NFL PrizePicks Props for Week 13 Monday Night Football: Patriots vs. Bills

Monday Night Football NFL PrizePicks for Week 13 features an AFC East showdown between the Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots. The Bills are 3-point favorites, but the Patriots are red hot on a six-game win streak. The winner of this game will have a massive edge in the race for the division title this year, as both teams have just four losses on the year. Below the Awesemo DFS projected stats will provide the best player props to attack on PrizePicks for this game.

Week 13 Monday Night Football NFL PrizePicks

Damien Harris Over 45.5 Yards Rushing

The Patriots run the ball 27.8 times per game, which is the 11th most in the league. Damien Harris enters this pivotal game having gone for over 50 yards rushing in five of his last seven games. He has been splitting carries with rookie Rhamondre Stevenson of late, and that is likely a part of why his total is so low. Harris has still out-snapped Stevenson each of the last two weeks and could be in line for a few more snaps with Brandon Bolden banged up (questionable). In a projected close game the Patriots should have a good chance of meeting or exceeding their season average in rushes, and Harris should be the back who sees the most work. He is projected for over 55 yards rushing and makes for a strong over target.

Kendrick Bourne Over 28.5 Yards Receiving

This game is not expected to have a ton of offense, but that means there are some low totals, which make for good over targets. Kendrick Bourne has caught four or more passes in five of his last six games and has also racked up at least 30 yards receiving in seven straight games. While it is not wise to simply play the trends and expect the same outcome every week, it has been clear that Bourne and Mac Jones have a good connection, and Bourne is becoming a coach’s favorite quickly. He is also projected for over 35 yards receiving in the Awesemo model. Take the over on this small total.

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Josh Allen Under 31.5 Yards Rushing

The Patriots defense has not been one to trifle with this year. They have allowed just one quarterback to exceed 30 yards rushing in 2021, and that was Taysom Hill in a mostly a gadget/running back role in Week 6. Josh Allen enters this game having rushed the ball less than six times in three of his last four games and is facing a Patriots defense that held him to 35 yards or fewer on the ground in two meetings last year. He is projected for under 30 yards this week. With better athletes on the Patriots defense in 2021 after their free agency splurge, they should have a strong day containing Allen’s rushing totals.

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