Connect with us
NFL
nfl strategy show
Videos

NFL DFS Strategy Show Week 18 | NFL DFS Ownership Strategy

Sam Smith

Published

on

NFL DFS Strategy Show Week 18 | NFL DFS Ownership Strategy

Dave Loughran and Neil Orfield take a look at early ownership projections for Week 18 NFL DFS to give you the best plays and pivots for DFS tournaments.

Get ONE FREE MONTH of Stokastic+ Platinum and up to a $100 deposit match bonus with PrizePicks when you sign up and make a deposit at PrizePicks

The Ohio Tease: Deposit $10, Get $50
21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER

Week 18 NFL DFS Picks: Ownership Strategy

NFL Betting Tools

OddsShopper NFL Betting

Head over to OddsShopper and check out all of the top NFL game lines, player props, team futures and player futures! OddsShopper shops all the best odds from the top sportsbooks, like DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, PointsBet, and Caesars and finds you the best odds, expected win rates and returns on investment across the industry. Sign up now — it is absolutely FREE!

Stokastic NFL Player Props Tool

Betting NFL player props are perhaps the most beatable odds that sportsbooks offer today. Most of these sportsbooks outsource their odds, and there are so many that they can’t get them all right. The way that sportsbooks tend to handle these bets is by limiting sharp bettors to small bets only while allowing lesser-skilled players to put huge bets down on losing bets. That means you should take advantage of these bets while you can.

The expected win probability is determined by comparing the Stokastic simulations against these prop lines to give you the probability that each bet will win and the long-term ROI you should expect on similar bets. These ROI’s are not necessarily designed to optimally calculate the percentage of your bankroll you should wager on each bet since some high ROI bets may be long shots – but they should give a great baseline for what bets should be profitable and which should be avoided.

Make Better NBA Prop Bets!
Let Stokastic+ NBA Bet Pro make winning bets for you. Get a free trial now.

Stokastic NFL DFS Tools

NFL DFS Projections

Our projections are managed by Alex Baker and updated throughout the day as more information becomes available up until the last game tips. Projections are an integral part of a winning process and using Stokastic’s projections provides you a system that’s proven to win money in tournaments over several seasons of action.

NFL DFS Ownership Projections

You should note that last-minute injury reports will impact not only the injured players’ or their replacements’ ownership but can affect overall roster construction and therefore, every other player on the slate.

Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!

Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.

More NFL