solid selection of projections from which to make some picks. While sorting through the options among the slimming rotations may be daunting, Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro can help find the best plays on any given slate. With that in mind, let’s take a look at some of the top NBA PrizePicks for Game 1 of the NBA Finals.

Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro lets you sort by the win percentage column to see the greatest difference between the projection set by PrizePicks and Stokastic’s projections. Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks.

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NBA Player PrizePicks for NBA Finals Game 1 | June 1

Nikola Jokic FREE SQUARE: More Than 0.5 Points

Jokic has a free square of over 0.5 points — which is just a no-brainer. No further analysis is needed here; simply lock this pick in and move on to give your PrizePicks entry a bit of a boost.

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Bam Adebayo More Than 34.5 Fantasy Points

Stop me if you have heard this one before. Stokastic projects Adebayo up at 40.7 fantasy points, well above 34.5. Nothing really changes here despite the new series, as Adebayo should get upwards of 38 minutes at least, and he should average around a fantasy point per minute. Also, despite what Jokic may do to Adebayo and the Heat on their defensive end, as an average defender, he should offer more opportunities for Adebayo to contribute offensively than what the Celtics gave. There will be more space for Adebayo to thrive as a playmaker and scorer, and Miami will put him out there to handle all he can defensively. As such, Adebayo should easily clear 34.5 fantasy points in Game 1.

Aaron Gordon More Than 24.5 Fantasy Points

Gordon is probably going to play massive minutes here. The most likely scenario is Gordon guarding Jimmy Butler as much as he can, and if that is the case, he will be out there a lot because Butler is almost certainly going to play 40-plus minutes. Gordon does not even have to be all that efficient with that kind of playing time — 0.75 fantasy points per minute will do the trick — and something as simple as a steal plus a runout bucket gets Gordon about a sixth of the way to his fantasy score.

The projection of 24.5 is not that high of a barrier, and Stokastic has him at 30.1 fantasy points tonight. And though Gordon is not asked to do much offensively, the Heat are a small team and Gordon is a high-level cutter and slasher, so the opportunities at the rim should be there. This is a strong spot for the more play.

These are just two of the +EV plays on the NBA PrizePicks slate. Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro has 20 more plays with more than a 50% expected win rate! Check them out HERE.

Josh Engleman
Josh is Contributor for where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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