Super Wild Card Weekend NFL PrizePicks for Sunday | Jimmy Garoppolo & Rob Gronkowski

Welcome to the weekly PrizePicks Sunday breakdown for Super Wild Card Week. If you are new to the site, PrizePicks allows you to bundle over or under selections into parlays for big payouts. So each game has a fantasy total or prop (single stats DFS) for users to make over/under picks on. Using Awesemo’s projected stats, here are some over/under plays for PrizePicks daily fantasy football.

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PrizePicks NFL Fantasy Scores DFS Picks: Super Wild Card Weekend

QB: Jimmy Garoppolo over 242.5 passing yards ( Caesars New York Betting Offer)

The 49ers and Cowboys have held tight at a close -3.0 point spread all week. This game also has a big 50.5 over/under attached to it so points are expected and with that we should see lots of yards gained on both sides too. We’ve seen Jimmy Garoppolo throw the ball more of late and this setup against a good Dallas offense (who has blown out team at home) means we’ll likely see him pass the ball 30+ times here again. Teams against Dallas have also averaged 36.9 pass attempts this year and Garoppolo has averaged 9.5 yards per pass attempt over his last three games. You can dislike Jimmy Garoppolo the quarterback, but Jimmy Garoppolo the fantasy/prop play has produced over the last few weeks. He’s projected for over 270 passing yards in the Awesemo projected DFS stats here too and his smallish total makes for one of the strongest over targets for this Sunday.

Other Picks

Patrick Mahomes over 15.5 rush yards: Patrick Mahomes didn’t do any damage on the ground the last time he played the Steelers which is likely why this line is so low. He has rushed for over 15 yards 10-times this season though and is projected for 28 rush yards on Awesemo this week. His rush prop is a good over target.

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RB: Tony Pollard under 30.5 rushing yards (FanDuel New York Betting Offer)

There’s been a lot going on in the Dallas backfield of late in terms of injury news to keep up with, but it does look like Tony Pollard will enter this game at full health. Even with that knowledge though, this isn’t a spot I’d be overly bullish on him as a runner anyways. The 49ers have allowed just 3.1 yards per rush over their last three games (best in the league) and haven’t allowed a running back to go for more than 50-yards rushing against them since Week 14. Pollard’s workload is a concern here too as he’s not practiced much of late and has only taken 11 carries in his last two starts. Fading the Cowboys rush game is something we should be interested in for this match-up and taking an under on Pollard, who could see more usage in the passing game, is a good strategy on Prizepicks.

Other Picks

Elijah Mitchell over 74.5 rush yards: The 49ers continue to give Eli Mitchell the ball when he’s healthy. The rookie has taken over 20 carries in five straight games and gained at least 85 yards on the ground in four of his last five starts. He’s projected for over 80 yards here and makes for a good over target.

WR: Deebo Samuel over 59.5 receiving yards (DraftKings New York Betting Offer)

If you’ve followed the Prizepicks articles this year you know one area we’ve targeted relentlessly has been the Deebo Samuel receiving props. Samuel’s props have been great over targets all season and his totals have come back down again after he started to take more handoffs towards the end of the season. It’s worth noting that while his targets have gone down, he still led the league in yards per reception at 18.2 yards per catch and has gone over this small total in four straight games to end the season. The 49ers are underdogs here and there’s a good chance that with them trailing late they’ll use Samuel more in his traditional receiver role. Dallas has a talented secondary but also allowed the seventh-most receiving yards to the wide-out position this year. He’s projected for over 65 receiving yards in the Awesemo DFS stats this week and again makes for a strong over target for me here.

Other Picks

Mike Evans under 14.5 fantasy points: The Buccaneers Mike Evans is up against a pass defense in the Eagles who has two top-20 rated corners, via PFF’s cornerback rankings. They allowed the fourth-fewest touchdowns and receptions to the position this year. I like fading Evans here form a fantasy perspective.


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TE: Rob Gronkowski over 55.5 receiving yards (Caesars New York Betting Offer )

This prop definitely stands out as a solid target this week. We mentioned the tough match-up for Evans above and if he does get shut down the logical person to take advantage here will be Rob Gronkowski. The Eagles are not good at defending in the middle of the field and allowed the most receptions and fifth-most receiving yards to opposing tight-ends this year. Even in bad conditions the Buccaneers are still a team who will tend towards the pass and led the league in pass attempts per game this season. It’s hard to see Gronkowski not having a productive day here so we’re likely just fading injury luck or bad game dynamics, where Tampa’s defense does some scoring. Gronkowski is projected for well over 70-yards on Awesemo this week and makes for a great over target here.

 

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