UFC 286 DFS Picks and Value Plays: Leon Edwards Takes-Kamaru Usman in Main Event

The UFC will return to London for UFC 286 and will be live at The O2 Arena. The main card will air on pay-per-view following prelims on ESPN and ESPN+. The main event will feature a welterweight bout with Leon Edwards defending his title in a rematch against Kamaru Usman. In the co-main event will feature Justin Gaethje in a lightweight bout against Rafael Fiziev. Below are some UFC Fight Night DFS picks, including key Leon Edwards-Kamaru Usman DFS plays, with the help of Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections,   

Let’s see what is on tap and find some of the best UFC 286 DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

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UFC 286 DFS Picks: Leon Edwards-Kamaru Usman

Top-End Pick: Jake Hadley | DraftKings: $9,200, FanDuel: $20

Jake Hadley is a technical striker, with solid footwork and a dangerous submission game. He has big power in his hands and Malcolm Gordon’s chin is suspect with 4 losses coming via knockout. Hadley will be the sharper striker and should find a knockout shot against the weak-chinned Gordon early. Expect Hadley to control this fight and use his technical striking to pick Gordon apart. According to The Top Fighters Tool  Hadley has 77.9% win odds with a 57.7% chance for a knockout. He also has a 32.2% chance of being a top-6 fighter.

Mid-Priced Pick: Christian Leroy Duncan | DraftKings: $8,700, FanDuel: $18

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Christian Leroy Duncan is coming into his UFC debut with an unblemished 7-0 record. Only one of his fights went the distance with five coming via knockout and one via submission. Duncan will be facing Dusko Tudorovic who has lost three of his prior four fights. Tudorovic is susceptible to being knocked out with two of his three losses coming via knockout. Expect Duncan to keep his winning streak alive with an impressive early knockout over the fading Tudorovic. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections, give him a 66’4% win odds with a 53.1% chance for a knockout.

Mid-Priced Pick: Casey O’Neill | DraftKings: $8,500, FanDuel: $17

Casey O’Neill will be putting her unbeaten record on the line against Jennifer Maia who has the skill set to make this fight close. Maia will be a huge test for O’Neill and expect her to pass this test with her slick ground game. She is dangerous in top position with nasty ground-and-pound. O’Neill has not scored less than 100 DraftKings points in her last four fights, and we can expect another solid score with her wrestling  and takedown upside. She has three wins via knockout and two via submission. According to Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections, O’Neill has a 61.9% win odds.

Mid-Priced Pick: Ludovit Klein | DraftKings: $8,400, FanDuel: $16

Ludovit Klein is a technical striker with a vast arsenal of attacks on the feet and the mat. He has a 19-4 record with eight wins coming via knockout, eight via submission, and three via decision. He will be facing off against Jai Herbert who has been inconsistent of late but is coming into this fight with a win over Kyle Nelson last time out. Herbert’s main problem in this fight will be his suspect chin being knocked out three times in the UFC. With the weak chin issues Herbert has shown and the inconsistency of late, expect Klein to use his Jab to set up the knockout shot early. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections give him 64.3% win odds with a 43.7% chance for a knockout.

Quick Pick : Justin Gaethje | DraftKings: $7,400, FanDuel: $12

Justin Gaethje’s power, durability, cardio, and output could pose problems for Rafael Fiziev. So, there is value in Gaethje considering the odds. Fiziev one loss has come via knockout and Gaetjje has 19 wins via knockout in his career.


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