Wednesday offers a split schedule of Major League Baseball with six games to start the day before winding into a nine-game evening for MLB prop bets today. The Stokastic Player Props Tool will be the barometer for rates of success and best returns on investment across player props on OddsShopper. Wednesday’s weather forecast looks to bear clear skies, alleviating any initial postponement concerns prior to wagering on the best baseball bets today.
Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 6/15
Nestor Cortes O/U 5.5 Strikeouts
Nestor Cortes has a 28.6% strikeout rate this year, and the under on 5.5 strikeouts at OddsShopper has +112 odds. He is facing the Tampa Bay Rays, who have the league’s third-lowest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching (17.8%). Cortes is averaging 1.1 strikeouts per inning and 5.2 innings per start, putting him on pace for approximately 6.2 strikeouts. In his last matchup with the Rays in late May, Cortes struck out five over eight innings (109 pitches). The Rays are expected to have just one hitter with over a 20% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching — Kevin Kiermaier — while four hitters have an OPS of .800 or higher against the split. In spite of his remarkable season, the matchup and elevated total point to the under at plus-money odds for Cortes tonight.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Nestor Cortes UNDER 5.5 Total Strikeouts (+112)
Santiago Espinal O/U 1.5 Total Bases
Santiago Espinal has a .294 batting average, 16.7% strikeout rate and .798 OPS, and he will face Bruce Zimmermann, who has allowed 41.3% hard contact this season. Against righties, Zimmermann has a 13.5% strikeout rate, 5.41 FIP and 1.89 home runs per nine innings (11 of 15 his home runs allowed). Espinal is one of Toronto’s best hitters against left-handed pitching, with a .364 batting average, 1.080 OPS and .273 ISO in 44 at-bats. As such, the plus-money odds two bases for Espinal is one of the best baseball betting picks today.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Santiago Espinal OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
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Rafael Devers O/U 0.5 Total Home Runs
Tonight Rafael Devers draws James Kaprielian on the mound, who has a 15.6% strikeout rate and 38.3% hard contact allowed. Devers has dominated right-handed pitching this season to the tune of a .335 batting average, 1.003 OPS and .292 ISO. Left-handed hitting has been rough on Kaprielian, surrendering a 7.49 FIP, 2.65 HR/9 and five of nine home runs to the split. In addition, Devers’ strikeouts drop to 15.2% against right-handed pitching, while Kaprielian strikes out just 11.3% of lefties. Along with the sound matchup, getting just beneath 3-1 returns on investment for Devers to hit a home run is considerable value tonight.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Rafael Devers OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+295)
Matt Olson O/U 1.5 Total Bases
Erick Fedde has been a fountain of hard contact this year, allowing 41.6% overall and a 4.91 FIP and 1.23 HR/9 to lefties. Meanwhile, Matt Olson against righties has a .838 OPS, .224 ISO and six home runs in 161 at-bats. Should Fedde get the hook at any point, Olson will get a Nationals bullpen that has the league’s fourth-highest FIP (4.28) and 1.14 HR/9. Though a 23.9% strikeout rate against righties draws some concern, the plus-money odds for Olson to reach two bases is a worthwhile bet tonight.
Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Matt Olson OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
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