Tonight’s two-game Monday Night Football slate is turning out some strong value for PrizePicks NFL plays. The focus for tonight is the Saints-Panthers matchup, specifically the two quarterbacks, who have some good correlative potential in this NFC South battle. Plus, OddsShopper and PrizePicks are teaming up to offer new users a great promo: You can use the PrizePicks promo code ‘STOKASTIC17′ when you sign up to get a deposit match up to $100 and a free month of OddsShopper Premium! Now let’s dive into some plays for PrizePicks’ NFL pick’em contest for MNF.
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NFL PrizePicks Pick’em Predictions | Week 2 MNF
Bryce Young M/L 17.5 Completions
Bryce Young M/L 189.5 Passing Yards
Pairing these two Young plays together takes advantage of two aspects of this Saints-Panthers matchup: One, the New Orleans defense seeming to be somewhat of a run funnel, and two, the Carolina passing game looking pretty shaky in Young’s first NFL start. Now, the whole “first start” thing could say a lot about Young’s struggles last week, but 38 attempts leading to just 146 yards was a level of inefficiency that seems unlikely to fully right itself just one game later.
One might argue that Young still completed 20 of those passes and therefore knocked off the first of these picks. However, given the result was 3.8 yards per pass attempt and 10 points, it is safe to assume Carolina will look to run more — as long as the Saints don’t build a massive lead. That is an important factor as well, as New Orleans appears to be content to grind out ugly wins on defense, restricting the passing game and letting opponents run a bit. The Panthers have good backs — Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders combined for 4.9 yards per carry on 27 attempts in Week 1. That seems like a more likely recipe tonight.
Stokastic currently projects Young for 15.9 completions for 171.2 yards, giving both of these less plays a 59% chance of hitting each.
Best NFL PrizePicks Play: Bryce Young Less Than 17.5 Completions
Best NFL PrizePicks Play: Bryce Young Less Than 189.5 Passing Yards
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Derek Carr M/L 19.5 Completions
Speaking to New Orleans’ apparent new style of ugly football, Carr’s stat line from last week does not totally reflect that — 23-for-33 for 305 yards. But that is a little misleading, as Carr was extremely safe with the ball, with Pro Football Focus crediting him with just two “big-time throws” and one “turnover-worthy play.” Basically, he took what the Titans gave him, which resulted in a strong 9.3 yards per attempt but only 16 points for the Saints.
This is a reasonably safe expectation for Monday Night Football. The Panthers appear to have a strong pass rush and a mediocre coverage unit, so Carr is in a good spot to get the ball out quickly and maintain his hyper-efficient, unsplashy play style that moves the chains but does not run up the score. Stokastic has him completing 20.3 passes, and the more on 19.5 has a 54% win expectancy.
Best NFL PrizePicks Play: Derek Carr More Than 19.5 Completions
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![College football Week 5 continues with a four-game Friday slate. CFB DFS differs from traditional NFL DFS in a few key areas. Rosters do not require a defense and instead incorporate a superflex where a second quarterback can be rostered. With the exception of short slates, using a second quarterback generally makes the most sense. From there, traditional stacking rules and other general football DFS strategies apply (such as looking at college football ownership projections). With that said, let's get into the CFB Week 5 DFS picks and projections for Friday, Sept. 29. CFB Week 5 DFS Picks and Projections | Friday, Sept. 29 Quarterback Emory Jones ($6,900): The top price-adjusted quarterback on the slate, Emory Jones, and the Cincinnati Bearcats are 2-point favorites over BYU in a game with a 48 total. Jones averages 242.5 passing yards per game on 31 attempts. He also has elite mobility, with 32 designed attempts through four games. Hank Bachmeier ($5,800): Hank Bachmeier should have a better chance to play this game after being available "in case of emergency" last week. Louisiana Tech ranks 63rd in pace and passes 55.6% of the time. This makes whoever starts at quarterback a strong value. Jack Turner played well in place of Bachmeier last week and actually looks to provide decent mobility. If Bachmeier misses, Turner is an easy swap option. Jack Plummer ($8,500): On a relatively weak quarterback slate, Jack Plummer stands out between the pair of expensive options. Louisville comes in as a 3-point favorite over North Carolina State in a game with a 55.5 total. Plummer has averaged 280 passing yards per game and is hyper-efficient. The North Carolina State defense projects to provide little resistance, allowing 8.3 yards per attempt. Plummer also has 13 designed rush attempts this year, which helps prevent the negative rushing stats from early in his career. the_ad id="340345"] Running Back Jawhar Jordan ($7,000): Louisville has begun to feature Jawhar Jordan at the expense of Isaac Guerendo and Maurice Turner. Jordan has 18 carries in back-to-back games and four targets in that span. His route rate has also eclipsed 50% in those two games. Jacob Fields ($3,700): Louisiana Tech is dealing with injuries to Keith Willis Jr., Charvis Thornton and Tyre Shelton. Marquis Crosby has also yet to play this year. If this injury situation breaks right, Jacob Fields should lead a committee also featuring Keldric Moody. This is a pure late-news situation. L.J. Martin ($5,100): Corey Kiner ($4,700): Ryan Montgomery left last week's game with an injury, allowing Corey Kiner to receiver more work. He finished with 10 carries and three targets in a decisive loss to Oklahoma. His workload stands to increase in more competitive games. Watch Montgomery's status ahead of kickoff. Jaylon Glover ($5,000): Utah already lost Micah Bernard for the year, and Ja'Quinden Jackson enters this game with the questionable tag. If out, Jaylon Glover projects to handle a feature back workload. Last week he saw 25 carries and one target. Editor Note: Looking for more 2023 college football predictions? Experts are to break down this college football season — make sure to check out the rest of OddsShopper’s' college football articles. If you still need more picks, our market-based betting model might just be for you — or try it out now! Wide Receiver Isaac Rex ($4,700): Despite coming in as a slight underdog, BYU still ranks 58th in pace and passes 57.4% of the time. Tight end Isaac Rex not only paces the team in targets (34), but he has the best route rate of the group as well. Smoke Harris ($6,800): One of the premier receivers on the slate, Smoke Harris averages 73.4 receiving yards per game on a 26.9% target share. In the Louisiana Tech offense this equates to 8.6 targets per game. Braden Smith ($4,200): Braden Smith ranks second on Cincinnati with 22 targets this year, averaging 49.5 yards per game. He projects as one of the top price-adjusted receivers on the slate. Jamari Thrash ($6,600):  Jamari Thrash is one of the most explosive receivers in college football, averaging 100 yards per game behind a 25.2% target share. With little salary restrictions on this slate, Thrash should be a priority.
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