Low-Priced Value Plays for DraftKings + FanDuel | Week 9 NFL DFS Picks

With eight daily fantasy football weeks in the books, both FanDuel and DraftKings released an array of exciting contests ahead of Week 9. While prices adjusted, a few low-priced value plays in the player pool stand out as optimal NFL DFS picks this week.

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NFL DFS: Week 9 DraftKings + FanDuel Value Plays | Daily Fantasy Football

DFS Picks: Quarterback

Deshaun Watson ($7,100 DraftKings / $8,300 FanDuel)

Coming off four straight 300-yard passing games, Deshaun Watson remains a supreme value on DraftKings and Fanduel with a $7,100 and $8,300 price tag respectively. The Texans enter a matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars as 6.5-point favorites in a game totaled at 50.5-points. With Jacksonville allowing the most yards per pass attempt (8.4), Watson sets up as a strong value play on all platforms.

Digging into Watson’s 2020 season, he currently completes 69.5% of his passes for 8.8 yards per attempt. Houston currently ranks ninth in seconds per play, showing a willingness to push the pace when they can string together drives. They also pass 63.4% of the time, which is the fifth highest rate in the NFL.

With clear stacking options in Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks, Watson stands out across daily fantasy football main slates this weekend.


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DFS Picks: Running Back

Josh Jacobs ($6,300 DraftKings / $7,700 FanDuel)

Coming in as a particularly strong value on DraftKings, Josh Jacobs provides one of the highest touch ceilings in all of DFS at a discounted price. The Raiders find themselves as 1.5-point underdogs against the Los Angeles Chargers in a game totaled at 51.5 points. With the Chargers allowing at least 29 points in four straight games, Jacobs looks like a potential low-priced value worth targeting.

Looking at Jacobs’ offensive role, the second-year player currently averages 24.3 touches per game. Just last week, Jacobs has a 31-touch game against Cleveland. All 31 touches game on the ground, but Jacobs registered at least three targets in his three games prior. The Raiders currently pass the ball 53.6% of the time (27th), setting up a voluminous role for Jacobs in all game scripts.

Looking like a particularly strong value on DraftKings, Jacobs low price makes him a worthwhile target in Week 9 DFS.

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Chase Edmonds ($6,800 DraftKings / $6,700 FanDuel)

Starting in place of an injured Kenyan Drake, Chase Edmonds provides solid value at a low price on DraftKings and FanDuel. The Cardinals kick off Week 9 as 3.5-point favorites over the Miami Dolphins. The game currently sits with a 49.5 total, making Edmonds a premier low-priced value play.

With Drake exiting early last week, Edmonds racked up 12 touches with seven coming in the form of targets. Already hyper-active as a pass catcher, Edmonds has now seen 21 targets in his last four games. Looking back to last year, Edmonds started in place of David Johnson before an injury of his own. He amassed 27 carries for 126 rushing yards, while turning four targets into two receptions for another 24 yards.

With Miami allowing the fourth-most yards per rush attempt (4.9), Edmonds sets up as one of the top low-priced value running backs on the DFS main slate.

DFS Picks: Wide Receiver

Russell Gage ($4,500 DraftKings / $5,400 FanDuel)

The wide receiver position looks particularly tricky for value this week on both DraftKings and FanDuel. However, a few injury situations look likely to open some value. With Matthew Stafford‘s status still in question, Marvin Jones may end being fool’s gold. Instead, Calvin Ridley‘s injury looks more likely to open an increased role for Russell Gage.

Atlanta enters an interesting spot against Denver as 4.5-point favorites this week. The total remains elevated at 50-points, suggesting both teams should score enough points to be relevant for daily fantasy football. While Julio Jones remains locked in as the top receiver for the Falcons, Russell Gage quietly should play a larger role in the offense. Gage already has a 15% target share in the offense this year, pointing strong role.

While Denver doesn’t present an ideal matchup, volume and a positive scoring environment coalesce to make Gage a low-priced value worth targeting.

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DFS Picks: Tight End

Hunter Henry ($4,000 DraftKings / $5,600 FanDuel)

While Hunter Henry continues to play a large role in Los Angeles’ offense, touchdowns continue to fall to “create-a-players.” The Chargers find themselves on the other side of that Raiders game totaled at 51.5-points. Favored by 1.5-points, Henry will continue to provide value at the tight end position this weekend.

From an offensive role standpoint, Henry continues to see elite volume at the tight end position. Henry has at least seven target in four of six games this year, equating to an 18.6% target share in the offense. However, touchdown production has hurt Henry. The all-pro tight end has only managed to catch one of four touchdowns thrown to tight ends this season.

Despite Justin Herbert‘s annoying propensity to distribute touchdowns evenly, Henry’s presence on the field continues to provide daily fantasy football value.


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Author
Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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