Best MLB Bets Today (5/31): Baseball Prop Betting Picks

A plentiful Tuesday schedule of Major League Baseball awaits as all 30 teams are slated for action including one doubleheader. With starting pitching headlined by Kevin Gausman, Lucas Giolito and Frankie Montas, strikeout props are among the tops of our best ROI bets today. On the last day of May, signs of summer are around the corner as eight games carry Vegas run totals of nine runs or higher and home parks heat up, but rain appears to only be an issue in the Coors Field matchup. When in doubt, the best move is to turn to the Awesemo Player Props Tool to gauge current projected rates of success via strikeout and home run props to aid in finalizing the best MLB bets today.

Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 5/31

Justin Steele O/U 4.5 Strikeouts

Justin Steele has a 25% strikeout rate and .262 average against in nine starts this season. Tonight, Steele faces the Milwaukee Brewers and draws a 4.5 total strikeouts prop with +118 odds on the over at OddsShopper. Facing left-handed pitching this season, the Brewers have a .210 batting average, 23.7% strikeout rate and 84 wRC+. Steele is expected to face a Brewers order of five lefties and four right-handed hitters and has a 34.7% strikeout rate against left-handed hitting this year. Steele is averaging four innings pitched with 1.14 strikeouts per inning, which would put him right on the cusp of the five strikeouts necessary should he last his season average on the mound. Though he has managed the strikeout total in just three outings thus far, he has thrown nine and 10 strikeouts in two of those performances while tonight’s matchup offers considerable strikeout upside. While the Awesemo Player Props Tool has not been updated today to measure projected win rates, the plus money value on the over for Steele’s strikeouts is a worthy endeavor.

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Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Justin Steele OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (+118)

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Gio Urshela O/U 1.5 Total Bases

Gio Urshela has a .272 batting average, 13.3% strikeout rate and .733 OPS this season. Tonight, he squares off with Joey Wentz while OddsShopper has a 1.5 total bases prop for Urshela at +130 odds on the over. Though Wentz has only pitched 2.2 innings in the majors, he had a 30.9% strikeout rate and .224 average against in seven Minor League starts this year while struggling with hard contact. When facing left-handed pitching Urshela has a .280 batting average, .739 OPS and 14.3% strikeout rate with 10 singles, three doubles and a home run in 50 at-bats. Wentz had a .123 average against and 1.0 WHIP against right-handed hitting in the minors this season, though his brief MLB appearance garnered a 69.2% hard-hit rate, .583 batting average and 5.23 xFIP against the split. With a depressed strikeout rate and uptick performance against lefty pitching, the over on Urshela’s total bases is one of our best baseball betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Gio Urshela OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+130)

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Pete Alonso O/U 0.5 Total Home Runs

Pete Alonso has a .286 batting average and .892 OPS with 13 home runs this season. Tonight, Alonso draws Patrick Corbin on the mound while at OddsShopper he has an 0.5 total home runs prop with +235 odds on the over. This season, Corbin has a 17.9% strikeout rate, .292 average against and 1.08 home runs earned per nine innings. When facing left-handed pitching this year, Alonso has a .250 batting average, .300 ISO and four home runs in 40 at-bats. Corbin has earned a .288 average against right-handed hitting this year with all six of his home runs surrendered against the split. Though Corbin has improved in the home run department so far this season, the temperatures increasing should add to the trajectory as Corbin has a 32.6% fly ball rate to righties this year, with a 14.3% home run to fly ball rate. Although the odds are lower than that of other home run props, take the over on Alonso’s home runs tonight.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Pete Alonso OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+235)

Justin Turner O/U 1.5 Total Bases

Justin Turner has a .226 batting average, 18.1% strikeout rate and .676 OPS this season. Tonight, Turner battles Mitch Keller, where he has a 1.5 total bases prop at +130 odds on the over. This season, Keller has an 18.3% strikeout rate, 2.91 average against and 4.48 FIP. When facing right-handed pitching, Turner’s hitting improves to a .257 batting average, 14.7% strikeout rate and .754 OPS this season. Tasked against right-handed hitting, Keller has a .300 average against, 1.77 WHIP and 1.45 HR/9. Upon Keller’s exit, Turner draws a Pittsburgh bullpen representing the league’s third-highest xFIP at 4.37 while stranding just 67.8% of hitters reaching bases. With another chance at plus money odds on the day, book the over on Turner’s total bases as another of our best MLB predictions today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Justin Turner OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+130)

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