mlb betting

Best MLB Bets Today (7/25): Baseball Prop Betting Picks

Published

3 weeks ago

July 25, 2022

Baseball starts the week off right with a 12-game schedule, and there are plenty of MLB player props available for the taking at OddsShopper. Using the Stokastic Player Props Tool, bettors can assemble the best betting slips in just a matter of a few clicks to discover the most valuable odds available. With potential late starts in Baltimore, Boston and Philadelphia, continue to watch for any weather changes leading up to lock; though, nothing appears threatening at first glance.

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Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 7/25

Jorge Mateo O/U 0.5 Stolen Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Jorge Mateo has a .210 batting average and 23 stolen bases this season, and his over on 0.5 stolen bases comes at +390 odds. Mateo has the second-most stolen bases in the majors and has only been caught four times, leading to an 85.1% success rate. Corey Kluber is a susceptible target for stolen base artists, allowing 16 stolen bases and catching merely three base runners since last season. Over the past month, Mateo has been excelling, with an .822 OPS and six stolen bases. In his past four starts, Kluber has allowed 22 hits and 11 earned runs while striking out just 17.87%. With an inviting matchup in Kluber, Mateo at nearly 4-to-1 return for a stolen base makes for one of the best MLB betting picks today.

~~Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Jorge Mateo OVER 0.5 Stolen Bases (+390)~~

UPDATE 12:50 PM PT: When it comes to stolen bases props, I can’t seem to catch a break here. However, the blessing is in disguise as another prime candidate for the prop offers every bit as much return and then some in swooping just one base on steals: Cedric Mullins comes in as our late hero at +400 odds on the over to steal a bag against Kluber. Mullins is behind Mateo in total stolen bases this season by just three (20 total stolen bases) with an 80% conversion rate in 2022. Not only does Mullins provide that morsel of relief yet also stands pat as a better overall option at the plate to get on base, smoking a .773 OPS and 118 wRC+ with five home runs against right-handed pitching while Kluber has carried a bigger bullseye against opposing lefty hitters with a 4.06 xFIP. In exchange for Mateo’s day off, snag the over on Mullins’ stolen bases.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Cedric Mullins OVER 0.5 Stolen Bases (+400)

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Jake Odorizzi O/U 4.5 Strikeouts | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Jake Odorizzi has an 18.3% strikeout rate and .238 average against in 10 starts. Tonight, he faces the Oakland Athletics, who have a collective 23.9% strikeout rate and 79 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this year. Odorizzi is averaging 0.75 strikeouts per inning and just under five innings per start, which would put him on pace for 3.6 strikeouts today. However, in his last two performances, both coming against Oakland, Odorizzi struck out five and seven while lasting 7.0 innings and 5.1 innings, respectively. The Athletics will have seven hitters with at least a 22% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. While not the most invigorating player prop to chase, spending a nickel up from even money on just five strikeouts for Odorizzi is one of the best values among Monday’s pitching props.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Jake Odorizzi OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-105)

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Eytan Shander’s daily MLB picks and parlays give you the three best MLB predictions for Monday’s slate — and how to hit big on your MLB parlays.

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Ty France O/U 1.5 Total Bases | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Ty France has been a force in the Mariners late success, smashing right-handed pitching for a .300 batting average, 142 wRC+, 12 doubles and 10 home runs. On the other side, Glenn Otto has struggled against right-handed hitting. In this split, Otto has allowed a .301 average, 1.62 WHIP, seven doubles and four home runs in 13 starts. He is averaging 4.8 hits and 3.6 earned runs over his past five starts, with six hits in two of the outings. In a strong righty-righty matchup, France’s significant return on two bases offers late-slate value for Monday.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today:

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Kyle Tucker O/U 0.5 HRs | Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM

Kyle Tucker faces Adam Oller tonight, and Oller has a 13.1% strikeout rate and 2.63 home runs per nine innings in 10 games this season. Facing left-handed hitting, Oller has been lit up to the tune of a 10.48 FIP, 4.09 HR/9 and 31.3% HR/FB rate. Tucker has 12 home runs, an .857 OPS and 146 wRC+ against righties, and despite a five-game home run slump, his last long ball came against the Athletics eight days ago. Getting another 4-to-1 return for one Tucker home run wraps a bow around Monday’s prop card.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Kyle Tucker OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)

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Chris Giordani

Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.