To cap off an exciting week in the NFL, the Las Vegas Raiders will take on the Los Angeles Chargers. While the Raiders are on the road, there will be plenty of fans in attendance — so much so that some may question if it is a Chargers home game. This shakes up the value for some of the players, as does playing on a prime-time stage, making some things a bit more difficult when creating NFL DFS lineups. No House Advantage brings gamers a different twist. NHA offers props for various players at different point levels. The optimal way to win prop bets is by utilizing the Awesemo No House Advantage projections to find the biggest discrepancy between the NHA prop and the tool itself. Let’s go over some NFL DFS advice for the Monday Night Football game and dive into some of the No House Advantage prop picks.
No House Advantage: Week 4 Monday Night Football Picks
Derek Carr: Over 1.5 Passing Touchdown
The Raiders have continued to be as efficient offensively as they were last season. They can move the ball against anyone, and this will continue on Monday Night Football. Derek Carr has passed for two touchdowns in each of the first three weeks.
Las Vegas has also run the ball 19 times and passed 16 times in the red zone. They are passing more often because running back Josh Jacobs is dealing with toe and ankle injuries. He may be active on Monday (currently questionable), but the Raiders may continue to pass more than usual in scoring territory since he is less than 100% healthy. Awesemo’s Player Prop Tool gives this prop for Carr a 58% chance to hit the over.
Austin Ekeler: Under 60.5 Yards Rushing
The rushing production of Austin Ekeler has been steady through three weeks of action; he has totaled between 54 and 57 yards in all three games. Tonight he faces a Raiders run defense that is a bit better than their stats let on. For the season, they have allowed 4.8 yards per carry, which is tied for the fourth most. However, Lamar Jackson played a large role in that. The Raiders have surrendered just 4.39 yards per carry to opposing running backs.
While Ekeler should continue to pick up yards rushing, over 60.5 is a lot to ask from a player that has totaled only 20 rushes over the past two weeks. Ekeler also has not gone over this total since Week 14 of last season, and before that the previous time was September 2020. Awesemo’s Player Prop Tool is projecting Ekeler for 54.66 yards rushing tonight.
Jared Cook: Under 3.5 Receiving Touchdowns
This is likely a mistake on the part of No House Advantage, we absolutely need to take advantage of this prop. Obviously, there is zero chance of Jared Cook catching four touchdowns tonight. He does not have a single one this season, so it could be a stretch to say he goes over this prop for the full season. Lock this into your top spot and build around it.
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