NHL DFS Picks: NHL Power Plays for DraftKings; FanDuel November 1 (FREE)

NHL DFS Picks: For more analysis on the slate for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo and FantasyDraft, check out Nolan Kelly’s Line Change article before lock, as well as Awesemo’s NHL Projections and Rankings. You can also subscribe to the Awesemo.com YouTube Channel to get notifications when “Hit The Ice” (4ET Weekdays) goes live!

Don’t forget to check out the rest of our NHL Content Schedule, including today’s NHL Strategy Show with Jake Hari and Michael Clifford!

Awesemo’s NHL DFS Projections

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The advanced stats that I use and reference in this article come from naturalstattrick.com.

There is one important note. Tonight’s slate is eight games thanks to Halloween yesterday. 

NHL Schedule for Saturday, November 1st

AWAY – the opening line O/U HOME TIME – EST
Buffalo 6.5 Washington -175 7:00 PM
Philadelphia 6.5 New Jersey -120 7:00 PM
Tampa Bay -125 6 NY Islanders – 7:00 PM
Detroit 6 Carolina -260 7:30 PM
Columbus 5.5 St. Louis -170 8:00 PM
Dallas 6 Colorado -145 9:00 PM
Vancouver 6 Anaheim -120 10:00 PM
Winnipeg 6.5 San Jose -145 10:30 PM

 

DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Picks: Centers

Nathan MacKinnon– COL vs DAL – $8,000

MacKinnon is plug and then play on an eight-game set. Simply, he has 17 points in 12 games on the season. That includes points in every single game and he is averaging just above four shots a game (hello, shot bonus at five). Dallas will give up its points to the MacKinnon line and with the injuries, a top-line stack is more viable for now. Dallas may be a backdoor play here given Colorado is due for some regression (12.5 shooting percentage). Please note that MacKinnon is $8,700 on FanDuel. That still is a solid price. Brayden Point, Jack Eichel, and even Elias Pettersson are all good from the upper tier on what expects to be a high-scoring night. Pavel Zacha from New Jersey may be one to watch and is below $4,000 on FanDuel.

Tomas Hertl– SJS vs WPG – $5,300

Right on cue, the value police step in once again and one could even try Logan Couture, who is under $5,000 on DraftKings. Winnipeg allows the fifth-most scoring chances in the league. San Jose has struggled mightily to score goals and even generate shots at times—aside from Evander Kane (who is a must-play). No one likes the reality of trying to play anything from the Sharks given their record. However, this is a rare case where the matchup is just good enough to project modestly solid results.

The good news tonight is that value can be found almost anywhere. Players are out there and pricing is soft in places. Boone Jenner has a cheap price still going for him. Bo Horvat from Vancouver is more of an upper-middle GPP play.

DraftKings & FanDuel NFL DFS Picks: Wingers

Alex Ovechkin– WSH vs BUF– $8,100

Ovechkin and the shot bonus were made for each other and though the left-winger is a bit more selective this season, the points and goals are still coming. By the way, Ovechkin is up to exactly five shots a game this year. He has 11 goals in 14 contests. Ovechkin generates the third-most scoring chances just from his shot alone. Buffalo is bound to regress defensively while the Russian machine never breaks down. Even his FanDuel price of $8.700 is not cost-prohibitive. There will be several Washington stacking options on Friday night.

There are tons of ways to go on this NHL DFS slate. Dallas and the top-line offer a contrarian, albeit more expensive stack. Even the Kane line is worth a shot. It is risky on an eight-game slate, but it has some potential given some of the other late hammer chances are a little muted. Social media will be vital later this afternoon as line shifts come in. Expect some shifts and do not shy away from Philadelphia and New Jersey

Oskar Lindblom– PHI vs CBJ– $5,200

Sorry about this. Lindblom’s value has jumped from value play to middle-priced value for your NHL DFS lineups. It makes a difference. He was near $4,000 two weeks ago and with top-line even-strength minutes, the winger is thriving. Lindblom has six goals on the young season already. Also, FanDuel has him listed only at $4,500. Travis Konecny is at $6,100 and Sean Couturier is higher than Lindblom as well. Sometimes gambling on the cheaper cog in the line stack pays dividends while trying a mini-stack with Konecny or Couturier given New Jersey allows the most DFS points to forwards in the NHL.

Ovechkin and Nikita Kucherov will be your highest-owned wingers tonight. Pick one and be wise on a night like this. It could make a crucial difference. Also, it is okay to look at New Jersey with Taylor Hall or Kyle Palmieri. The two have been playing well and Palmieri does come off a hat trick against the Tampa Bay Lightning.

DraftKings & FanDuel NHL DFS Picks: Defensemen

John Carlson– WSH vs BUF — $7,300

The Carlson play keeps on keeping on as his point-rates for DFS have maintained. The last two games have seen him first hit the blocks bonus then shots bonus. Just when one thinks the offense will cool off, Carlson scores twice against Toronto. Washington finally comes home after a five-game road trip. Point expectations will be high as the defenseman continues to excel on the man-advantage at the highest-rate among defensemen in the league.

Also in the upper tier, Dougie Hamilton and Alexander Edler expect to be highly owned on Friday. Plus matchups against Detroit and Anaheim help immensely here. Do not sleep on players like Ivan Provorov.

Kevin Shattenkirk– TB @ NYI – $5,000

Shattenkirk is still maintaining production because he is hitting the net. In his last game, he had two assists, had a few shots and hit a post. With Victor Hedman ailing, Shattenkirk will see increased minutes. Defensively, he may block a shot or two more which gets him closer to the blocks bonus. Also, his FanDuel price is still $5,300 and he produces at the same rate as Hedman. The Islanders may prove to be more of a good matchup than most think.

One can dip slightly down to players like Cale Makar and Neal Pionk. Also, Johnny Boychuk slots in nicely too as a one-off on Friday night. As long as there are increased minutes, he is an option that must be used and often.

DraftKings & FanDuel NHL DFS Stacks

NJ 2 – Pavel ZachaNico HischierJesper Bratt

This is a cheap NHL DFS stack with risk but worth looking at on Friday. This was the line that drove Tampa Bay nuts all night and generated the most scoring chances and high-danger chances as well. Their possession rates were alright as well. They will wind up facing Philadelphia’s bottom lines and pairings which should make this more appealing.

PHI 1 – Oskar LindblomSean CouturierTravis Konecny

It is a bit of a risk but this is probably Philadelphia’s best line when optimized. It is also an excellent matchup which should see some solid correlation on the man-advantage too. Philadelphia may get forgotten a bit with all the stacks to chase around. This still represents a nice change of pace when forming lineups. The Buffalo-Washington game stack will be used in a decent number of places so the expectation is the Philadelphia line will get forgotten.

WSH 1 – Alex OvechkinNicklas BackstromT.J. Oshie

This is an easy cop-out choice but they are too good not to play even replacing Backstrom or Oshie with John Carlson. Remember, there is just enough value tonight to toy with different methods of stacking. One could even go with Evander Kane and Brent Burns as a mini-stack with another San Jose forward. Even with Colorado, one could go with their top line because one is not paying over $20,000 like normal.

As always, there will be more NHL DFS news via Slack chat and social media. Good luck tonight! 

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