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NFL Thursday Night Football Odds and Props: No House Advantage

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Weekly NFL Betting Line Movements: Commanders Touchdown Underdogs At Home In Divisional Matchup With Soaring Eagles In Week 3

Thursday Night Football doesn’t exactly bring an exciting matchup this week with the Chicago Bears hosting the Washington Commanders. Let’s try to spice up this game with some action on No House Advantage. There are two types of contests to play, “Pick ‘Em” and “Vs. The House.” Here are some of the more appealing options among them.

NFL Thursday Night Football Odds and Props: No House Advantage

Carson Wentz: Over 0.5 Interceptions

The Commanders have dug themselves a big hole in the NFC East. Not only are they 1-4, but none of the other three teams in the division are worse than 4-1. Some of their troubles can be attributed to poor play from Wentz, who was brought over in the offseason from the Indianapolis Colts. Through five games, he’s thrown for 1,390 yards and 10 touchdowns, but turnovers have been a problem.

Wentz has been picked off at least once in four of five games, leaving him with a total of six interceptions. He limited himself to seven interceptions over 17 games last season, but he’s had turnover issues in the past, including when he was picked off 15 times over 12 games in 2020. The Bears have five interceptions this season, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see them add to that total.

Brian Robinson: Over 25.5 Rushing Yards

During the preseason, it looked like Robinson was trending toward taking away carries from Antonio Gibson, or even possibly overtaking him as the Commanders’ top running back. However, Robinson was shot during a robbery attempt during the preseason, which made fighting for work on the football field an afterthought. Luckily, he avoided serious injury and was able to return in Week 5.

Robinson received nine carries in his season debut against the Tennessee Titans, which he turned into 22 yards. Though he was on a snap count, it was encouraging to see him come close to double-digit carries so soon. If he receives at least a similar workload in this game, he could blow past the over, given that the Bears have allowed the second-most rushing yards in the NFL.

David Montgomery: Over 60.5 Rushing Yards

Montgomery suffered an ankle injury in Week 3 against the Houston Texans and was forced to miss the Week 4 loss to the New York Giants. He looked electric against the Green Bay Packers in Week 2, rushing 15 times for 122 yards. He needed that big performance, given that the San Francisco 49ers held him to 26 yards on 17 carries in Week 1.

After a one-week absence, Montgomery received 12 carries Sunday against the Minnesota Vikings. He could only muster up 20 yards, although he did score a touchdown. The good news is that he came out of the game healthy. This could be a low-scoring game in which the Bears continue to try to keep the ball on the ground, so with Montgomery possibly set to receive 15 or more carries, the over is the way to go with this modest total. The NFL Player Props Tool has Montgomery projected to rush for 68.5 yards.

JD McKissic: Under 15.5 Rushing Yards

McKissic is known more for his ability to catch passes out of the backfield than he is for his rushing prowess. He’s had more receiving yards than rushing yards in each of the past three seasons. Last year, he had only 212 rushing yards over 11 games while catching 43 passes for 397 yards.

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This season has been no different for McKissic, who has 65 rushing yards and 159 receiving yards. He’s had four games with fewer than 10 rushing yards, and he didn’t get a single carry in Week 5 with Robinson back in the fold. Despite this being such a low number, the under is still an appealing option.

I’ve been covering fantasy sports since 2007. Along my journey, I’ve contributed to companies including SportsLine, RotoWire, Sports Illustrated and DraftKings. My passion for fantasy sports began by playing in traditional season-long leagues and has expanded into DFS and sports handicapping. In 2018, I was a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. You can contact me by e-mailing [email protected]

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