Best MLB Bets Today (7/4): Baseball Prop Betting Picks

Happy 4th of July to the entire Stokastic community! With action beginning in the late morning we’re treated to a patriotic 14-game holiday, including a doubleheader to round out the selection catalog for our MLB prop bets today. Always gaining the best odds in the moment across all reputable sportsbooks through OddsShopper our Stokastic Player Props Tool adds grip to the steering by supplementing winning odds and return on investment rates to our strikeout and home run props. Thankfully, for grilling and baseball purposes everywhere, we’re spared by the weather gods from any delay or postponement risks on this national holiday of appreciation.

Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 7/4

Kyle Tucker O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Kyle Tucker faces Jon Heasley today, drawing a 1.5 total bases prop with +105 odds on the over. Tucker has a .258 batting average, .845 OPS, and .234 ISO this season. Heasley has proven subpar with a 5.23 SIERA, 17.4% strikeout rate, and 1.51 WHIP. Tucker maintains a .253 batting average, .838 OPS, and .224 ISO with 10 of 16 home runs against right-handed pitching this year. Heasley’s weakness has been proven against left-handed hitting with a .297 average against, 2.86 home runs per nine innings, and 7.39 FIP against the split. Though Tucker struggled in his last game, he recorded two hits in each of his two games prior to that, and getting plus-money odds against Heasley to net just two bases on hits makes for one of the best betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Kyle Tucker OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Patrick Corbin O/U 5.5 Strikeouts | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Patrick Corbin will have you wondering what year it is, as he gets +105 odds on a 5.5 total strikeouts prop against the Miami Marlins. Corbin has been averaging 0.91 strikeouts per inning and roughly 5.1 innings per start, which puts him on pace today for 4.68 strikeouts, falling short of the six strikeouts necessary to cash out on the prop. What’s not accounted for is the Marlins absolute ineptitude against left-handed pitching with a 28.6% strikeout rate, .214 batting average, and 78 wRC+. In his past six games Corbin has notched upward of six strikeouts in three performances, including 12 strikeouts in his last matchup with Pittsburgh. Expected to face eight hitters with upward of a 23% strikeout rate in the Marlins order, Corbin has a superb matchup in front of him while offering plus-money odds to secure his recent six-game average.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Patrick Corbin OVER 5.5 Total Strikeouts (+105)


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Francisco Lindor O/U 0.5 Home Runs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Francisco Lindor has a .244 batting average, .171 ISO, and 12 home runs while getting an 0.5 home runs prop with +330 odds on the over against Hunter Greene. Lindor has been one of the Mets better weapons against right-handed pitching with a .248 batting average, .757 OPS, and .187 ISO, including nine home runs against the split, although in a long ball drought over his past seven games. Greene has shown flashes of promise by way of 28.9% strikeout rate but surrenders a 10.8% barrel rate on 37.1% hard-contact. Facing left-handed hitting Greene has 1.72 HR/9, 4.62 FIP, and 14.3% home run to flyball rate, including seven home runs surrendered. While Greene has given up more to righties the +330 odds on Lindor to smash one into the seats with proven efficacy offers a prop worthy of consideration to dabble with a holiday unit.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Francisco Lindor OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+330)

Dansby Swanson O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Dansby Swanson has a .301 batting average, .860 OPS, and .199 ISO and gets a 1.5 total bases prop rewarding +100 odds on the over. Swanson faces Dakota Hudson, who has a .297 average against, 1.43 WHIP, and 4.66 FIP when facing right-handed hitting this year with 43.8% hard contact allowed. Hudson has a demonstrated weakness against right-handed hitting with five of six home runs allowed against the split in addition to a .344 wOBA. Swanson has been among the top Braves performers against right-handed pitching with a .296 batting average, .184 ISO, and 127 wRC+ including 10 of 14 home runs coming against the split. Swanson also has seven hits in his past three games even following a dud in his last performance, paving way to fireworks on the 4th of July. Getting even-money odds on Swanson to get back on the saddle with just two bases on hits in an inviting matchup offers another of the best baseball betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Dansby Swanson OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+100)

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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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