The Major League Baseball offering gets even larger on Tuesday with a 15-game schedule and all 30 teams in action. While the Vegas run totals at OddsShopper do not see the light of nine runs or more today, the strikeout props are in full effect as fans are treated to starts by Corbin Burnes, Shane McClanahan and Kevin Gausman to consider among the best ROI bets today. Thankfully much of the weather forecast shines through with play safe from postponement in all host ballparks outside of Atlanta, where Truist Park remains a threat with looming storms throughout the region to keep tabs on approaching first pitch.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free Baseball Prop Betting Picks 5/24
Max Fried O/U 5.5 Strikeouts
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Max Fried has a 23.7% strikeout rate, a .237 average against and a 94.3 mph fastball up in velocity from 2021. Tonight, he faces the Philadelphia Phillies and carries a 5.5 total strikeouts prop at -120 odds on the over at OddsShopper. Fried is averaging just shy of one strikeout per inning (0.958) with 6.1 innings pitched per game through eight starts, which puts him on par with the six strikeouts necessary to best the over should he last his season average start. The Phillies have a 25.2% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching (sixth overall MLB), though doing damage on contact with a 114 wRC+ against the split. Fried is slated to face five righties and two switch-hitters and has a 22.9% strikeout rate and .249 average against right-handed hitting career to date. Facing a potential five hitters each with strikeout rates well above 23% against left-handed pitching, Fried remains in a position to hit the over on moderate juice.
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Pick: Max Fried OVER 5.5 Total Strikeouts (-120)
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Alek Thomas O/U 1.5 Total Bases
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While it is a limited sample size, Alek Thomas is swinging a .300 batting average, .260 ISO and .887 OPS this season. Facing Jon Heasley and the Kansas City Royals, Thomas draws a 1.5 total bases prop at OddsShopper with +135 odds on the over. Heasley has a 4.9% strikeout rate through two starts and an 8% career strikeout rate with a .264 average against. Facing right-handed pitching this season, Thomas has raked a .355 batting average, 1.07 OPS and 197 wRC+ including five singles, four doubles and two home runs in just 31 at bats. When Heasley has faced left-handed-hitting he has a 13.7% strikeout rate, .196 average against and 5.23 FIP over his career. Though Heasley has managed decently against left-handed hitting, the low strikeout rate offers little cover from Thomas’ effective contact to garner two bases. At plus-money odds, the over on Thomas’ total bases prop sets up as another of the best baseball betting picks today.
Pick: Alek Thomas OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Michael Brantley O/U 0.5 Total Home Runs
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The Houston Astros have been in a short slump on offense but Michael Brantley is swinging a .282 batting average, .134 ISO and .774 OPS this year. The Astros face Zach Plesac and the Cleveland Guardians where Brantley has a 0.5 total home runs prop on +600 odds at OddsShopper. Plesac has a 13.8% strikeout rate, .261 average against and 1.4 home runs per nine innings this season. Brantley has been efficient against right-handed pitching with a .312 batting average, .172 ISO and just a 9.5% strikeout rate with two home runs against the split. Plesac has a .274 average against and 1.96 HR/9 this year with a 46% fly ball rate and 13.8% home run to fly ball rate against left-handed hitters. At more than double the home run payout to that of teammate Yordan Alvarez (+275) with less the strikeout rate, take the over on Brantley’s home run prop tonight (although Alvarez looks great here as well).
Pick: Michael Brantley OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
DJ LeMahieu O/U 1.5 Total Bases |
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DJ LeMahieu has a .250 batting average and .704 OPS, drawing another left-handed pitcher in Bruce Zimmermann, which means back to the watering hole. At OddsShopper, LeMahieu has a 1.5 total bases prop on -105 odds. He has been the Yankees’ best hitter against left-handed pitching this year with a .395 batting average, 1.06 OPS, .209 ISO and 217 wRC+, all worthy of mention. Facing right-handed-hitting this season, Zimmermann has a 15.1% strikeout rate, .282 average against and 1.31 WHIP with a career 1.67 HR/9 against the split. LeMahieu’s diminished 12.5% strikeout rate is further complimented by 17 singles, three doubles, two home runs and two walks in 43 at bats against the split. Though he has been talked up in this same prop before, facing left-handed pitching at just above even money odds would be criminal to ignore, making LeMahieu’s total bases prop another of the best MLB predictions today.
Pick: DJ LeMahieu OVER 1.5 Total Bases (-105)
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