Tonight’s Week 6 Thursday Night Football matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Philadelphia Eagles is packed with stars. With so many good players on the field, playing along with NFL DFS only adds to the experience. If looking for a different way to play DFS for tonight’s game, No House Advantage brings gamers a different twist. The NHA platform offers props for various players at different point levels. The optimal way to win prop bets is by utilizing the Awesemo No House Advantage projections to find the most considerable discrepancy between the NHA prop and the tool itself. Let’s go over some NFL DFS advice for the Week 6 Thursday Night Football game and dive into some of the No House Advantage prop picks.
No House Advantage: Week 6 Thursday Night Football
Tom Brady: Over 310.5 Yards Passing
Tom Brady has played some terrific football on Thursday nights. In fact, it has been his most effective time slot as a passer, as he is averaging 8 yards per attempt. This season Brady has been averaging 45 passing attempts per game. So if he keeps up this current pace for both yards per attempt on Thursday and his passing attempts for the season, it would equal roughly 360 yards tonight. Of course, no one should project Brady for 360 yards, but he has a ton of upside in this spot.
The Eagles are also not as solid as their scoring defensive stats make them sound. They have allowed the seventh-highest completion percentage in the league, at 68.99%. Obviously, this is arguably their toughest test thus far, and Brady should take advantage in prime time, as he usually does.
The Awesemo Player Prop Tool projects Brady to pass for 323.6 yards tonight, putting him well above this NHA prop line.
Zach Ertz: Over 35.5 Yards Receiving
With no Dallas Goedert tonight, Zach Ertz becomes the clear TE1 once again. That has somewhat already been the case, with Ertz recording a 14.6% target share compared to Goedert’s 11.1%. It should mean a couple more targets for him in what projects to be another pass-heavy game for Philadelphia.
Ertz has gone over this prop line in three of his five games this season, and he has 50-plus yards in two of his past three games. The Buccaneers allow 64 yards receiving per game to tight ends this season.
For what it’s worth, the Awesemo Player Prop Tool currently projects Ertz for 33.7 yards, which is right below the line for this NHA prop. With updates likely coming after the official inactive report is out, it could be wise to check this tool prior to locking in final picks.
Miles Sanders: Under 0.5 Rushing TDs
This Tampa Bay run defense is tough. They allow only 2.9 yards per attempt, which is the best in the NFL. Through five weeks, it has allowed fewer than 200 yards rushing to the position, which is crazy. The Bucs have also allowed just one touchdown rushing to running backs this season, and Miles Sanders is not the man to make it two.
Sanders hasn’t scored a single touchdown this season, and it’s easy to see why. He has only five red zone carries thus far, with two coming inside the 5-yard line. The Eagles have ran the ball 17 times in the red zone this season, compared to passing it 28 times. Keep in mind that some of those runs have come from Jalen Hurts scrambling on called run plays. Clearly, Sanders appears to be a longshot, at best, to score a touchdown tonight, much less a rushing touchdown.
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