Chiefs-Eagles DFS Picks: Andy Reid Super Bowl LVII Tricks Feb 12

The Big Game brings an Andy Reid-coached team into the Super Bowl for the fourth time. Kansas City beat San Francisco 31-20 in Super Bowl LIV only to lose the next year against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Reid also led the Philadelphia Eagles to Super Bowl XXXIX where they fell to Brady and the New England Patriots.

Philadelphia pulled off an amazing victory in Super Bowl LII when they bested New England by a score of 41-33 in a game that included the legendary Philly Special. Only a handful of players from that team are still on the roster.

The Super Bowl should bring a plethora of excitement, and Stokastic is bringing plenty of NFL DFS tools and information for all the different slates, game formats and sites, featuring these Chiefs-Eagles DFS picks.

This column will provide a free analysis of the single-slate action on DraftKings and FanDuel. It includes team capsules, player rankings, comments and NFL DFS picks. There is loads of information and NFL DFS Showdown analysis to get into for both DraftKings and FanDuel on this Divisional Sunday Night slate featuring the Kansas City Chiefs against the Philadelphia Eagles in Arizona.

Legal gambling age is 21 in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER

Super Bowl LVII DFS Picks: Chiefs-Eagles DFS Picks

Kansas City Chiefs: 24.0 Points

Quarterback

The Stokastic NFL DFS projections have Patrick Mahomes with the second highest median fantasy production in the Super Bowl player pool. This should not be a surprise and with two Big Games under his belt along with the MVP in Super Bowl LIV, Mahomes could easily outpace this projection.

On the flipside, the Eagles have been stellar on defense and they rolled up a league best 70 sacks in the regular season, which landed them third on the all-time list behind the 1984 Chicago Bears (72) and the 1989 Minnesota Vikings (71). Mahomes led the league with 308.8 passing yards per game and 41 aerial scores. This is a strength versus strength matchup as the Chiefs posted the top passing offense per Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric, while the Eagles had the best passing defense.

Mahomes has been dealing with a sprained ankle, but he has had two weeks to recover. Additionally, he has thrown a pair of touchdowns in each of his postseason games leading up to tonight along with 326 yards against the Bengals in the AFC Championship.

Running Back

Rookie Isaiah Pacheco and Jerick McKinnon stepped in nicely forming a solid one-two punch after Clyde Edwards-Helaire was placed on the injured reserve after injuring his ankle in Week 11. Edwards-Helaire has been activated and will likely suit up for this game, which makes things a little murky.

Pacheco is likely to handle most of the rushing work between the 20s, but once Kansas City is in the red zone, all bets are off. McKinnon is the best receiver among this trio and he is more than capable as a runner. Over the final six games of the regular season, McKinnon had eight touchdown receptions along with one touchdown run. The high-value backfield touches should be earmarked for him.

Edwards-Helaire is just $1,000 on DraftKings and $6,500 on FanDuel, which does have him in play for gamers making 75 or more lineups. Keep in mind that Pacheco started to blossom in the passing game down the stretch, so there is no real reason for CEH to make his way on the field, other than of course Andy Reid being Andy Reid in the Super Bowl.

Legal gambling age is 21 in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER

Wide Receiver

Mecole Hardman is out after suffering a pelvis injury in the AFC Championship. JuJu Smith-Schuster (knee) and Kadarius Toney (ankle/hamstring) also were dinged up but have been full participants in practice for the last few days. Fortunately Marquez Valdes-Scantling is healthy so Kansas City does have one competent deep threat that can help keep the Eagles defense from completely stacking the box.

Smith-Schuster projects for the most targets, Valdes-Scantling has the slight edge in yards and of course Toney is the fantasy darling and wild card. Journeyman Justin Watson and rookie Skyy Moore will be available, but it is hard to see either with more than a target or two. Of course a 20 yard catch at their low salaries could propel them into the “optimal” lineup.

