Dave Loughran and Neil Orfield take a look at early ownership projections for Week 18 NFL DFS to give you the best plays and pivots for DFS tournaments.
Week 18 NFL DFS Picks: Ownership Strategy
NFL Betting Tools
Head over to OddsShopper and check out all of the top NFL game lines, player props, team futures and player futures! OddsShopper shops all the best odds from the top sportsbooks, like DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, PointsBet, and Caesars and finds you the best odds, expected win rates and returns on investment across the industry. Sign up now — it is absolutely FREE!
Betting NFL player props are perhaps the most beatable odds that sportsbooks offer today. Most of these sportsbooks outsource their odds, and there are so many that they can’t get them all right. The way that sportsbooks tend to handle these bets is by limiting sharp bettors to small bets only while allowing lesser-skilled players to put huge bets down on losing bets. That means you should take advantage of these bets while you can.
The expected win probability is determined by comparing the Stokastic simulations against these prop lines to give you the probability that each bet will win and the long-term ROI you should expect on similar bets. These ROI’s are not necessarily designed to optimally calculate the percentage of your bankroll you should wager on each bet since some high ROI bets may be long shots – but they should give a great baseline for what bets should be profitable and which should be avoided.
Stokastic NFL DFS Tools
Our projections are managed by Alex Baker and updated throughout the day as more information becomes available up until the last game tips. Projections are an integral part of a winning process and using Stokastic’s projections provides you a system that’s proven to win money in tournaments over several seasons of action.
You should note that last-minute injury reports will impact not only the injured players’ or their replacements’ ownership but can affect overall roster construction and therefore, every other player on the slate.
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NFL Data Central
No House Advantage NFL Optimal Lineups Page
NFL DFS Showdown/Single-Game Ownership Projections for DraftKings and FanDuel
NFL DFS Ownership Projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo!
Stokastic’s Top Showdown and Single Game Plays for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo
Stokastic’s Top NFL DFS Stacks
NFL DFS Projections for No House Advantage (FREE)
NFL Player Props Tool