Welcome to the weekly PrizePicks Main slate breakdown. If you are new to the site, PrizePicks allows you to bundle over or under selections into parlays for big payouts. So each game has a fantasy total or prop (single stats DFS) for users to make over/under picks on. Using Awesemo’s projected stats, here are some over/under plays for PrizePicks daily fantasy football.
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PrizePicks NFL Fantasy Scores DFS Picks: Week 18
QB: Zach Wilson over 170.5 passing yards ( Caesars New York Betting Offer)
We have some very low totals on the board this week as a lot of games aren’t projected for many points. Teams with low implied team totals though can still rack up some yards and the Jets Zach Wilson has been good at doing just that at home. Wilson has thrown for 200 or more passing yards in five of six home games this year and has averaged 50+ more yards per game at home than on the road. The Jets are massive +16.0 point underdogs this week and there will almost certainly be some solid garbage time action late in this game for Wilson to get some cheap yards. His 170.5 is ridiculously low for a pocket passer in this kind of spot and he’s projected for well over 190 yards passing this week on Awesemo. This rates out as a great target on Prizepicks to smash the over on.
Andy Dalton over 207.5 passing yards: Another quarterback who likely won’t get much attention from the fantasy or betting community this week is Andy Dalton. Dalton faces a Vikings team who has allowed the fifth-most passing yards in the league this year. He’s projected for over 230 passing yards on Awesemo, making him a good over target as well.
RB: Devin Singletary under 68.5 rushing yards (FanDuel New York Betting Offer)
On the flip side of this Bills-Jets game we have an offense in Buffalo who is still pass-centric, but who has been running the ball better of late. Devin Singletary’s rushing outputs have been solid over his last three games but he now has an inflated over/under here of 68.5 rush yards, which is well above his mean output on the year (48.5 yards per game). The Jets rush defense has improved quite a bit over their three games and they allowed just 3.0 ypc last week to the Buccaneers, who have a solid offensive line. We could also see a scenario where Buffalo eases up on Singletary’s carries with the playoffs approaching. The Bills running back is projected for under 68 rush yards this week on Awesemo and makes for a good fade candidate this week on Prizepicks.
Rex Burkhead over 37.5 rushing yards: The Texans Rex Burkhead heads into this week having taken 16 or more carries in each of his last three games. There’s a good chance he’ll be featured a lot here too in attempt to slow down the Bills pass rush. He’s a solid over target just based off recent volume alone.
WR: Tyler Lockett over 53.5 receiving yards (DraftKings New York Betting Offer)
The Seahawks pass catchers are all in good spots to potentially see an uptick in targets as they head into a dome environment this week against Arizona, where they are +6.5 underdogs. While both Seattle wide-outs have similar projections on Awesemo this week of over 70-receiving yards, I’m inclined to recommend Tyler Lockett here on the basis of both his history of efficiency with Russell Wilson and the fact he’s routinely burned the Cardinals for big games in the past few years. Lockett has gone well over 60 yards against Arizona in each of his last three meetings with them (including two 100+ yard games). Lockett’s cooled off the last couple of games but this week’s match-up makes for a great bounce-back spot. He’s a great over target here as well on a very low total.
Darnell Mooney over 51.5 receiving yards: Darnell Mooney’s another elite wide out with great downfield speed who we can target for an over this week. He saw 13-targets from Andy Dalton last week and faces a Vikings secondary who has allowed the most receiving yards to the wide-out position this year.
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TE: Mark Andrews under 65.5 receiving yards (Caesars New York Betting Offer )
The Steelers have only allowed one tight-end to go over this mark all season long. While they’ve had some issues guarding against big plays, Pittsburgh’s elite pass rush is likely going to be a problem here for back-up Tyler Huntly who is also likely going to be inclined to use his legs a bit more given the match-up. Mark Andrews has had an incredible season, but his last game against Pittsburgh produced just four catches on nine targets and he’s projected for well under 60-yards receiving this week on Awesemo. He sets up as a solid under play here, in a game where the Ravens have little reason to stress a future cornerstone of their franchise with heavy usage.
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