Tight End

Travis Kelce is the de facto WR1 and was in the top 10 for targets, receptions, yards and second with 12 touchdowns during the regular season. In the two playoff games, the 33-year-old has tallied 25 targets for 21 receptions, 176 yards and a trio of touchdowns. Noah Gray should get a target or two and those looking to get cute can roll out Jody Fortson or Blake Bell, depending on which is active, in the hopes of a semi-miracle.

Defense/Special Teams

Kansas City tends to benefit from opposing teams playing catchup, which leads to sacks and turnovers. Philadelphia can focus on the running game and with their defense, it could be the Chiefs who are chasing points – 3.5 is a realistic over/under of combined sacks+turnovers for this unit.

Want to try our new lineup generator for 50% off?

Use the coupon code SCORE to get 50% off the first week or month for any package, including Platinum, NBA, and NBA Lineup Generator!

Philadelphia Eagles: 25.5 Points

Quarterback

Jalen Hurts was dealing with a shoulder injury down the stretch, but word around the campfire is that he is fully recovered – let’s take that with a grain of salt and acknowledge that he is probably as healthy as he could be considering his profession and this being the sixth consecutive month in which he has played a game.

Kansas City benefited from two home playoff games, but at a warm weather, neutral site it would not be a surprise if they give up yardage in chunks. During the regular season they had the 22nd worst passing DVOA per Football Outsiders while also allowing the second most fantasy points to opposing signal-callers. Hurts has plenty of capable targets and he is arguably the best runner on his team with 23 rushing touchdowns and 1,542 yards in his last 30 regular season games.

Running Back

Miles Sanders is the clear lead back and coming off a career best 1,269 rushing yards with 11 touchdowns and 4.9 yards per tote. While he is not a primary option in the passing game, he has been above average in that capacity throughout his tenure with the Eagles.

Kenneth Gainwell is the main backup and change of pace option. Casual fans think of him as the passing down back, but he is more than that and has averaged 4.4 yards per carry in his two seasons along with nine rushing touchdowns. This is likely to be a 70-30 split with Sanders getting the majority of the touches, but all it takes is being on the field for the right sequence of plays and Gainwell could post a top-five fantasy total.

Boston Scott is the third running back and while he has lasted through multiple coaching staffs. He could get a couple of snaps and a touch or two, but is unlikely to hear his name called unless something befalls one of his counterparts. Scott is +450 for an anytime touchdown with Sanders at -115 and Gainwell at +310 currently on BetMGM.

Did you know that you can get two free months of Stokastic+ Platinum for signing up and making your first bet at BetMGM? Claim here today!

Latest NFL DFS Content

Wide Receiver

A.J. Brown has been everything the Eagles could have hoped for when they brought him onto their roster. Not only did he lead the Philadelphia receiving corps, but the fourth-year wideout also posted the best production of his career. DeVonta Smith was the perfect compliment and he was four yards shy of 1,200 with an impressive 95 receptions. Quez Watkins and Zach Pascal round out this group, but they are longshots for anything more than a target or two.

Tight End

Dallas Goedert has been a key piece of the Philadelphia offense and he has a strong connection with Hurts. In the two postseason games, Goedert saw 11 targets, recording 10 receptions for 81 yards and a score. Among the current Eagles offensive options, he looks to have one of the best “leverage” scores against the field in the Stokastic Boom/Bust tool.

Jack Stoll and Grant Calcaterra are in the mix on DraftKings at $600 and $200, respectively. Stoll had one target in the NFC Championship game and while it is hard to see more than two going to either player – with none the most likely outcome – they should be on the field and that is all we can ask for these rock bottom salaries.

Defense/Special Teams

Philadelphia has one of the best defenses in the game and they notched eight sacks and four takeaways in the postseason. Mahomes is phenomenal at evading the rush and limiting interceptions, however, this is the Super Bowl and we have seen defensive units play key roles in the single-game contests over the last few years.

Bet $5 on the Super Bowl and get $200 instantly!

Legal gambling age is 21 in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER

Super Bowl LVII DFS Picks And Addtional Chiefs-Eagles DFS Strategy

The rankings below are best utilized for building out single-entry and three-max lineups, and for head-to-head and three-man formats. They provide a nice barometer for player value. However, those taking the MME approach should remember that correlation is key. This means matching a receiver or two with a quarterback in the Captain/MVP slot. That also works conversely, pairing a Captain/MVP pass catcher with his quarterback.

Super Bowl LVII DFS: Chiefs-Eagles DFS Rankings

Top 10 NFL DFS Showdown Picks for Chiefs-Eagles

Jalen Hurts: Hurts so good!
Travis Kelce: Slightest of edges over Mahomes, both are worthy of the multiplier designation.
Patrick Mahomes: Mahomies Unite!
Dallas Goedert: Take the discount from the Philly wideouts and don’t look back.
A.J. Brown: Multi-touchdown upside makes him a viable option in the multiplier slot.
Jake Elliott: We need the savings and he had a solid followup season to last year’s Pro Bowl campaign.
Harrison Butker: Rough season on the injury front, but healthy and the team trusts him from 50-yards and beyond.
Kadarius Toney: Polarizing DFS darling with tantalizing upside along with a penchant for in-game injuries. May get the nod over Moore as the punt returner.
Noah Gray: Helps put it all together on DraftKings at $1,200.
DeVonta Smith: If the KC defense loses track of him, he will seemingly teleport into the end zone.

Secondary NFL DFS Showdown Picks for Chiefs-Eagles

Miles Sanders: Needs 80 yards and a score just to breakeven.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling: Should get a couple long targets, can he avoid a “butter-fingers” scenario.
Jerick McKinnon: Better on DraftKings with full-PPR, still live on FanDuel with his red zone success.
Isaiah Pacheco: So many cooks in the kitchen, does return kickoffs.
Kenneth Gainwell: Worthy of core consideration.

Lottery Ticket NFL DFS Showdown Picks for Chiefs-Eagles

Philadelphia D/ST: Incredibly talented unit across all three levels – facing an equally amazing quarterback.
Quez Watkins: It would be phenomenal to see him peppered with three short targets on a hurry-up drive.
Kansas City D/ST: Looking for an elusive splash play.
Jack Stoll: Worthy of his own line for DraftKings bargain hunters who are willing to take a zero.
Justin Watson, Skyy Moore, Jody Fortson and Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Two weeks of Andy Reid and the coaching staff burning the midnight oil along with a wizard of a quarterback keeps these KC players as potential flyers for those crafting 100 or more lineups. Moore shares punt return duties with Toney and kickoff returns with Pacheco.
Zach Pascal: Hard to trust, but just $800 on DraftKings for those who are not fans of Stoll.
Boston Scott and Grant Calcaterra: So many things need to go right for this duo. Scott returns kickoffs.
Blake Bell, Brittan Covey, Ronald Jones II, Trey Sermon and Michael Burton: Bell should be active and Covey returns punts.

Legal gambling age is 21 in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER

More Super Bowl LVII DFS Promos

Chiefs-Eagles DFS Picks And Betting Tips

Author

Eric MacPherson

Eric "EMac" MacPherson won the 2007 Fantasy Baseball grand prize (trip for two to the MLB All-Star game) in the Roto format on ESPN. He won again in 2008, this time in the H2H format. As one of the early adopters of daily fantasy sports, EMac has been providing content for baseball and basketball as well as both professional and college football since 2012 for a variety of websites including DraftKings Playbook, FanVice, RotoWorld, Daily Fantasy Bootcamp, and RotoGrinders. He is well into his third decade of fantasy sports and has a wealth of knowledge and experience. Follow him on Twitter @EMacDFS or contact EMac by emailing [email protected].